Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $44.3668 (2.01%) ($43.6954 - $44.6667) on Thu. Aug. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $44.3668(2.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(74%)    IWN(73%)    IWO(73%)    VT(71%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    SDY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $37.69(-15.05%)
Resistance Level   $45.32
5 Day Moving Average   $43.06(3.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.42(-0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.32(-2.1%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 3.27% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150927

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_27_2015	46.84	45.32	44.42	43.06			44.37(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-47	-10000	-4	-175	7.27	44%	-0.09	-56.3	1.15%	0	-0.6	42	0
2	Aug_26_2015	46.88	45.43	44.55	43.15			43.49(3.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-62	-10000	-20	-187	4.55	39%	-0.09	-56.8	1.12%	0	-1.3	34	0
3	Aug_25_2015	46.92	45.58	44.79	43.64			41.97(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-77	-10000	-38	-193	5.91	33%	-0.15	-55	1.03%	0	-2.6	17	0
4	Aug_24_2015	46.99	45.8	45.23	44.51			42.09(-2.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-63	-10000	-37	-140	9.8	33%	-0.11	-53.4	1.04%	0	-3.3	24	0
5	Aug_21_2015	47.04	46.02	45.68	45.39			43.37(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-38	-10000	-24	-80	9.29	36%	-0.08	-60.7	0.98%	0	-3.5	32	0

6	Aug_20_2015	47.08	46.17	45.95	45.94			44.83(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-20	-10000	-10	-51	5.36	40%	-0.06	-78.3	0.9%	0	-2.7	35	0
7	Aug_19_2015	47.11	46.29	46.1	46.14			45.94(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-9	-10000	1	-39	4.28	44%	-0.04	-84.3	0.85%	0	-0.7	44	0
8	Aug_18_2015	47.13	46.37	46.21	46.12			46.32(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	2	-30	3.33	46%	-0.04	-80.9	0.84%	0	-0.1	50	0
9	Aug_17_2015	47.15	46.42	46.23	46.08			46.47(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-10000	2	-25	3.68	46%	-0.02	-77.2	0.85%	0	0.1	55	0
10	Aug_14_2015	47.16	46.48	46.21	46.05			46.14(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	3	-23	2.32	48%	-0.02	-73.9	0.86%	0	-0.5	54	0

11	Aug_13_2015	47.17	46.56	46.28	45.98			45.81(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-4	-24	3.3	48%	-0.04	-64.8	0.86%	0	-1	47	0
12	Aug_12_2015	47.19	46.69	46.36	46.06			45.88(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-13	-28	5.04	48%	-0.04	-53.9	0.86%	0	-1	40	0
13	Aug_11_2015	47.21	46.79	46.36	46.31			46.12(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-4	-21	6.19	48%	-0.04	-40.2	0.86%	0	-0.8	37	0
14	Aug_10_2015	47.23	46.88	46.41	46.31			46.31(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	0	-31	2.52	48%	-0.04	-33.7	0.86%	0	-0.7	40	0
15	Aug_7_2015	47.25	46.97	46.37	46.4			45.77(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-10000	-11	-62	3.66	50%	-0.04	-28.5	0.85%	0	-1.5	33	0

16	Aug_6_2015	47.27	47.06	46.43	46.61			46.2(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-4	-65	4.85	51%	-0.02	-19.9	0.85%	0	-1.1	34	0
17	Aug_5_2015	47.28	47.06	46.51	46.7			47.13(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	9	-77	5.13	53%	0	-18.5	0.82%	0	0	35	0
18	Aug_4_2015	47.28	47.11	46.54	46.53			46.61(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-10000	6	-97	3.38	51%	-0.02	-24.8	0.82%	0	-0.7	38	0
19	Aug_3_2015	47.29	47.16	46.61	46.41			46.29(-1.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-27	-10000	4	-118	3.75	51%	0	-25.8	0.82%	0	-1.2	34	0
20	Jul_31_2015	47.29	47.2	46.75	46.33			46.83(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-29	-10000	6	-133	2.65	56%	0	-35.9	0.81%	0	-0.5	35	0

21	Jul_30_2015	47.29	47.21	46.85	46.21			46.61(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-39	-10000	-5	-142	2.78	54%	0	-46.4	0.83%	0	-0.8	41	0
22	Jul_29_2015	47.29	47.25	47.02	46.3			46.31(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-41	-10000	-14	-123	3.69	50%	0	-50	0.83%	0	-1.3	45	0
23	Jul_28_2015	47.29	47.29	47.18	46.57			46.02(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-10000	-14	-87	7.08	50%	0	-51.4	0.87%	0	-1.9	44	0
24	Jul_27_2015	47.29	47.34	47.38	46.85			45.87(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-30	-10000	-19	-63	3.05	48%	0	-51.9	0.86%	0	-2.4	37	0
25	Jul_24_2015	47.29	47.46	47.63	47.23			46.25(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-16	-10000	-16	-17	2.97	48%		-36.8	0.87%	0	-2.2	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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