Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 26, 2014

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $42.0336 (0.75%) ($41.7182 - $42.1043) on Tue. Aug. 26, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $42.0336(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(75%)    VT(71%)    XLI(68%)    PEJ(67%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.57(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.03(2.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.48(3.84%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 1.93% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140926

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_26_2014	39.85	40.48	41.03	41.57			42.03(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	-10000	12	149	1.98	53%	0.08	58.5	0.82%	0	2	71	0
2	Aug_25_2014	39.82	40.36	40.83	41.37			41.72(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	-10000	8	136	2.52	53%	0.05	57.2	0.82%	0	1.9	71	0
3	Aug_22_2014	39.8	40.25	40.7	41.23			41.52(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	-10000	19	139	2.2	53%	0.03	56.1	0.82%	0	2	67	0
4	Aug_21_2014	39.79	40.16	40.56	40.91			41.24(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	12	117	4.18	53%	0	43.9	0.83%	0	1.9	69	0
5	Aug_20_2014	39.79	40.1	40.39	40.71			41.33(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	39	-10000	18	103	2.82	47%	0.03	44	0.83%	0	2.5	68	0

6	Aug_19_2014	39.78	40.02	40.24	40.41			41.03(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.5	24	-10000	11	64	4.37	47%	0.05	33.3	0.88%	0	2.5	58	0
7	Aug_18_2014	39.76	39.96	40.1	40.22			41.03(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	17	-10000	7	46	4.37	47%	0.03	20	0.88%	0	3.1	61	0
8	Aug_15_2014	39.75	39.9	39.98	40.1			39.89(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-4	35	5.72	44%	0.03	6.2	0.83%	0	-0	53	0
9	Aug_14_2014	39.74	39.92	39.94	40.16			40.24(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	8	41	3.88	43%	0.03	7.4	0.84%	0	1.2	56	0
10	Aug_13_2014	39.73	39.88	39.87	40.02			39.84(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	4	-10000	-0	14	6.7	40%	0	-26.2	0.85%	0	-0.2	45	0

11	Aug_12_2014	39.73	39.88	39.89	40.03			40.1(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	4	19	3.51	45%	0.03	-42.6	0.84%	0	0.8	51	0
12	Aug_11_2014	39.72	39.88	39.85	39.96			40.42(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	8	-10000	7	10	2.64	45%	0	-58.9	0.87%	0	1.8	56	0
13	Aug_8_2014	39.72	39.89	39.77	39.84			40.18(1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	6	-10000	9	-3	3.87	49%	-0.03	-83.6	0.89%	0	1	52	0
14	Aug_7_2014	39.73	39.9	39.73	39.84			39.57(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	0	-29	3.98	46%	-0.03	-103.6	0.88%	0	-1	40	0
15	Aug_6_2014	39.74	39.95	39.73	39.69			39.88(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-7	-10000	-2	-21	4.25	42%	0	-91.3	0.88%	0	-0.2	55	0

16	Aug_5_2014	39.74	40.01	39.79	39.69			39.72(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4	-10000	0	-16	3.87	42%	-0.03	-83	0.91%	0	-0.6	46	0
17	Aug_4_2014	39.75	40.06	39.79	39.73			39.87(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	2	-22	2.6	42%	-0.03	-74	0.91%	0	-0.4	46	0
18	Aug_1_2014	39.76	40.13	39.81	39.69			39.43(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-4	-35	3.65	40%	0	-70.8	0.9%	0	-1.3	38	0
19	Jul_31_2014	39.76	40.24	39.81	39.76			39.53(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-8	-34	5.41	40%	-0.03	-50.3	0.91%	0	-1.2	38	0
20	Jul_30_2014	39.77	40.33	39.9	39.9			40.1(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	2	-35	4.8	42%	-0.03	-39.1	0.89%	0	-0.4	41	0

21	Jul_29_2014	39.78	40.38	39.89	39.87			39.71(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-16	-10000	-2	-58	2.48	39%	-0.08	-32.9	0.88%	0	-1	29	0
22	Jul_28_2014	39.81	40.44	39.94	39.9			39.71(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-3	-67	3.56	39%	0	-31.4	0.88%	0	-1.2	35	0
23	Jul_25_2014	39.81	40.5	40.01	39.95			39.75(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-6	-77	3.48	39%	0	-29.7	0.89%	0	-1.3	31	0
24	Jul_24_2014	39.81	40.55	40.08	40.05			40.22(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-10000	8	-84	4.91	42%	0	-26.2	0.89%	0	-0.6	30	0
25	Jul_23_2014	39.81	40.57	40.12	39.91			39.96(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-1	-111	3.95	42%		-35	0.89%	0	-1.1	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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