Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $41.8350 (2.6%) ($41.0444 - $41.8928) on Fri. Jul. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $41.8350(2.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(74%)    IWC(72%)    IWN(72%)    IWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.87(2.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.3(3.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.13(4.25%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2016	41.71	40.13	40.3	40.87			41.84(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	10	48	5.96	47%	0.05	1.2	1.34%	0	2.6	61	0
2	Jul_7_2016	41.69	40.06	40.14	40.6			40.77(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10000	5	39	2.46	41%	0.02	-17.5	1.3%	0	1.3	57	0
3	Jul_6_2016	41.68	40.08	40.05	40.47			40.77(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	11	32	4.42	41%	0.02	-19	1.35%	0	1.2	55	0
4	Jul_5_2016	41.67	40.09	39.98	40.16			40.17(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	11	20	5.1	39%	0.07	-27.4	1.34%	0	0.1	56	0
5	Jul_1_2016	41.64	40.09	40	39.86			40.82(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	-10000	9	10	3.36	41%	0.1	-36.6	1.33%	0	1	59	0

6	Jun_30_2016	41.6	40.13	39.9	39.86			40.46(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-3	-10000	0	-10	5.2	41%	0.1	-39.5	1.31%	0	0.5	52	0
7	Jun_29_2016	41.56	40.16	39.82	39.63			40.12(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	1	-19	3.9	41%	0.07	-31.6	1.3%	0	-0.1	45	0
8	Jun_28_2016	41.53	40.19	39.8	39.6			39.22(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-7	-39	5.35	38%	0.05	-25.9	1.28%	0	-1.4	34	0
9	Jun_27_2016	41.51	40.26	39.84	39.78			38.7(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-23	-10000	-14	-50	8.5	36%	0.05	-10.1	1.27%	0	-2.3	29	0
10	Jun_24_2016	41.49	40.37	39.94	40.13			39.63(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-2	-38	7.1	38%	0.02	12.5	1.25%	0	-1.3	38	0

11	Jun_23_2016	41.48	40.4	39.94	40.19			40.49(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	6	-42	2.46	40%	0.05	25.7	1.23%	0	0.2	44	0
12	Jun_22_2016	41.46	40.38	39.99	40.19			39.94(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	0	-63	3.19	38%	0.02	29.5	1.22%	0	-0.8	34	0
13	Jun_21_2016	41.45	40.37	40.11	40.04			40.12(-0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	5	-57	2.5	38%	0.02	32.6	1.22%	0	-0.4	43	0
14	Jun_20_2016	41.44	40.33	40.21	39.91			40.46(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	7	-59	3.87	38%	0.02	21.2	1.22%	0	0.2	48	0
15	Jun_17_2016	41.43	40.29	40.26	39.73			39.95(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-19	-10000	-1	-72	6.19	35%	0.05	15.1	1.22%	0	-0.5	42	0

16	Jun_16_2016	41.41	40.26	40.35	39.76			39.72(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-7	-65	5.33	35%	0.02	9.4	1.22%	0	-0.8	47	0
17	Jun_15_2016	41.4	40.21	40.51	39.94			39.95(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-10000	-11	-43	6.65	35%	0.02	6.2	1.22%	0	-0.3	51	0
18	Jun_14_2016	41.39	40.18	40.6	40.21			39.46(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-15	-14	5.45	33%	0.05	-0.5	1.21%	0	-0.9	53	0
19	Jun_13_2016	41.37	40.18	40.73	40.57			39.58(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-2	-10000	-11	27	4.64	33%	0.02	-0.5	1.21%	0	-0.8	59	0
20	Jun_10_2016	41.36	40.18	40.85	40.85			40.07(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	10	-10000	-7	60	6.65	37%	0.05	-1.5	1.22%	0	-0.2	58	0

21	Jun_9_2016	41.34	40.2	40.87	41.03			40.65(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-5	87	4.79	39%	0.07	-2	1.21%	0	0.6	71	0
22	Jun_8_2016	41.31	40.16	40.83	41.15			41.28(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	4	120	1.97	41%	0.1	-9.5	1.2%	0	1.4	84	0
23	Jun_7_2016	41.27	40.18	40.66	41.05			41.26(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	5	122	4.11	41%	0	-13.6	1.2%	0	1.3	73	0
24	Jun_6_2016	41.27	40.2	40.47	40.93			40.97(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	30	-10000	3	109	2.57	41%	0.07	-20.5	1.2%	0	0.8	61	0
25	Jun_3_2016	41.24	40.21	40.34	40.86			40.97(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	7	111	6.97	41%		-27.8	1.2%	0	0.8	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.