Trading Signals: YELP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: YELP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 2, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Yelp Inc.)
YELP latest price $21.0500 (2.88%) ($20.3000 - $21.4300) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.45% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $21.0500(2.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   YELP advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   YELP declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support YELP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(52%)    PEJ(52%)    IWO(51%)    VT(51%)    IWC(50%)
Factors Impacting YELP price   YELP will decline at least -1.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    XME(-3%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.725% (StdDev 3.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.59(2.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.79(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.34(3.49%)
To recent high   -26.9%
To recent low   38.2%
Market Cap   $1.539b

Yelp, Inc. engages in the provision of an one-stop local platform for consumers to discover, connect, and transact with local businesses of all sizes. It operates through the following segments: Advertising, Transactions, and Other services. The Advertising segment offers a range of free and paid advertising products to businesses of all sizes, including the ability to deliver targeted search advertising to large local audiences through website and mobile app. The Transactions segment comprises several features and consumer-interactive tools to facilitate transactions between consumers and the local businesses can find on Yelp. The Other Services segment consists revenue through subscription services, licensing payments for access to Yelp data, and other non-advertising, non-transaction arrangements. The company was founded by Jeremy Stoppelman and Russell Simmons in July 2004 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. YELP price fluctuates within 5.75% (three month std-dev: 3.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.16%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.61%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.32%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	23.92	20.34	20.79	20.59	20.49	20.43	21.05(2.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	-40	11	-5	1.67	45%	-0.04	83.8	3.45%	0	0.6	59	0
2	Mar_16_2016	23.93	20.18	20.84	20.59	20.4	20.2	20.46(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-60	-5	-3	1.33	48%	-0.08	80.9	3.43%	0	0.2	62	0
3	Mar_15_2016	23.95	20.05	20.92	20.34	20.39	20.56	19.92(-4.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	70	-7	15	1.5	43%	-0.21	79.2	3.46%	0	-0.1	61	0
4	Mar_14_2016	24	19.91	21.02	20.58	20.34	20.59	20.89(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	50	-3	41	1.54	45%	-0.08	85.3	3.59%	0	0.7	66	0
5	Mar_11_2016	24.02	19.66	20.96	20.83	20.53	20.22	20.63(4.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-150	-6	62	1.87	44%	-0.08	71.5	3.59%	0	0.6	64	0

6	Mar_10_2016	24.04	19.4	20.9	21.03	20.89	20.08	19.79(-3.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-290	-25	79	2.12	41%	-0.08	55.7	3.56%	0	0.2	65	0
7	Mar_9_2016	24.06	19.2	20.85	21.42	21.33	20.84	20.47(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-170	-18	115	4.86	41%	-0.12	47.6	3.57%	0	0.6	74	0
8	Mar_8_2016	24.09	18.97	20.71	21.56	21.65	21.69	21.1(-4.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	30	1	143	2.48	41%	-0.04	38.5	3.57%	0	1	80	0
9	Mar_7_2016	24.1	18.72	20.5	21.5	21.5	21.81	22.15(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	100	16	171	2.76	43%	-0.04	26.8	3.55%	0	1.5	93	0
10	Mar_4_2016	24.11	18.5	20.18	21.11	21.19	21.6	21.62(-0.6%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	62	150	19	190	3.69	43%	-0.04	17.2	3.53%	0	1.5	94	0

11	Mar_3_2016	24.12	18.38	19.85	20.76	20.77	21.19	21.75(2.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	140	25	209	3.09	43%	0	10.7	3.53%	0	1.7	95	0
12	Mar_2_2016	24.12	18.24	19.44	20.21	20.29	20.77	21.2(2.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	180	25	209	1.82	46%	-0.04	-2	3.52%	0	1.6	93	0
13	Mar_1_2016	24.13	18.16	19.08	19.72	19.75	20.35	20.76(2.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	69	220	23	205	2.05	46%	-0.08	-14.6	3.54%	0	1.5	87	0
14	Feb_29_2016	24.15	18.14	18.68	19.35	19.22	19.8	20.24(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	190	19	199	3.67	46%	-0.21	-21.7	3.5%	0	1.2	80	0
15	Feb_26_2016	24.2	18.15	18.22	19.12	18.86	19.16	19.86(4.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	70	19	168	2.85	46%	-0.17	-26.8	3.48%	0	0.9	58	0

16	Feb_25_2016	24.24	18.17	17.77	18.81	18.65	18.65	19(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-30	11	109	1.94	43%	-0.21	-31	3.45%	0	0.4	44	0
17	Feb_24_2016	24.29	18.28	17.41	18.54	18.47	18.56	18.75(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	20	7	54	2.14	43%	-0.16	-31.9	3.45%	0	0.2	45	0
18	Feb_23_2016	24.33	18.41	17.11	18.33	18.28	18.66	18.91(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	140	21	8	2.3	41%	-0.16	-30.6	3.45%	0	0.2	43	0
19	Feb_22_2016	24.37	18.53	16.81	17.89	17.97	18.39	19.07(3.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	13	180	35	-55	2.12	41%	-0.12	-33.9	3.48%	0	0.2	39	0
20	Feb_19_2016	24.4	18.65	16.67	17.19	17.39	17.9	18.34(3.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	240	30	-109	4.65	45%	-0.12	-40.2	3.76%	0	-0.1	36	0

21	Feb_18_2016	24.43	18.77	16.76	16.57	16.75	17.56	17.64(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	370	30	-149	2.66	43%	-0.16	-48	3.71%	0	-0.5	33	0
22	Feb_17_2016	24.47	18.94	16.91	16.11	16.1	16.88	17.68(5.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-23	340	30	-183	5.82	43%	-0.16	-56.5	3.73%	0	-0.5	30	0
23	Feb_16_2016	24.51	19.1	17.11	15.71	15.67	15.94	16.72(7.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-46	110	14	-224	3.33	39%	-0.08	-66.5	3.64%	0	-1	22	0
24	Feb_12_2016	24.53	19.33	17.51	15.58	15.54	15.32	15.56(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-80	-110	-22	-255	3.08	40%	-0.28	-75	3.53%	0	-1.6	13	0
25	Feb_11_2016	24.6	19.64	18.04	16.09	15.89	15.4	15.23(-0.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-93	-250	-43	-244	4.56	40%		-81.1	3.56%	0	-1.9	9	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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