Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $251.0400 (1.31%) ($247.5700 - $253.5200) on Wed. Aug. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $251.0400(1.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(60%)    XAR(58%)    SPY(54%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $248.93(0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $246.87(1.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $249.7(0.54%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.63% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_28_2013	241.2	249.7	246.87	248.93			251.04(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-10000	12	-11	1.51	50%	0.05	2.5	1.22%	0	0.3	45	0
2	Aug_27_2013	241.08	249.7	246.6	247.06			247.8(-0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	5	-38	0.78	47%	0.05	-7.3	1.22%	0	-0.4	44	0
3	Aug_26_2013	240.97	249.62	246.82	246.38			249.76(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	10	-51	0.66	47%	0.07	-15.8	1.23%	0	0	40	0
4	Aug_23_2013	240.8	249.5	246.89	244.82			249.2(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-18	-10000	3	-82	0.54	47%	0.08	-30.1	1.23%	0	-0.1	36	0
5	Aug_22_2013	240.61	249.46	247.13	244.38			246.84(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-26	-10000	-2	-96	0.68	47%	0.07	-37.3	1.22%	0	-0.6	35	0

6	Aug_21_2013	240.44	249.61	247.66	244.62			241.68(-1.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-34	-10000	-10	-106	1.28	43%	0.03	-35.5	1.21%	0	-1.9	22	0
7	Aug_20_2013	240.37	249.91	248.64	246.1			244.44(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-8	-89	1.29	48%	0.02	-26.7	1.2%	0	-1.5	44	0
8	Aug_19_2013	240.32	250.28	249.64	247.31			241.96(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-10000	-12	-64	1.11	48%	0.01	-8.5	1.23%	0	-2.3	45	0
9	Aug_16_2013	240.3	250.76	251.15	249.17			246.96(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-7	-27	0.83	55%	0.02	18.3	1.23%	0	-1.3	53	0
10	Aug_15_2013	240.25	251	252	250.26			248.04(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5	-10000	-6	-2	1.04	55%	0.02	39.3	1.24%	0	-1	52	0

11	Aug_14_2013	240.2	251.08	252.85	251.18			249.08(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-2	21	0.94	58%	0.02	51.2	1.24%	0	-0.6	51	0
12	Aug_13_2013	240.14	250.92	252.97	251.55			250.52(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-5	29	1.2	58%	0.04	51.4	1.26%	0	-0.1	60	0
13	Aug_12_2013	240.04	250.57	252.73	252.35			251.24(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-7	31	0.67	58%	0.04	52.9	1.26%	0	0.2	50	0
14	Aug_9_2013	239.95	250.2	252.39	253.46			252.44(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-4	39	0.41	58%	0.05	63.1	1.26%	0	0.6	53	0
15	Aug_8_2013	239.83	249.84	252.01	254.05			252.6(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-5	40	1.12	58%	0.03	72.4	1.26%	0	0.7	52	0

16	Aug_7_2013	239.75	249.49	251.72	254.82			250.96(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	15	-10000	2	53	1.05	58%	0.04	85.9	1.26%	0	0.3	54	0
17	Aug_6_2013	239.66	249.1	251.31	254.51			254.52(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	9	56	1.05	60%	0.03	89.8	1.25%	0	1.2	65	0
18	Aug_5_2013	239.58	248.53	250.95	253.06			256.8(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	12	58	0.41	60%	0.04	88.4	1.25%	0	1.8	72	0
19	Aug_2_2013	239.49	247.7	250.27	251.12			255.36(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	9	49	0.93	66%	0.03	88.1	1.29%	0	1.8	69	0
20	Aug_1_2013	239.42	246.92	249.81	249.7			256.48(2.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	18	-10000	9	46	0.83	62%	0.06	92.1	1.3%	0	2.3	67	0

21	Jul_31_2013	239.27	245.9	248.99	248.31			249.4(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	4	37	0.78	58%	0.03	86.7	1.27%	0	0.9	58	0
22	Jul_30_2013	239.2	245.2	248.58	247.7			247.28(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-5	31	0.78	58%	0.02	75.4	1.3%	0	0.5	61	0
23	Jul_29_2013	239.16	244.61	248.19	248.5			247.08(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-4	39	0.81	60%	0.02	78.4	1.31%	0	0.5	59	0
24	Jul_26_2013	239.11	243.93	247.87	249.23			248.28(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-4	52	0.78	60%	0.04	75.3	1.32%	0	0.8	66	0
25	Jul_25_2013	239.02	243.22	247.56	249.87			249.52(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	1	71	1.29	60%		75	1.32%	0	1.1	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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