Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 25, 2022

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $147.6400 (4.02%) ($141.6300 - $147.9000) on Wed. May. 25, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.77% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $147.6400(4.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(95%)    USO(68%)    VFMO(68%)    VYM(64%)    XLB(59%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    UUP(-28%)    VXX(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    BNDX(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.385% (StdDev 2.77%)
Hourly BBV 2 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $140.94(4.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $138.26(6.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $136.48(8.18%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   32.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 4.18% (three month std-dev: 2.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.39%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.43%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.48%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.51%(40%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.66%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.17%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220625

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_25_2022	123.93	136.48	138.26	140.94	140.62	142.97	147.64(4.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	89	110	85	101	6.33	61%	0.36	38.8	2.77%	2	2	56	1.7
2	May_24_2022	123.49	135.61	136.33	138.62	138.07	140.46	141.93(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	110	49	45	6.2	59%	0.35	17.6	2.73%	1.2	1.2	46	2.1
3	May_23_2022	123.06	134.98	134.93	138.37	137.37	138.28	142.39(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	20	55	30	6.51	59%	0.38	4.2	2.73%	2	1.5	54	2.2
4	May_20_2022	122.59	134.37	133.39	137.22	137.29	135.68	136.78(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-80	-10	-14	5.45	57%	0.34	-15.9	2.7%	-0.2	0.5	56	2
5	May_19_2022	122.18	134.18	133.77	136.59	137.17	136.46	135.97(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-20	-30	-13	6.15	57%	0.32	-27.9	2.72%	-0.3	0.4	56	1.7

6	May_18_2022	121.79	134.3	134.09	135.04	136.6	138.91	136.03(-3.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	150	56	14	6.55	57%	0.32	-36.4	2.74%	-1.7	0.3	52	2
7	May_17_2022	121.4	134.7	134.79	133.53	133.97	137.88	140.66(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	90	210	106	40	6.3	60%	0.35	-37.2	2.7%	1.3	1	60	1.8
8	May_16_2022	120.98	134.75	134.44	130.97	131.74	134.3	136.68(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	92	150	112	31	8.52	58%	0.13	-42.4	2.69%	1	0.3	59	2.4
9	May_13_2022	120.82	135.14	133.97	129.08	129.76	130.06	133.63(4.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	30	7	-27	6.12	58%	0.32	-46.2	2.66%	1	-0.2	55	1.6
10	May_12_2022	120.43	135.57	133.82	130.73	129.78	129.19	128.19(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-50	-56	-39	7.48	56%	0.28	-34	2.64%	-0.8	-1.2	47	1.6

11	May_11_2022	120.09	136.3	134.59	133.1	133.11	129.45	128.47(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-190	-65	-26	7.57	58%	0.28	-19.7	2.66%	0.1	-1.2	41	1.8
12	May_10_2022	119.75	136.86	134.97	136.25	135.8	130.37	127.86(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-141	-290	-168	-59	8.64	58%	0.32	-4.1	2.69%	-0.8	-1.5	36	2.4
13	May_9_2022	119.37	137.37	135.25	138.32	139.23	136.77	127.24(-10.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-81	-100	-97	-33	12.53	58%	0.29	4.4	2.69%	-1.8	-1.8	38	2
14	May_6_2022	119.02	138.05	135.73	139.27	140	141.24	141.88(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	80	36	6	6.44	64%	0.4	11.2	2.33%	0.6	0.7	45	1.4
15	May_5_2022	118.54	137.78	134.81	137.26	137.37	141.7	140.05(-2.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	68	220	93	-9	8.94	64%	0.39	2.4	2.35%	-0.1	0.4	46	1.7

16	May_4_2022	118.08	137.55	134.6	136.31	135.44	138.76	144.23(4.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	127	150	168	4	10.19	66%	0.43	-3.5	2.33%	1.6	1.3	50	1
17	May_3_2022	117.57	137.1	134.49	133.69	133.26	133.03	138.2(4.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	22	-20	50	-63	7.71	64%	0.36	-18.3	2.28%	1.3	0.2	49	-0.9
18	May_2_2022	117.15	137.12	134.87	131.9	131.89	132.12	132(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	10	-31	-107	13.21	61%	0.27	-25	2.22%	-0.7	-1	45	-0.1
19	Apr_29_2022	116.84	137.46	136.17	131.64	132.03	133.49	131.81(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	25	90	55	-66	7.13	64%	0.28	-27.5	2.24%	-0.6	-1.2	41	0.2
20	Apr_28_2022	116.51	137.65	137.28	131.93	130.77	131.67	135.32(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	20	11	-72	7.97	66%	0.29	-24.8	2.23%	2.4	-0.5	50	0.8

21	Apr_27_2022	116.17	137.73	137.98	132.67	131.45	130.56	131.13(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-70	-47	-77	6.67	65%	0.26	-15.3	2.2%	0.6	-1.4	47	0.4
22	Apr_26_2022	115.87	137.99	138.84	135.51	134.63	129.87	129.24(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-109	-270	-121	-72	5.8	65%	0.28	9.2	2.2%	-0.4	-2	44	1.4
23	Apr_25_2022	115.55	138.35	139.76	138.34	138.05	132.35	130.69(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-195	-300	-230	-88	11.5	67%	0.32	37.9	2.2%	-0.7	-1.9	41	1.9
24	Apr_22_2022	115.18	138.79	140.79	141.33	141.79	139.39	133.26(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-112	-110	-143	-18	8.86	67%	0.33	84.3	2.21%	-1.6	-1.6	45	1.1
25	Apr_21_2022	114.8	138.8	141.27	143.26	144.12	143.75	139.02(-4.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	5	0	-14	62	9.16	67%		108	2.15%	-2.8	0.1	59	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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