Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $40.1631 (0.26%) ($40.0286 - $40.5570) on Thu. May. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $40.1631(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(74%)    IWC(72%)    IWN(72%)    IWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $40.47
5 Day Moving Average   $39.74(1.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.48(1.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.47(-0.76%)
To recent high   -9.6%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 3.39% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2016	41.13	40.47	39.48	39.74			40.16(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	9	-68	5.97	44%	-0.02	-63.7	1.21%	0	-0.2	41	0
2	May_25_2016	41.14	40.6	39.45	39.52			40.06(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	12	-97	6.88	44%	-0.02	-62	1.21%	0	-0.4	41	0
3	May_24_2016	41.15	40.79	39.43	39.23			39.58(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	-10000	4	-145	4.75	42%	-0.05	-62.9	1.21%	0	-0.7	33	0
4	May_23_2016	41.17	40.99	39.64	39.13			39.26(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-10000	-4	-158	4.64	42%	-0.05	-63.6	1.22%	0	-1	29	0
5	May_20_2016	41.19	41.18	39.9	39.23			39.63(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-39	-10000	2	-161	7.45	45%	-0.05	-64.3	1.22%	0	-0.9	28	0

6	May_19_2016	41.21	41.37	40.06	39.19			39.08(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-10000	-8	-182	9.98	42%	-0.07	-65.8	1.22%	0	-1.4	27	0
7	May_18_2016	41.24	41.58	40.28	39.37			38.58(-1.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-59	-10000	-13	-195	6.54	40%	-0.07	-65	1.21%	0	-1.8	21	0
8	May_17_2016	41.27	41.85	40.63	39.67			39.12(-1.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-68	-10000	-23	-203	7.95	45%	-0.07	-65	1.2%	0	-1.8	19	0
9	May_16_2016	41.3	42.08	40.95	40.23			39.75(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-10000	-18	-182	8.88	54%	-0.05	-56.4	1.21%	0	-1.7	24	0
10	May_13_2016	41.32	42.28	41.25	40.68			39.42(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-48	-10000	-15	-145	13.79	54%	-0.05	-45.2	1.31%	0	-2.2	28	0

11	May_12_2016	41.34	42.5	41.57	41.07			39.97(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-10000	-9	-133	6.36	59%	-0.05	-37.6	1.3%	0	-2.2	28	0
12	May_11_2016	41.36	42.67	41.88	41.32			40.08(-4.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41	-10000	-14	-121	9.6	59%	-0.05	-33.3	1.34%	0	-2.6	31	0
13	May_10_2016	41.38	42.86	42.27	41.72			41.94(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-27	-10000	-2	-103	5.03	68%	0.02	-28	1.2%	0	-1.1	36	0
14	May_9_2016	41.37	42.86	42.44	41.78			42.01(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-10000	-6	-101	6.35	68%	0.02	-30.9	1.2%	0	-1.1	38	0
15	May_6_2016	41.36	42.88	42.55	41.94			41.34(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-9	-101	4.09	66%	0	-36.5	1.19%	0	-1.9	31	0

16	May_5_2016	41.36	42.94	42.77	42.17			41.22(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-33	-10000	-14	-91	10.32	61%	-0.02	-44	1.2%	0	-2.3	32	0
17	May_4_2016	41.37	43.01	42.98	42.52			42.08(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-15	-69	3.88	65%	0	-50.3	1.22%	0	-1.4	42	0
18	May_3_2016	41.37	43.08	43.15	42.9			42.23(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-12	-42	5.11	65%	0.02	-42.4	1.22%	0	-1.4	40	0
19	May_2_2016	41.36	43.14	43.3	43.21			42.84(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3	-10000	-1	-7	3.42	64%	0.05	-38.1	1.21%	0	-0.5	56	0
20	Apr_29_2016	41.34	43.18	43.39	43.25			42.46(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10000	-8	13	9.2	67%	0	-33.8	1.22%	0	-1.1	59	0

21	Apr_28_2016	41.34	43.27	43.51	43.45			43.01(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-2	42	5.02	69%	0.02	-19.6	1.25%	0	-0.4	59	0
22	Apr_27_2016	41.33	43.34	43.54	43.5			43.99(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	2	58	3.1	75%	0.05	-9.3	1.22%	0	0.9	65	0
23	Apr_26_2016	41.31	43.35	43.49	43.45			43.75(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	1	55	2.8	77%	0.02	-6.6	1.23%	0	0.6	50	0
24	Apr_25_2016	41.3	43.37	43.35	43.42			43.06(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-5	42	2.76	71%	0.02	-5.4	1.25%	0	-0.4	49	0
25	Apr_22_2016	41.29	43.4	43.24	43.55			43.45(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-1	33	3.04	72%		-3	1.27%	0	0.1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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