Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $39.9114 (-1.84%) ($39.8080 - $40.9550) on Fri. Apr. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $39.9114(-1.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(77%)    IWM(75%)    VT(71%)    XLI(68%)    PEJ(67%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $40.24
5 Day Moving Average   $40.23(-0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.87(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.24(-0.82%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2014	40.26	40.24	39.87	40.23			39.91(-1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	1	-10000	4	-7	5.28	31%	-0.05	0	1.35%	0	-0.4	43	0
2	Apr_3_2014	40.28	40.24	39.91	40.13			40.66(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	12	5	9.49	38%	0.05	0	1.34%	0	53.5	54	0
3	Apr_2_2014	40.26	40.24	39.87	39.81			40.78(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	12	5	6.85	38%	0.07	0	1.38%	0	52.3	56	0
4	Apr_1_2014	40.23	40.24	39.82	39.49			40.19(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4	-10000	4	2	6.07	24%	0	0	1.35%	0	50.9	42	0
5	Mar_31_2014	40.23	40.24	39.86	39.38			39.61(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	-4	-2	11	0%	-0.12	0	1.31%	0	48.9	33	0

6	Mar_28_2014	40.28	40.24	39.94	39.47			39.41(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-8	-3	6.72	0%	-0.15	0	1.33%	0	48.1	17	0
7	Mar_27_2014	40.34	40.24	40.03	39.67			39.07(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-10	-4	11.68	0%	-0.22	0	1.31%	0	47.6	50	0
8	Mar_26_2014	40.43	40.24	40.15	39.94			39.18(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-9	-4	12.51	0%	-0.27	0	1.36%	0	50.9	50	0
9	Mar_25_2014	40.54	40.24	40.3	40.19			39.63(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-7	-3	9.3	0%	-0.2	0	1.42%	0	56.6	50	0
10	Mar_24_2014	40.62	40.24	40.41	40.4			40.04(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	-10000	-3	-1	3.82	0%	-0.15	0	1.48%	0	58.9	50	0

11	Mar_21_2014	40.68	40.24	40.66	40.48			40.44(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10000	1	0	7.97	0%	-0.07	0	1.56%	0	59.5	50	0
12	Mar_20_2014	40.71	40.24	40.66	40.44			40.39(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10000	1	0	3.61	0%	-0.1	0	1.63%	0	56.1	50	0
13	Mar_19_2014	40.75	40.24	40.66	40.4			40.42(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-10000	-1	-0	3.34	0%	-0.1	0	1.72%	0	53.9	50	0
14	Mar_18_2014	40.79	40.24	40.66	40.4			40.68(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-10000	0	0	3.91	0%	-0.05	0	1.86%	0	51.5	50	0
15	Mar_17_2014	40.81	40.24	40.66	40.44			40.49(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	-11	-4	3.44	0%	-0.17	0	1.94%	0	47.6	50	0

16	Mar_14_2014	40.88	40.24	40.66	40.88			40.23(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.7	212	-10000	249	100	6.39	0%	-0.39	0	1.97%	0	43.7	50	0
17	Mar_13_2014	41.04	40.24	40.66	32.83			40.17(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	7.6	276	-10000	324	130	5.99	0%	-0.7	0	2%	0	41.4	50	0
18	Mar_12_2014	41.33	40.24	40.66	24.8			40.65(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	16.7	351	-10000	413	165	5.21	0%	-0.82	0	2.36%	0	42.8	50	0
19	Mar_11_2014	41.67	40.24	40.66	16.67			40.66(-4.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	23.8	0	-10000	0	0	5.07	0%	-2.34	0	0%	0	40.3	50	0
20	Mar_10_2014	42.67	40.24	40.66	8.53			42.67(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	4.06	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.