Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 5, 2023

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $65.9800 (-2.67%) ($65.9250 - $66.9700) on Tue. Dec. 5, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $65.9800(-2.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWN(92%)    TAN(91%)    IWM(90%)    IWO(87%)    IFRA(86%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-20%)    VXX(-12%)    TBT(-10%)    EDOC(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV -1 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $65.99(-0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.92(1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.3(4.23%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   13.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 3.6% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.94%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.2%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.99%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -2.99%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.19%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.92%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20240105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2023	62.59	63.3	64.92	65.99	66.04	66.9	65.98(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	90	26	108	5.83	52%	0	66.1	1.55%	-1	1.2	65	1.3
2	Dec_4_2023	62.59	63.07	64.68	65.62	65.61	66.58	67.79(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	96	100	80	143	6.71	54%	0.05	71.1	1.54%	1.2	2.1	80	1.4
3	Dec_1_2023	62.56	62.76	64.2	64.76	64.71	65.18	67.05(3.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	61	50	41	120	8.85	54%	0.02	80.3	1.54%	2.1	2.2	76	1.3
4	Nov_30_2023	62.55	62.41	63.64	64.13	64.16	64.65	64.6(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	50	23	112	7.29	51%	-0.03	85.6	1.46%	0.1	1.3	73	1.4
5	Nov_29_2023	62.57	62.12	63.54	63.9	63.94	64.24	64.54(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	30	31	129	5.61	52%	-0.03	77.9	1.46%	0.9	1.3	66	1.3

6	Nov_28_2023	62.59	61.83	63.32	63.68	63.64	63.67	64.11(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	0	6	118	6.92	52%	-0.02	73.8	1.47%	1.5	1.2	59	1.5
7	Nov_27_2023	62.6	61.54	62.88	63.59	63.53	63.63	63.51(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	10	3	103	5.31	52%	0	70.6	1.48%	-0.2	1	58	1.3
8	Nov_24_2023	62.6	61.26	62.53	63.53	63.48	63.61	63.89(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	10	20	97	2.6	50%	-0.02	64.3	1.48%	0	1.3	56	1.4
9	Nov_22_2023	62.61	61	62.09	63.06	63.29	63.44	63.43(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	30	8	70	7.37	48%	0.02	56	1.49%	-0.4	1.2	61	1.2
10	Nov_21_2023	62.6	60.74	61.79	63.12	62.96	63.35	63.46(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	40	11	85	6.39	48%	-0.02	53.3	1.53%	0.8	1.4	67	1.3

11	Nov_20_2023	62.61	60.49	61.58	62.9	63	63.14	63.64(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	20	44	109	5.57	48%	0	46	1.53%	1.1	1.7	66	1.4
12	Nov_17_2023	62.61	60.23	61.34	62.06	62.62	62.58	63.25(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	20	22	90	9.88	48%	0	32.1	1.54%	0.3	1.7	67	1.5
13	Nov_16_2023	62.61	60.01	61.19	61.38	61.77	62.86	61.54(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	140	30	97	10.12	45%	-0.03	24.5	1.5%	-1.3	1	65	1.5
14	Nov_15_2023	62.63	59.91	61.08	60.94	61.1	62.66	63.72(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	107	190	101	124	11.7	48%	0.02	19.3	1.45%	1	2.5	69	1.6
15	Nov_14_2023	62.62	59.72	60.55	60.28	60.24	60.67	62.36(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	57	50	49	82	12.48	46%	0	10.3	1.43%	1.4	2	67	1.5

16	Nov_13_2023	62.62	59.64	60.18	60.11	59.99	59.54	59.42(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-12	-60	-33	51	4.53	40%	-0.03	11.3	1.28%	-0.4	-0.2	57	1.4
17	Nov_10_2023	62.64	59.68	60.09	60.53	60.48	59.81	59.84(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-21	-80	-49	64	6.92	40%	-0.03	25	1.28%	-0.4	0.1	59	1.4
18	Nov_9_2023	62.66	59.62	59.92	60.98	61.01	60.45	59.35(-1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-12	-60	-42	80	6.36	40%	-0.05	35	1.28%	-1.9	-0.2	52	0.9
19	Nov_8_2023	62.69	59.61	59.86	61.18	61.4	61.15	60.41(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	25	-20	-1	102	6.39	42%	-0.03	41.3	1.26%	-1.8	0.7	55	1.6
20	Nov_7_2023	62.71	59.58	59.67	60.8	61.15	61.58	61.52(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	70	30	84	6.03	44%	-0.02	35.4	1.25%	-0.6	1.6	53	1.7

21	Nov_6_2023	62.72	59.5	59.36	60.24	60.39	61.66	61.55(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	72	150	76	58	9.53	44%	-0.02	28.5	1.25%	0.3	1.8	48	1.9
22	Nov_3_2023	62.73	59.38	59.03	59.58	59.56	60.72	62.08(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	88	140	108	28	9.87	44%	-0.03	8.4	1.24%	1.3	2.5	57	1.9
23	Nov_2_2023	62.75	59.2	58.71	58.74	58.74	59.11	60.33(3.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	29	40	49	-31	9.5	39%	-0.05	-26	1.19%	1.7	1.3	59	1.9
24	Nov_1_2023	62.78	59.11	58.6	58.4	58.37	58.4	58.53(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	0	2	-68	10.56	34%	-0.08	-48.6	1.12%	0.3	-0.7	48	1.6
25	Oct_31_2023	62.83	59.15	58.78	58.37	58.41	58.36	58.69(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-0	3	-66	5.93	34%		-50.7	1.12%	1.6	-0.5	43	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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