Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $40.6948 (0.12%) ($40.5958 - $40.7938) on Mon. Jun. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $40.6948(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(77%)    IWM(75%)    VT(71%)    XLI(68%)    PEJ(67%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.65(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.37(0.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40(1.74%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2014	39.59	40	40.37	40.65			40.69(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	4	57	2.98	37%	0.05	80.4	1.02%	0	1.3	72	0
2	Jun_20_2014	39.57	39.92	40.33	40.56			40.65(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	7	65	3.05	37%	0.03	74.6	1.02%	0	1.3	72	0
3	Jun_19_2014	39.56	39.84	40.28	40.41			40.53(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	8	66	2.84	37%	0.05	68.8	1.02%	0	1.2	69	0
4	Jun_18_2014	39.54	39.74	40.22	40.24			40.83(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	20	-10000	6	62	2.87	37%	0.03	53.4	1.02%	0	1.8	76	0
5	Jun_17_2014	39.53	39.62	40.11	40.11			40.56(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	17	-10000	2	61	6.15	37%	0.05	38.3	1.02%	0	1.6	77	0

6	Jun_16_2014	39.51	39.56	39.99	40.06			40.21(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10000	-1	58	3.75	37%	0.03	34.5	1.01%	0	1.2	64	0
7	Jun_13_2014	39.5	39.51	39.91	40.08			39.9(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-3	63	7.39	37%	0.03	38.8	1.01%	0	0.7	64	0
8	Jun_12_2014	39.49	39.45	39.86	40.14			39.68(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	17	-10000	-3	75	4.14	37%	0	43.2	1.02%	0	0.4	64	0
9	Jun_11_2014	39.49	39.43	39.82	40.2			40.22(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	-10000	5	96	2.87	32%	0.03	54	1%	0	1.4	80	0
10	Jun_10_2014	39.48	39.4	39.7	40.09			40.29(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	8	84	1.27	32%	0.03	61.4	1.16%	0	1.7	82	0

11	Jun_9_2014	39.47	39.37	39.6	39.91			40.31(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	9	71	1.81	32%	0.05	61.3	1.17%	0	1.9	59	0
12	Jun_6_2014	39.45	39.31	39.48	39.7			40.19(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	-10000	7	55	2.43	32%	0.03	51.8	1.18%	0	2	60	0
13	Jun_5_2014	39.44	39.22	39.35	39.54			39.96(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-10000	6	46	4.48	32%	0.03	34.5	1.19%	0	1.7	64	0
14	Jun_4_2014	39.43	39.13	39.21	39.4			39.7(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	6	29	2.14	32%	0	14.3	1.19%	0	1.3	55	0
15	Jun_3_2014	39.43	39.08	39.21	39.25			39.39(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1	-10000	1	2	2.19	32%	0	-0.9	1.2%	0	0.7	45	0

16	Jun_2_2014	39.43	39.07	39.09	39.24			39.28(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	-10000	1	-4	2.71	32%	0	1.8	1.2%	0	0.5	42	0
17	May_30_2014	39.43	39.08	39.08	39.21			39.38(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	3	-4	6.88	32%	0	8	1.21%	0	0.7	52	0
18	May_29_2014	39.43	39.08	39.02	39.13			39.23(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	6	-5	1.6	32%	-0.03	3.6	1.22%	0	0.4	58	0
19	May_28_2014	39.44	39.07	39.01	38.99			38.99(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	-10000	4	-5	3.14	32%	0	-3.6	1.23%	0	-0.2	58	0
20	May_27_2014	39.44	39.08	39.07	38.89			39.35(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-1	-10000	-1	-2	5.64	32%	-0.03	-9.1	1.24%	0	0.6	56	0

21	May_23_2014	39.45	39.07	39.07	38.91			39.13(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	1	-10000	-1	5	1.91	32%	0	-3.6	1.24%	0	0.1	48	0
22	May_22_2014	39.45	39.05	39.12	38.94			38.96(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	-10000	2	6	4.27	32%	-0.03	0	1.25%	0	-0.2	46	0
23	May_21_2014	39.46	39.06	39.08	38.89			38.54(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-5	-10	5.75	32%	-0.05	3.6	1.25%	0	-1.2	45	0
24	May_20_2014	39.48	39.09	39.06	39.02			38.47(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-10	-14	5.39	32%	-0.05	21	1.27%	0	-1.5	44	0
25	May_19_2014	39.5	39.12	39.09	39.27			39.44(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3	-10000	-4	-1	1.57	36%		48	1.24%	0	0.8	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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