Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 5, 2023

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $64.0700 (-0.39%) ($63.4600 - $64.2100) on Wed. Jul. 5, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $64.0700(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWN(88%)    IWM(87%)    IWO(83%)    IWD(80%)    IBUY(78%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-42%)    VIXM(-33%)    UUP(-29%)    TBT(-24%)    EDOC(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.73(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.05(1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.5(2.51%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.37%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.25%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.57%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2023	62.39	62.5	63.05	63.73	63.79	64.03	64.07(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	30	15	39	4.04	47%	-0.24	162.3	1.49%	0	1.8	63	0.9
2	Jul_3_2023	62.54	62.27	62.85	63.52	63.52	63.87	64.32(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	40	28	40	2.37	47%	-0.08	110.7	1.52%	0	1.6	70	1.2
3	Jun_30_2023	62.59	61.92	62.66	63.05	63.12	63.55	63.75(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	50	28	25	6.24	50%	-0.1	89.4	1.54%	0	1.4	58	1
4	Jun_29_2023	62.65	61.59	62.66	62.67	62.74	63.18	63.44(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	50	28	24	5.9	50%	-0.11	57.6	1.54%	1.6	1.1	61	1
5	Jun_28_2023	62.72	61.35	62.63	62.44	62.37	62.69	63.08(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	30	20	31	4.61	50%	-0.16	44.2	1.54%	0	0.9	66	1.2

6	Jun_27_2023	62.82	61.13	62.54	62.27	62.17	62.3	63.02(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	10	14	43	3.97	50%	-0.14	39.2	1.54%	1.7	0.9	72	1.1
7	Jun_26_2023	62.91	60.89	62.39	62.08	62.17	62.05	61.96(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-0	-3	42	3.93	48%	-0.19	28.5	1.53%	0	0.5	63	1
8	Jun_23_2023	63.03	60.75	62.44	62.22	62.08	62.04	61.83(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10	-17	74	4.28	48%	-0.21	24.9	1.53%	0	0.5	71	1.1
9	Jun_22_2023	63.16	60.63	62.43	62.59	62.42	62.11	62.3(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-40	-11	121	3.25	48%	-0.17	28.1	1.53%	0	0.8	74	1.4
10	Jun_21_2023	63.27	60.49	62.27	62.84	62.66	62.13	62.23(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-70	-25	138	3.57	50%	-0.13	28.6	1.55%	0	0.8	63	1.3

11	Jun_20_2023	63.35	60.35	61.94	62.85	62.93	62.73	62.07(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	-20	-10	147	4.75	50%	-0.19	26.6	1.57%	0	0.8	63	1.2
12	Jun_16_2023	63.47	60.31	61.7	62.71	62.83	63.19	62.66(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	50	9	161	7.12	48%	-0.08	27.2	1.58%	0	1.2	67	1.6
13	Jun_15_2023	63.52	60.23	61.17	62.67	62.52	63.12	63.71(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	66	60	34	161	6.66	49%	-0.09	28.2	1.57%	0	1.7	64	1.2
14	Jun_13_2023	63.58	60.02	60.49	62.25	62.23	62.48	63.55(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	65	30	40	139	5.71	47%	-0.06	21.1	1.56%	0	2	63	1.3
15	Jun_12_2023	63.62	59.88	59.97	61.63	61.76	61.92	62.28(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	20	25	106	4.71	45%	-0.05	11.8	1.56%	1	1.5	59	1.4

16	Jun_9_2023	63.65	59.78	59.58	60.89	61.17	61.97	61.36(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	110	35	79	6.67	41%	-0.03	-1.9	1.58%	0	1	57	1.7
17	Jun_8_2023	63.67	59.76	59.25	60.52	60.36	61.61	62.43(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	74	140	78	62	10.69	43%	-0.03	-3.9	1.58%	1.7	1.7	50	2
18	Jun_7_2023	63.69	59.68	58.89	59.43	59.53	60.36	61.65(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	64	100	82	11	6.84	43%	-0.06	-21.6	1.57%	0	1.3	48	2.2
19	Jun_6_2023	63.73	59.65	58.62	58.47	58.43	59.11	60.43(3.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	12	80	32	-47	7.14	38%	-0.06	-39	1.55%	0	0.5	52	2.4
20	Jun_5_2023	63.77	59.69	58.51	58.1	57.91	58.69	58.6(-1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	80	33	-73	5.3	34%	-0.13	-43.5	1.51%	0.6	-0.7	39	2.3

21	Jun_2_2023	63.85	59.81	58.59	58.09	57.84	57.74	59.48(4.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-30	29	-84	9.68	34%	-0.09	-45	1.52%	1.9	-0.2	45	2.2
22	Jun_1_2023	63.91	59.82	58.77	57.8	57.75	57.12	56.99(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-70	-80	-49	-131	8.01	28%	-0.14	-56.2	1.42%	-0.5	-1.9	32	2
23	May_31_2023	64	60	59.22	58.26	58.15	57.95	56.84(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-58	-30	-40	-111	7.87	28%	-0.11	-55.4	1.42%	-1.3	-2.4	30	1.2
24	May_30_2023	64.07	60.21	59.54	58.76	58.72	58.39	58.57(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-40	-9	-91	4.6	30%	-0.05	-53.2	1.4%	-0.2	-1.5	35	1.3
25	May_26_2023	64.1	60.34	59.81	58.98	58.96	58.35	58.55(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-70	-37	-97	6.76	30%		-58	1.39%	0	-1.7	34	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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