Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $200.0000 (4.93%) ($189.2000 - $200.0000) on Fri. Dec. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.39% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $200.0000(4.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    VYM(63%)    IVE(62%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.695% (StdDev 3.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $185.38(7.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $182.84(9.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $198.36(0.83%)
To recent high   -30.8%
To recent low   17%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 11.79% (three month std-dev: 3.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2014	256.45	198.36	182.84	185.38			200(4.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	16	-48	2.81	39%	-0.4	-51.1	3.39%	0	0.1	48	0
2	Dec_18_2014	257.47	200.29	181.78	180.52			190.6(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	9	-88	3.59	36%	-0.46	-51.2	3.32%	0	-0.4	41	0
3	Dec_17_2014	258.66	202.42	182.2	177.89			189.76(8.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-27	-10000	8	-132	4.87	36%	-0.48	-53.3	3.32%	0	-0.5	30	0
4	Dec_16_2014	259.9	204.6	183.32	175.69			175.52(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-54	-10000	-9	-189	3.69	33%	-0.52	-55.8	3.13%	0	-1.1	18	0
5	Dec_15_2014	261.26	207.56	185.67	178.14			171(-2.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-58	-10000	-6	-212	3.3	33%	-0.55	-55.7	3.12%	0	-1.4	14	0

6	Dec_12_2014	262.71	211.08	188.66	179.75			175.72(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-70	-10000	-12	-243	2.9	33%	-0.55	-57.4	3.11%	0	-1.4	14	0
7	Dec_11_2014	264.16	214.12	191.54	183.11			177.44(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-75	-10000	-14	-258	2.99	33%	-0.54	-57.5	3.11%	0	-1.5	18	0
8	Dec_10_2014	265.59	217.4	196.94	187.09			178.76(-4.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-73	-10000	-17	-242	2.88	33%	-0.52	-55.4	3.12%	0	-1.6	25	0
9	Dec_9_2014	266.98	220.71	202.92	192.14			187.76(4.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-10000	-8	-214	3.13	34%	-0.48	-51.2	3.08%	0	-1.5	28	0
10	Dec_8_2014	268.26	223.42	208.4	194.5			179.08(-6.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-62	-10000	-14	-204	3.75	31%	-0.5	-51.3	3%	0	-2.1	21	0

11	Dec_5_2014	269.62	226.95	215.28	198.77			192.52(-2.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-52	-10000	-8	-182	2.46	33%	-0.44	-51.6	2.9%	0	-1.8	23	0
12	Dec_4_2014	270.8	229.34	220.38	201.13			197.32(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-61	-10000	-24	-171	2.49	32%	-0.44	-53.8	2.9%	0	-1.9	30	0
13	Dec_3_2014	271.99	231.38	224.35	208.43			204(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-10000	-23	-143	2.5	33%	-0.4	-49.6	2.89%	0	-1.8	30	0
14	Dec_2_2014	273.07	232.79	227.6	215.74			199.56(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-51	-10000	-28	-119	2.77	32%	-0.43	-44.1	2.87%	0	-2.3	25	0
15	Dec_1_2014	274.26	234.89	231.35	224.74			200.44(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-42	-10000	-28	-82	4.42	32%	-0.41	-28.7	2.87%	0	-2.9	29	0

16	Nov_28_2014	275.4	237.2	235.63	234.26			204.32(-12.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.3	-27	-10000	-22	-40	3.65	32%	-0.58	-5.8	2.88%	0	-3.7	27	0
17	Nov_26_2014	277	239.02	239.04	242.05			233.84(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	1	-10000	-1	5	2.3	36%	-0.31	33	2.43%	0	-1.1	49	0
18	Nov_25_2014	277.86	239.36	239.83	242.37			240.52(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	7	-10000	4	14	2.35	39%	-0.29	44.8	2.42%	0	0.2	56	0
19	Nov_24_2014	278.66	239.22	240.03	241.23			244.56(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	7	23	2.29	39%	-0.12	29.9	2.43%	0	1	64	0
20	Nov_21_2014	279	238.38	239.51	239.14			248.04(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	7	-10000	5	12	2.38	39%	-0.29	13	2.42%	0	1.9	56	0

21	Nov_20_2014	279.8	237.72	239.21	237.58			243.28(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	6	-10000	6	7	1.9	39%	-0.3	9.7	2.41%	0	1.2	49	0
22	Nov_19_2014	280.64	237.46	238.56	235.83			235.44(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-4	-7	1.61	36%	-0.33	1	2.37%	0	-0.4	50	0
23	Nov_18_2014	281.58	237.3	238.58	237.01			234.84(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-6	-6	1.36	36%	-0.34	12.4	2.37%	0	-0.5	47	0
24	Nov_17_2014	282.53	237.66	238.09	238.63			234.12(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4	-10000	-4	-5	1.92	36%	-0.33	45.3	2.37%	0	-0.7	49	0
25	Nov_14_2014	283.47	237.7	238.56	239.78			240.2(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10000	-5	12	2.03	38%		63.3	2.37%	0	0.5	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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