Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 12, 2014

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $43.2274 (1.86%) ($42.3822 - $43.2747) on Wed. Nov. 12, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $43.2274(1.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(75%)    VT(71%)    XLI(68%)    PEJ(67%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.59(1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.23(2.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.3(4.67%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 2.93% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2014	40.82	41.3	42.23	42.59			43.23(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	-10000	13	119	7.81	58%	0.07	72	1.1%	0	1.6	74	0
2	Nov_11_2014	40.79	41.1	42.01	42.28			42.44(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	7	111	2.45	56%	0.05	62.7	1.09%	0	1.1	75	0
3	Nov_10_2014	40.77	40.94	41.9	42.11			42.38(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	6	111	1.73	56%	0.05	54.3	1.09%	0	1.2	68	0
4	Nov_7_2014	40.75	40.76	41.73	41.97			42.52(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	7	114	7.28	58%	0.05	45.9	1.1%	0	1.5	73	0
5	Nov_6_2014	40.73	40.6	41.54	41.82			42.37(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	-0	119	5.39	58%	0.02	38.8	1.11%	0	1.6	76	0

6	Nov_5_2014	40.72	40.45	41.37	41.83			41.71(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	-10000	6	149	4.9	56%	0.02	38.9	1.09%	0	1.2	74	0
7	Nov_4_2014	40.71	40.37	41.2	41.7			41.55(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-10000	3	150	5.52	57%	0.05	39.2	1.09%	0	1.1	71	0
8	Nov_3_2014	40.69	40.28	41.09	41.64			41.7(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	-10000	9	166	2.35	57%	0.05	36.6	1.1%	0	1.4	73	0
9	Oct_31_2014	40.67	40.21	40.9	41.44			41.77(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	-10000	11	169	4.8	55%	0.05	31.4	1.1%	0	1.6	76	0
10	Oct_30_2014	40.65	40.16	40.64	41.2			42.44(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	51	-10000	16	154	2.45	58%	0.05	26.9	1.09%	0	2.6	72	0

11	Oct_29_2014	40.63	40.04	40.29	40.84			41.03(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	10	130	13.76	55%	0.02	17.8	1.02%	0	1.4	64	0
12	Oct_28_2014	40.62	39.97	40.12	40.63			41.27(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	9	99	10.81	55%	0.02	1.2	1.02%	0	1.9	55	0
13	Oct_27_2014	40.61	39.97	39.9	40.45			40.67(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	8	79	4.62	53%	0	-8.5	1%	0	1.1	56	0
14	Oct_24_2014	40.61	39.97	39.7	40.28			40.58(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	15	43	5.47	52%	0.02	-18.2	1.01%	0	1	49	0
15	Oct_23_2014	40.6	39.92	39.58	39.98			40.66(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	-10000	16	-2	8.33	52%	0.02	-36.9	1.01%	0	1.1	45	0

16	Oct_22_2014	40.59	39.91	39.45	39.66			39.95(-1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	7	-44	3.69	49%	0	-57.7	0.99%	0	0.1	46	0
17	Oct_21_2014	40.59	39.97	39.47	39.52			40.39(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	-10000	13	-49	4.74	51%	0.05	-68.5	0.98%	0	0.6	54	0
18	Oct_20_2014	40.57	39.98	39.4	39.27			39.82(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	12	-81	4.11	49%	0	-81.9	0.97%	0	-0.2	45	0
19	Oct_17_2014	40.57	40.04	39.45	39.04			39.07(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-31	-10000	-4	-113	8.04	47%	0	-84.5	0.96%	0	-1.2	36	0
20	Oct_16_2014	40.57	40.17	39.63	39.11			39.07(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-10000	-5	-106	8.02	47%	0	-78.4	0.98%	0	-1.2	36	0

21	Oct_15_2014	40.57	40.32	39.76	39.2			39.23(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-10000	-11	-107	7.52	47%	0	-74.1	0.98%	0	-1.2	39	0
22	Oct_14_2014	40.57	40.46	39.82	39.42			39.16(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-7	-107	6.18	47%	-0.05	-65.7	0.98%	0	-1.4	35	0
23	Oct_13_2014	40.59	40.6	39.95	39.55			38.69(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-10000	-19	-108	3.97	45%	0	-62.2	0.97%	0	-2.1	36	0
24	Oct_10_2014	40.59	40.75	40.17	39.92			39.4(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-16	-84	10.76	46%	0	-58.7	0.94%	0	-1.6	37	0
25	Oct_9_2014	40.59	40.88	40.32	40.23			39.52(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-10000	-8	-69	4.51	46%		-51.3	0.95%	0	-1.7	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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