Trading Signals: XPEV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 29, 2023

Trading Signals: XPEV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Aug. 27, 2020 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(XPeng Inc. )
XPEV latest price $19.1400 (3.68%) ($17.4700 - $19.2200) on Tue. Aug. 29, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.2% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $19.1400(3.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XPEV advances 3.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XPEV advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XPEV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IDRV(68%)    MCHI(64%)    KWEB(62%)    EEM(61%)    FXI(61%)
Factors Impacting XPEV price   XPEV will decline at least -3.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-35%)    VIXM(-33%)    UUP(-15%)    TBT(-11%)    GLD(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.1% (StdDev 6.2%)
Hourly BBV 1.9 ()
Intraday Trend 4.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.48(9.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.67(14.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.05(12.26%)
To recent high   -18.2%
To recent low   143.2%
Market Cap   $13.598b

XPeng, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets smart electric vehicle. It produce environmental friendly vehicles, namely an SUV (the G3), and a four-door sports sedan (the P7). The company was founded by Xiao Peng He, Heng Xia, and Tao He in 2015 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

$. XPEV price fluctuates within 8.39% (three month std-dev: 6.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 3.25%(44%) Average negative next day return: -3.96%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 4.87%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -5.54%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 4.21%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.58%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230929

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_29_2023	12.65	17.05	16.67	17.48	17.57	18.41	19.14(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	350	22	45	23.49	86%	0.72	-49.5	6.2%	1.9	1.5	62	1.7
2	Aug_28_2023	12.56	17.06	16.34	16.84	16.91	17.66	18.46(5.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	320	18	13	24.93	86%	0.48	-43.1	6.24%	1.6	0.9	52	1.5
3	Aug_25_2023	12.5	17.16	16.09	16.43	16.4	16.73	17.53(8.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	140	16	-14	19.4	82%	0.64	-29.2	6.23%	2	0.2	40	0.2
4	Aug_24_2023	12.42	17.42	15.95	15.92	16.2	16.15	16.2(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	30	5	-45	12.05	79%	0.49	-17.2	6.26%	0.7	-0.6	33	-0.6
5	Aug_23_2023	12.36	17.61	15.99	15.81	15.77	16.07	16.06(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	130	0	-64	8.77	79%	0.49	-8	6.31%	0.5	-0.7	27	0.5

6	Aug_22_2023	12.3	17.61	16.07	15.72	15.83	16.24	15.94(-2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	200	6	-74	16.6	79%	0.41	0	6.34%	0	-0.9	33	-0.5
7	Aug_21_2023	12.25	17.61	16.24	15.75	15.67	15.48	16.43(9.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-100	1	-86	25.95	79%	0.49	2.6	6.33%	0	-0.6	30	-0.5
8	Aug_18_2023	12.19	17.78	16.44	15.71	15.65	15.41	14.98(-4.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-33	-120	-10	-103	23.52	75%	0.33	6	6.24%	0	-1.2	15	-1.4
9	Aug_17_2023	12.15	17.78	16.77	15.97	15.98	15.86	15.65(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-50	-5	-115	19.31	75%	0.33	10.6	6.24%	0	-1	12	-2.3
10	Aug_16_2023	12.11	17.79	17.15	16.2	16	15.9	15.58(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-80	-9	-114	11.77	75%	0.5	15.5	6.24%	0	-1	34	-1

11	Aug_15_2023	12.05	17.78	17.48	16.47	16.37	15.9	16.11(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-130	-7	-109	14.53	75%	0.5	18.3	6.24%	-0.8	-0.7	40	-0.8
12	Aug_14_2023	11.99	17.72	17.86	16.79	16.6	16.1	16.24(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-240	-16	-86	13.28	75%	0.59	20.5	6.24%	-0.5	-0.6	59	0.9
13	Aug_11_2023	11.92	17.64	18.32	17.29	17.07	16.63	16.28(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-220	-14	-52	14.04	72%	0.59	25.5	6.35%	-1	-0.5	56	0.2
14	Aug_10_2023	11.85	17.55	19.01	17.69	17.7	17.11	16.78(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-230	-15	-3	14.36	72%	0.59	29.4	6.35%	0	-0.3	62	-0.6
15	Aug_9_2023	11.78	17.44	19.37	18.25	18.09	17.51	16.94(-4.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-250	-15	38	17.44	72%	0.68	35.6	6.35%	0	-0.2	61	-0.6

16	Aug_8_2023	11.7	17.36	19.65	18.62	18.68	18.29	17.73(-5.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-140	-12	73	17.28	72%	0.78	40.4	6.35%	0	0.1	63	-0.7
17	Aug_7_2023	11.61	17.23	19.48	19.09	18.91	18.67	18.7(2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-120	-12	97	13.98	72%	0.87	47	6.3%	0	0.5	68	-0.6
18	Aug_4_2023	11.51	17.01	19.26	19.53	19.26	19.06	18.32(-6.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-110	-19	125	23.84	72%	0.88	53.6	6.3%	0	0.5	68	-1.6
19	Aug_3_2023	11.41	16.81	18.94	20.55	19.83	19.15	19.54(3.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	39	-350	-8	179	23.56	72%	1.06	70.3	6.24%	0	1	72	-0.7
20	Aug_2_2023	11.29	16.54	18.52	20.68	20.59	19.46	18.83(-6.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	41	-400	-12	200	33.28	72%	1.07	79.4	6.24%	0	0.8	71	-0.7

21	Aug_1_2023	11.17	16.33	18.16	20.81	20.95	20.51	20.05(-4.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	62	-130	7	225	28.77	72%	1.09	89.9	6.18%	0	1.3	68	1.2
22	Jul_31_2023	11.05	16.02	17.6	19.87	20.71	21.71	20.92(-10.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	460	25	199	57.21	72%	1.19	90.5	6.19%	1.6	1.8	71	1.5
23	Jul_28_2023	10.92	15.62	16.91	18.89	19.49	21.4	23.39(15.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	89	780	57	186	59.19	77%	1.49	93.5	6%	0	3.1	81	1.3
24	Jul_27_2023	10.76	15.02	15.92	17.12	17.75	19.71	20.22(3.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	66	880	48	121	51.62	76%	1.13	97.6	5.74%	0	2.8	77	0.5
25	Jul_26_2023	10.64	14.58	15.26	16.09	16.37	17.58	19.46(26.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	51	570	42	79	138.52	76%		101.3	5.76%	0	3.2	76	1.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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