Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $43.7462 (0.44%) ($43.3139 - $43.7750) on Mon. Apr. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $43.7462(0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(74%)    IWC(72%)    IWN(72%)    IWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.28(1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.96(1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.41(0.77%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   19%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2016	41.25	43.41	42.96	43.28			43.75(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	15	-38	3.8	72%	0.02	-15.9	1.28%	0	0.5	44	0
2	Apr_15_2016	41.24	43.43	42.94	42.88			43.55(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	-10000	10	-64	4.95	68%	0.05	-27.2	1.29%	0	0.2	48	0
3	Apr_14_2016	41.22	43.44	43	42.6			43.22(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-14	-10000	6	-74	5.01	68%	0	-32.6	1.32%	0	-0.3	49	0
4	Apr_13_2016	41.22	43.45	43.1	42.43			43.51(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-19	-10000	-0	-77	8.32	63%	0	-36.6	1.31%	0	0.1	53	0
5	Apr_12_2016	41.22	43.46	43.17	42.44			42.35(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-6	-71	7.87	60%	0	-30.9	1.35%	0	-1.5	39	0

6	Apr_11_2016	41.22	43.53	43.37	42.62			41.78(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-10000	-14	-63	7.16	58%	0	-23.3	1.34%	0	-2.5	31	0
7	Apr_8_2016	41.22	43.63	43.58	43.01			42.13(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-23	-10000	-15	-46	8.62	54%	0.02	-4.4	1.34%	0	-2.5	32	0
8	Apr_7_2016	41.21	43.69	43.73	43.44			42.36(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-16	-10000	-13	-24	9.48	54%	0	21.9	1.39%	0	-2.7	38	0
9	Apr_6_2016	41.21	43.73	43.83	43.84			43.57(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-6	-2	2.83	54%	0.07	58.2	1.34%	0	-0.4	54	0
10	Apr_5_2016	41.18	43.73	43.85	44.01			43.25(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-3	-10000	-7	8	4.52	54%	0.07	70.4	1.37%	0	-0.9	46	0

11	Apr_4_2016	41.15	43.69	43.93	44.01			43.73(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	7	-10000	0	26	2.77	54%	0.07	98.2	1.36%	0	0.1	52	0
12	Apr_1_2016	41.12	43.66	43.97	44.23			44.3(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	6	33	3.31	54%	0.05	106	1.36%	0	1.3	58	0
13	Mar_31_2016	41.1	43.58	43.92	44.05			44.36(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	8	32	3.95	54%	0.05	107.6	1.37%	0	1.5	67	0
14	Mar_30_2016	41.08	43.48	43.82	43.82			44.42(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	5	22	3.74	54%	0.02	103.2	1.37%	0	1.7	68	0
15	Mar_29_2016	41.07	43.36	43.75	43.68			44.32(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	-10000	3	23	3.03	54%	0.02	108.4	1.38%	0	1.7	68	0

16	Mar_28_2016	41.06	43.23	43.67	43.6			43.74(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-3	21	3.03	54%	-0.1	98.7	1.37%	0	0.8	58	0
17	Mar_24_2016	41.1	43.12	43.66	43.69			43.41(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-3	33	3.9	54%	-0.02	95.7	1.37%	0	0.4	58	0
18	Mar_23_2016	41.11	43.03	43.63	43.77			43.19(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-1	42	4.97	54%	-0.02	95.3	1.38%	0	0.2	59	0
19	Mar_22_2016	41.12	42.92	43.62	43.77			43.73(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	0	52	2.24	57%	-0.02	88.7	1.37%	0	0.8	71	0
20	Mar_21_2016	41.13	42.76	43.53	43.81			43.94(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	2	59	4.87	57%	0	87.1	1.39%	0	1	76	0

21	Mar_18_2016	41.13	42.58	43.45	43.75			44.17(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	-10000	3	73	4.03	55%	0.02	87.7	1.39%	0	1.2	84	0
22	Mar_17_2016	41.12	42.36	43.32	43.65			43.81(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	24	-10000	5	82	4.77	52%	0	94.2	1.4%	0	1.1	82	0
23	Mar_16_2016	41.12	42.17	43.21	43.49			43.39(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	3	85	4.53	54%	0.02	100.9	1.42%	0	0.9	81	0
24	Mar_15_2016	41.11	42	43.11	43.39			43.73(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	-10000	6	96	4.61	54%	0.02	104.4	1.43%	0	1.2	90	0
25	Mar_14_2016	41.1	41.77	42.95	43.21			43.63(-0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	28	-10000	3	103	3.25	54%		111.3	1.43%	0	1.3	92	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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