Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $137.2000 (4%) ($131.3800 - $137.3400) on Wed. Aug. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.23% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $137.2000(4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(84%)    IWN(64%)    VYM(64%)    USO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.115% (StdDev 2.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $130.35(-4.99%)
5 Day Moving Average   $134.14(2.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $134.53(1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $136.66(0.4%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.23% (three month std-dev: 2.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2016	135.41		134.53	134.14			137.2(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	-10000	6	-47	5.01	48%	0.16	-40.8	2.23%	0	0.2	44	0
2	Aug_2_2016	135.2	136.66	134.61	133.27			131.92(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-5	-65	4.38	45%	0.11	-48.9	2.24%	0	-1.6	33	0
3	Aug_1_2016	135.05	136.91	135.28	134.02			131.04(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-10000	-3	-65	4.24	45%	0.09	-37.1	2.24%	0	-2	27	0
4	Jul_29_2016	134.93	137.45	136.19	134.46			137(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-14	-10000	0	-56	3.6	48%	0.17	-30.7	2.2%	0	-0.2	51	0
5	Jul_28_2016	134.7	137.55	136.39	134.41			133.52(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-4	-56	3.57	46%	0.15	-42.8	2.17%	0	-1.5	45	0

6	Jul_27_2016	134.5	137.91	137.06	134.99			132.88(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-10000	-8	-42	5.7	49%	0.17	-43.8	2.2%	0	-1.9	49	0
7	Jul_26_2016	134.27	138.17	137.84	136.17			135.68(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-4	-23	4.33	49%	0.11	-49.4	2.22%	0	-1	49	0
8	Jul_25_2016	134.12	138	138.59	136.77			133.24(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-8	-10000	-9	-6	4.21	49%	0.13	-55.4	2.24%	0	-1.7	47	0
9	Jul_22_2016	133.94	138.29	139.03	138.14			136.72(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-3	3	2.48	54%	0.19	-48.9	2.22%	0	-0.6	42	0
10	Jul_21_2016	133.68	138.74	139.12	138.66			136.44(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10000	-5	4	4.86	54%	0.23	-22.4	2.27%	0	-0.7	46	0

11	Jul_20_2016	133.37	139.09	139.05	139.42			138.76(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-2	4	3.15	54%	0.29	-10.3	2.26%	0	-0.1	47	0
12	Jul_19_2016	132.99	139.37	138.92	139.76			138.68(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-10000	-6	6	1.83	54%	0.31	-0.4	2.27%	0	-0.2	53	0
13	Jul_18_2016	132.58	139.56	138.71	140.71			140.08(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	4	29	2.26	54%	0.33	10.7	2.28%	0	0.1	64	0
14	Jul_15_2016	132.15	139.55	138.81	140.06			139.36(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	-10000	3	28	2.21	54%	0.33	4.7	2.3%	0	-0.1	52	0
15	Jul_14_2016	131.72	139.43	138.81	139.62			140.24(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	7	13	2.49	54%	0.34	-12.8	2.31%	0	0.2	44	0

16	Jul_13_2016	131.27	139.42	138.79	138.56			140.44(-2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	4	-5	3.22	54%	0.36	-31.9	2.31%	0	0.3	47	0
17	Jul_12_2016	130.8	139.39	138.47	137.93			143.44(4.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	1	-10000	9	-23	4.08	59%	0.34	-49.2	2.29%	0	1.1	48	0
18	Jul_11_2016	130.36	139.18	137.27	136.5			136.8(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	-6	-61	2.05	56%	0.32	-70.7	2.37%	0	-0.7	44	0
19	Jul_8_2016	129.94	139.39	137.43	137.46			137.2(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-3	-54	2.46	58%	0.32	-66.4	2.37%	0	-0.6	48	0
20	Jul_7_2016	129.53	139.9	138.27	137.87			134.92(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-7	-36	4.05	58%	0.27	-53.1	2.4%	0	-1.3	50	0

21	Jul_6_2016	129.18	140.58	139.13	139			137.28(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-0	-18	2.71	58%	0.32	-37.2	2.39%	0	-0.8	48	0
22	Jul_5_2016	128.77	141.18	139.87	139.02			136.32(-3.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	3	-10000	6	-7	4.08	58%	0.3	-26.3	2.42%	0	-1.1	48	0
23	Jul_1_2016	128.38	141.68	140.52	138.01			141.6(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	4	-14	2.61	62%	0.37	-28.6	2.36%	0	-0	53	0
24	Jun_30_2016	127.91	141.72	140.36	137.39			139.24(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-10000	-9	-27	3.24	62%	0.33	-32.4	2.35%	0	-0.6	49	0
25	Jun_29_2016	127.49	141.96	140.15	138.82			140.56(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-10000	-4	-29	4.29	62%		-22.5	2.35%	0	-0.3	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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