Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $39.8180 (1.91%) ($38.8499 - $39.8227) on Mon. Oct. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $39.8180(1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(74%)    VT(71%)    XLI(68%)    PEJ(67%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $35.89(-9.86%)
Resistance Level   $39.98
5 Day Moving Average   $39.27(1.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.4(1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.98(-0.41%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2014	40.57	39.98	39.4	39.27			39.82(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	12	-81	4.11	49%	0	-81.9	0.97%	0	-0.2	45	0
2	Oct_17_2014	40.57	40.04	39.45	39.04			39.07(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-31	-10000	-4	-113	8.04	47%	0	-84.5	0.96%	0	-1.2	36	0
3	Oct_16_2014	40.57	40.17	39.63	39.11			39.07(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-10000	-5	-106	8.02	47%	0	-78.4	0.98%	0	-1.2	36	0
4	Oct_15_2014	40.57	40.32	39.76	39.2			39.23(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-10000	-11	-107	7.52	47%	0	-74.1	0.98%	0	-1.2	39	0
5	Oct_14_2014	40.57	40.46	39.82	39.42			39.16(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-7	-107	6.18	47%	-0.05	-65.7	0.98%	0	-1.4	35	0

6	Oct_13_2014	40.59	40.6	39.95	39.55			38.69(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-10000	-19	-108	3.97	45%	0	-62.2	0.97%	0	-2.1	36	0
7	Oct_10_2014	40.59	40.75	40.17	39.92			39.4(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-16	-84	10.76	46%	0	-58.7	0.94%	0	-1.6	37	0
8	Oct_9_2014	40.59	40.88	40.32	40.23			39.52(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-10000	-8	-69	4.51	46%	0.02	-51.3	0.95%	0	-1.7	33	0
9	Oct_8_2014	40.58	41.01	40.44	40.39			40.34(1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10000	5	-73	4.15	48%	0.05	-50.6	0.93%	0	-0.9	35	0
10	Oct_7_2014	40.56	41.08	40.51	40.29			39.81(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-10000	-7	-101	4.89	44%	0.02	-57.1	0.92%	0	-1.8	31	0

11	Oct_6_2014	40.55	41.17	40.61	40.41			40.53(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-10000	-3	-111	2.46	46%	0.02	-60.1	0.9%	0	-1	35	0
12	Oct_3_2014	40.54	41.24	40.67	40.47			40.95(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-27	-10000	2	-113	4.74	50%	0.05	-58	0.9%	0	-0.4	43	0
13	Oct_2_2014	40.52	41.29	40.74	40.44			40.34(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10000	-3	-123	4.22	47%	0.02	-57.5	0.9%	0	-1.4	33	0
14	Oct_1_2014	40.51	41.38	40.91	40.5			39.82(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-43	-10000	-15	-125	3.53	45%	0	-58.5	0.88%	0	-2.4	27	0
15	Sep_30_2014	40.51	41.49	41.13	40.77			40.41(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-3	-94	3.83	47%	0.02	-57.8	0.87%	0	-1.9	37	0

16	Sep_29_2014	40.5	41.58	41.29	40.83			40.82(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-10000	-3	-84	2.6	49%	0.05	-58.5	0.86%	0	-1.5	43	0
17	Sep_26_2014	40.48	41.63	41.37	40.89			40.8(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-11	-87	3.39	49%	0.05	-56.5	0.86%	0	-1.7	38	0
18	Sep_25_2014	40.46	41.69	41.5	41.09			40.65(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-10000	-17	-73	2.11	49%	0.07	-41.5	0.86%	0	-2.4	35	0
19	Sep_24_2014	40.43	41.77	41.64	41.39			41.17(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-10	-46	3.46	52%	0.05	-17.6	0.85%	0	-1.6	38	0
20	Sep_23_2014	40.41	41.82	41.69	41.56			40.7(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-21	-10000	-15	-37	3.11	49%	0.05	7.1	0.84%	0	-3.2	36	0

21	Sep_22_2014	40.39	41.88	41.79	41.82			41.14(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-8	-10000	-5	-16	2.98	52%	0.02	54.4	0.83%	0	-3.1	39	0
22	Sep_19_2014	40.38	41.9	41.87	41.91			41.81(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	-10000	-2	-6	4.35	55%	0.07	114.6	0.81%	0	-0.4	50	0
23	Sep_18_2014	40.35	41.88	41.9	41.95			42.12(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	1	0	1.39	55%	0.07	121.1	0.81%	0	1	52	0
24	Sep_17_2014	40.32	41.84	41.89	41.93			42.04(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	4	-1	1.91	55%	0.07	137.1	0.81%	0	0.8	47	0
25	Sep_16_2014	40.29	41.79	41.88	41.86			41.98(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	6	-10	2.24	55%		123	0.82%	0	0.6	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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