Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 11, 2018

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $46.6444 (2.47%) ($45.4605 - $46.7332) on Thu. Jan. 11, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $46.6444(2.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(77%)    IWM(75%)    IWO(73%)    VT(73%)    IWC(72%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.71(2.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.41(2.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.95(3.77%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2018	41.2	44.95	45.41	45.71			46.64(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	-10000	11	51	8.99	64%	0.22	69.1	1.19%	0	2.3	68	0
2	Jan_10_2018	41.11	44.79	45.22	45.4			45.52(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	2	33	3.3	62%	0.19	64.7	1.18%	0	1.1	63	0
3	Jan_9_2018	41.03	44.71	45.2	45.36			45.19(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-2	36	7.21	59%	0.22	61.5	1.18%	0	0.7	54	0
4	Jan_8_2018	40.94	44.66	45.18	45.4			45.68(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	8	56	6.1	59%	0.2	71.8	1.19%	0	1.4	70	0
5	Jan_5_2018	40.86	44.56	45.09	45.18			45.49(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	4	59	5.48	59%	0.22	71.6	1.2%	0	1.3	73	0

6	Jan_4_2018	40.77	44.45	45	45.07			45.1(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	2	59	17.63	59%	0.17	69	1.2%	0	0.9	61	0
7	Jan_3_2018	40.7	44.36	44.93	45.02			45.36(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	-0	68	8.78	59%	0.2	73.8	1.2%	0	1.4	66	0
8	Jan_2_2018	40.62	44.28	44.88	45.03			45.39(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	4	80	3.76	59%	0.2	93.1	1.2%	0	1.6	59	0
9	Dec_29_2017	40.54	44.14	44.71	44.93			44.57(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-2	70	3.84	58%	0.15	100.6	1.18%	0	0.6	54	0
10	Dec_28_2017	40.48	44.07	44.58	44.97			44.91(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	2	71	3.53	58%	0.15	111.6	1.17%	0	1.1	60	0

11	Dec_27_2017	40.42	43.98	44.47	44.91			44.86(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	3	73	3.02	59%	0.1	125.7	1.18%	0	1.2	62	0
12	Dec_26_2017	40.38	43.84	44.33	44.82			45.4(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	4	72	3.66	61%	0.15	117.6	1.17%	0	1.9	67	0
13	Dec_22_2017	40.32	43.62	44.19	44.71			44.9(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	9	72	2.84	62%	0.12	84.6	1.16%	0	1.2	59	0
14	Dec_21_2017	40.27	43.42	44.1	44.47			44.78(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	14	74	2.34	62%	0.12	84.5	1.17%	0	1.2	65	0
15	Dec_20_2017	40.22	43.24	43.98	44.12			44.59(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	6	56	2.98	62%	0.1	78.7	1.17%	0	1.2	62	0

16	Dec_19_2017	40.18	43.05	43.85	43.97			44.44(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	8	50	3.22	62%	0.1	78.8	1.17%	0	1.1	59	0
17	Dec_18_2017	40.14	42.9	43.73	43.76			44.85(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	6	49	7.17	62%	0.12	83.8	1.18%	0	1.6	69	0
18	Dec_15_2017	40.09	42.71	43.61	43.6			43.68(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	-4	69	8.28	59%	0.07	88.9	1.13%	0	0.8	71	0
19	Dec_14_2017	40.06	42.52	43.61	43.69			43.04(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-10000	-4	100	11.24	57%	0.07	87.6	1.12%	0	0.4	69	0
20	Dec_13_2017	40.03	42.34	43.52	43.8			43.85(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	4	140	7.19	60%	0.1	82.6	1.1%	0	1	74	0

21	Dec_12_2017	39.99	42.11	43.45	43.7			43.4(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	-10000	1	162	8	62%	0.13	78.7	1.1%	0	0.8	73	0
22	Dec_11_2017	39.94	41.9	43.34	43.67			44.02(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-10000	3	174	5.04	65%	0.1	73.8	1.1%	0	1.3	72	0
23	Dec_8_2017	39.9	41.67	43.04	43.61			44.13(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	-10000	11	176	6.35	65%	0.13	74.8	1.1%	0	1.5	75	0
24	Dec_7_2017	39.85	41.41	42.71	43.34			43.62(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	-10000	6	170	5.41	63%	0.1	70.9	1.1%	0	1.3	78	0
25	Dec_6_2017	39.81	41.15	42.45	43.2			43.32(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	47	-10000	1	184	7.76	65%		66.7	1.1%	0	1.3	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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