Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $205.3600 (5.03%) ($198.0400 - $207.7600) on Tue. Feb. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.49% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $205.3600(5.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    VYM(63%)    IVE(62%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.745% (StdDev 3.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $189.12(8.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $187.08(9.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $181.41(13.2%)
To recent high   -17.2%
To recent low   20.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 4.56% (three month std-dev: 3.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2015	220.27	181.41	187.08	189.12			205.36(5.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	26	-10000	9	75	5.3	46%	-0.41	2.4	3.49%	0	2.9	72	0
2	Feb_2_2015	221.18	180.05	183.93	186.06			195.52(5.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	6	63	3.9	43%	-0.45	-20.9	3.44%	0	2.5	68	0
3	Jan_30_2015	222.19	179.79	182.08	184.26			184.72(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	2	51	3.51	41%	-0.53	-32.8	3.37%	0	0.8	53	0
4	Jan_29_2015	223.37	180.03	180.71	183.73			180.68(0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-1	40	3.58	41%	-0.54	-41.8	3.36%	0	0.1	51	0
5	Jan_28_2015	224.58	180.52	180.3	183.93			179.32(-5.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-10000	-1	44	4.02	44%	-0.53	-39.3	3.36%	0	-0.2	56	0

6	Jan_27_2015	225.78	181.22	179.61	184.39			190.08(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	10	48	2.96	45%	-0.5	-38.3	3.35%	0	1.3	62	0
7	Jan_26_2015	226.92	181.35	177.77	181.36			186.48(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	6	22	1.81	45%	-0.54	-45.3	3.37%	0	0.7	54	0
8	Jan_23_2015	228.16	181.73	177.09	179.65			182.08(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	8	2	3.58	46%	-0.54	-44.9	3.35%	0	0	40	0
9	Jan_22_2015	229.41	182.52	176.75	177.27			181.68(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	4	-23	3.61	44%	-0.58	-39.1	3.38%	0	-0.1	42	0
10	Jan_21_2015	230.74	183.1	175.93	176.16			181.64(3.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	7	-44	3.09	46%	-0.57	-28.6	3.42%	0	-0.2	42	0

11	Jan_20_2015	232.06	183.95	175.25	174.12			174.92(-1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	-10000	2	-74	2.24	44%	-0.63	-21	3.41%	0	-0.9	34	0
12	Jan_16_2015	233.52	184.75	175.81	173.62			177.92(4.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	-10000	-2	-91	4.26	45%	-0.59	-15.9	3.4%	0	-0.7	35	0
13	Jan_15_2015	234.91	185.37	177.16	174.24			170.2(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-6	-93	3.08	45%	-0.61	-9.7	3.4%	0	-1.5	26	0
14	Jan_14_2015	236.35	185.78	179.23	176.13			176.12(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-21	-10000	2	-88	4.54	45%	-0.59	-10.6	3.43%	0	-1	27	0
15	Jan_13_2015	237.75	185.66	180.72	175.66			171.44(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10000	-3	-96	3.24	43%	-0.6	-15.6	3.41%	0	-1.5	29	0

16	Jan_12_2015	239.19	186.01	183.01	176.47			172.4(-4.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-6	-96	2.86	43%	-0.57	-21.1	3.48%	0	-1.4	27	0
17	Jan_9_2015	240.56	186.39	185.32	178.19			181.04(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-28	-10000	-8	-87	3.27	42%	-0.54	-26.3	3.45%	0	-0.6	44	0
18	Jan_8_2015	241.86	186.35	186.79	180.66			179.64(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-7	-70	2.97	42%	-0.53	-30.5	3.5%	0	-0.7	43	0
19	Jan_7_2015	243.15	186.78	188.77	183.02			173.76(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-10000	-11	-42	2.37	41%	-0.55	-29.3	3.47%	0	-1.4	54	0
20	Jan_6_2015	244.5	187.16	190.96	186.63			175.52(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10	-10000	-11	-6	3.14	41%	-0.52	-30.8	3.48%	0	-1.3	59	0

21	Jan_5_2015	245.79	188.05	193.51	190.43			181(-6.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-8	35	2.73	41%	-0.5	-26.1	3.47%	0	-0.8	58	0
22	Jan_2_2015	247.02	188.86	194.66	193.28			193.4(1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-10000	-2	66	1.36	43%	-0.63	-36	3.39%	0	0.5	66	0
23	Dec_31_2014	248.58	189.28	194.36	193.84			191.44(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-10000	-5	79	1.75	42%	-0.44	-49.3	3.38%	0	0.2	63	0
24	Dec_30_2014	249.67	189.61	192.99	195.5			191.8(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-10000	-2	81	1.44	41%	-0.46	-63.8	3.4%	0	0.2	53	0
25	Dec_29_2014	250.82	189.98	191.14	196.01			194.52(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-3	79	1.35	41%		-81.7	3.41%	0	0.5	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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