Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 1, 2021

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $98.9800 (2.37%) ($97.8900 - $100.2000) on Thu. Jul. 1, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.42% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $98.9800(2.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(94%)    OIH(70%)    USO(66%)    VFMO(65%)    VYM(62%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-39%)    UUP(-23%)    VXX(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.21% (StdDev 2.42%)
Hourly BBV 1.4 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $97.14(1.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.44(2.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.61(2.45%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   33.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 2.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.24%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(40%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 3.29%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -3.53%(47%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 3.05%(73%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.34%(27%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2021	85.88	96.61	96.44	97.14	97.15	97.7	98.98(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	40	34	25	6.46	60%	0.29	48.5	2.42%	1.4	1.2	52	1.7
2	Jun_30_2021	85.63	96.47	95.84	97.06	97.21	96.05	96.69(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-80	-16	-4	5.79	60%	0.28	71.5	2.46%	1.2	0.1	50	1.5
3	Jun_29_2021	85.39	96.45	95.89	97.13	97.59	96.6	94.89(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-60	-42	-15	5.48	58%	0.23	99.5	2.46%	-1.1	-0.8	45	1.4
4	Jun_28_2021	85.19	96.47	96.19	97.13	97.99	98.36	95.4(-4.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	3	50	2	5	8.79	58%	0.31	120.8	2.49%	-1.6	-0.6	45	1.7
5	Jun_25_2021	84.93	96.19	96.29	97.33	97.45	98.57	99.75(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	46	80	53	23	8.31	63%	0.37	98.1	2.44%	2.1	1.4	55	2

6	Jun_24_2021	84.62	95.68	96	95.58	95.96	97.62	98.58(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	130	55	1	4.23	63%	0.36	75	2.45%	1	1	55	1.7
7	Jun_23_2021	84.32	95.15	95.77	94.47	94.38	96.34	97.03(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	34	140	50	-16	5.83	59%	0.37	58	2.45%	1	0.6	52	1.7
8	Jun_22_2021	84.01	94.61	95.81	94.55	93.7	94.29	95.9(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	15	20	27	-21	6.06	59%	0.37	46.3	2.53%	1.7	0.3	50	1.4
9	Jun_21_2021	83.7	94.22	96.03	94.96	94.22	92.42	95.37(4.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-160	-26	-30	7.56	59%	0.38	44.5	2.54%	1.7	0.3	53	0.6
10	Jun_18_2021	83.38	93.82	96.22	95.15	95.18	93.1	91.01(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-74	-150	-87	-34	9.6	51%	0.3	43.4	2.49%	-1.2	-0.6	61	-0.2

11	Jun_17_2021	83.13	93.62	96.82	96.42	96.68	96.02	93.02(-4.55%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-24	-40	-38	19	12.6	51%	0.31	53.9	2.62%	-1.7	-0.1	66	1
12	Jun_16_2021	82.87	93.33	97.22	97.16	97.39	97.26	97.45(-0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-0	-3	65	6.56	52%	0.39	58.6	2.55%	0.7	0.8	83	0.9
13	Jun_15_2021	82.55	92.88	97.11	97.22	97.51	97.34	97.97(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	17	-0	-8	91	5.54	52%	0.38	63.4	2.58%	0.3	1	88	1
14	Jun_14_2021	82.24	92.45	96.81	97.28	97.86	97.53	96.29(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-10	-4	113	4.82	52%	0.35	70.4	2.58%	-1.9	0.8	74	1.4
15	Jun_11_2021	81.95	91.96	96.17	97.5	97.82	97.68	97.36(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	26	-0	-7	124	5.11	52%	0.37	71.3	2.58%	-0.7	1.1	79	1.4

16	Jun_10_2021	81.65	91.19	95.39	97.31	97.71	98.19	96.71(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	50	8	138	6.91	55%	0.33	64	2.59%	-1.5	1.1	79	1.2
17	Jun_9_2021	81.38	90.57	94.55	97.26	97.47	97.96	97.76(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	40	23	149	5.9	55%	0.35	63.7	2.62%	0.1	1.4	81	1
18	Jun_8_2021	81.1	89.89	93.35	96.97	96.92	97.22	98.3(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	20	14	138	6.69	55%	0.22	66.2	2.64%	1.3	1.7	73	1.2
19	Jun_7_2021	80.92	89.23	92.27	96.28	96.57	96.98	97.35(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	40	32	134	5.24	55%	0.36	70.3	2.64%	0.7	1.8	67	1.4
20	Jun_4_2021	80.63	88.65	91.19	94.62	95.56	96.61	96.42(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	110	41	116	5.31	58%	0.31	73.6	2.68%	-0.5	1.9	71	1.5

21	Jun_3_2021	80.38	88.03	90.13	93.15	93.67	96.16	96.45(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	79	200	66	117	6.01	58%	0.35	72.1	2.71%	0.6	2.2	78	1.2
22	Jun_2_2021	80.1	87.43	89.09	91.39	91.75	94.51	96.35(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	107	220	105	114	9.98	58%	0.34	71.6	2.72%	1.1	2.7	69	1.5
23	Jun_1_2021	79.83	86.72	88.2	89.18	89.43	91.18	94.83(6.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	73	150	71	79	10.31	58%	0.54	70.5	2.72%	1.5	2.9	67	1.1
24	May_28_2021	79.4	86.1	87.59	87.74	87.78	88.98	89.07(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	100	35	56	3.57	55%	0.29	73.8	2.62%	0.7	1.2	57	1.5
25	May_27_2021	79.17	85.67	87.31	87.25	87.28	87.67	89.04(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	30	30	47	5.49	55%		78.2	2.64%	1.2	1.4	54	1.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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