Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 20, 2013

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $261.8000 (-0.85%) ($260.6800 - $264.5200) on Fri. Sep. 20, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $261.8000(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(60%)    XAR(58%)    SPY(54%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $262.08(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $260.29(0.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $255.67(2.4%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.09% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2013	246.12	255.67	260.29	262.08			261.8(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	5	128	0.88	56%	0.14	84.7	0.96%	0	1.1	81	0
2	Sep_19_2013	245.78	254.93	259.58	261.51			264.04(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	7	118	0.86	56%	0.17	79.8	1.1%	0	1.7	81	0
3	Sep_18_2013	245.37	253.83	258.52	260.45			264.92(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	34	-10000	8	113	1.46	56%	0.15	66.1	1.1%	0	2	77	0
4	Sep_17_2013	245.01	252.79	257.2	259.34			261.48(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-10000	7	111	0.77	58%	0.13	59.4	1.09%	0	1.6	78	0
5	Sep_16_2013	244.7	251.81	256.12	258.38			258.16(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-10000	1	99	0.74	55%	0.13	46.5	1.11%	0	1.2	68	0

6	Sep_13_2013	244.39	251.24	255.16	258.22			258.96(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	6	99	0.44	59%	0.12	42.9	1.12%	0	1.5	71	0
7	Sep_12_2013	244.09	250.66	254.22	257.3			258.72(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	7	94	0.73	59%	0.12	36.4	1.14%	0	1.6	74	0
8	Sep_11_2013	243.79	250.14	253.42	256.23			259.36(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	33	-10000	10	102	0.86	54%	0.15	31.7	1.15%	0	2	81	0
9	Sep_10_2013	243.43	249.64	252.24	254.73			256.72(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	8	90	0.92	54%	0.15	21	1.18%	0	1.8	71	0
10	Sep_9_2013	243.07	249.31	251.51	253.51			257.32(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	-10000	13	95	0.54	54%	0.16	7.4	1.18%	0	2.2	74	0

11	Sep_6_2013	242.69	249	250.65	251.65			254.36(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	7	77	0.77	56%	0.14	-11.3	1.18%	0	1.6	60	0
12	Sep_5_2013	242.36	248.86	249.89	250.67			253.4(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	3	63	0.82	53%	0.15	-26.6	1.19%	0	1.4	57	0
13	Sep_4_2013	242	248.7	248.75	250.2			251.84(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	5	46	0.54	53%	0.11	-30.1	1.2%	0	1	53	0
14	Sep_3_2013	241.73	248.79	248.02	249.39			250.64(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	1	24	0.59	53%	0.15	-25.4	1.2%	0	0.6	49	0
15	Aug_30_2013	241.36	249.05	247.17	249.22			248(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-10000	-2	5	0.79	50%	0.03	-11.8	1.22%	0	-0.3	44	0

16	Aug_29_2013	241.28	249.39	247.06	249.46			249.48(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	-10000	3	-0	0.84	50%	0.03	-1.8	1.22%	0	0	44	0
17	Aug_28_2013	241.2	249.7	246.87	248.93			251.04(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-10000	12	-11	1.51	50%	0.05	2.5	1.22%	0	0.3	45	0
18	Aug_27_2013	241.08	249.7	246.6	247.06			247.8(-0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	5	-38	0.78	47%	0.05	-7.3	1.22%	0	-0.4	44	0
19	Aug_26_2013	240.97	249.62	246.82	246.38			249.76(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	10	-51	0.66	47%	0.07	-15.8	1.23%	0	0	40	0
20	Aug_23_2013	240.8	249.5	246.89	244.82			249.2(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-18	-10000	3	-82	0.54	47%	0.08	-30.1	1.23%	0	-0.1	36	0

21	Aug_22_2013	240.61	249.46	247.13	244.38			246.84(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-26	-10000	-2	-96	0.68	47%	0.07	-37.3	1.22%	0	-0.6	35	0
22	Aug_21_2013	240.44	249.61	247.66	244.62			241.68(-1.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-34	-10000	-10	-106	1.28	43%	0.03	-35.5	1.21%	0	-1.9	22	0
23	Aug_20_2013	240.37	249.91	248.64	246.1			244.44(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-8	-89	1.29	48%	0.02	-26.7	1.2%	0	-1.5	44	0
24	Aug_19_2013	240.32	250.28	249.64	247.31			241.96(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-10000	-12	-64	1.11	48%	0.01	-8.5	1.23%	0	-2.3	45	0
25	Aug_16_2013	240.3	250.76	251.15	249.17			246.96(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-7	-27	0.83	55%		18.3	1.23%	0	-1.3	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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