Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 23, 2013

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $249.2000 (0.96%) ($245.8400 - $249.4800) on Fri. Aug. 23, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $249.2000(0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(60%)    XAR(58%)    SPY(54%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $249.5
5 Day Moving Average   $244.82(1.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $246.89(0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $249.5(-0.12%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130923

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_23_2013	240.8	249.5	246.89	244.82			249.2(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-18	-10000	3	-82	0.54	47%	0.08	-30.1	1.23%	0	-0.1	36	0
2	Aug_22_2013	240.61	249.46	247.13	244.38			246.84(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-26	-10000	-2	-96	0.68	47%	0.07	-37.3	1.22%	0	-0.6	35	0
3	Aug_21_2013	240.44	249.61	247.66	244.62			241.68(-1.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-34	-10000	-10	-106	1.28	43%	0.03	-35.5	1.21%	0	-1.9	22	0
4	Aug_20_2013	240.37	249.91	248.64	246.1			244.44(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-8	-89	1.29	48%	0.02	-26.7	1.2%	0	-1.5	44	0
5	Aug_19_2013	240.32	250.28	249.64	247.31			241.96(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-10000	-12	-64	1.11	48%	0.01	-8.5	1.23%	0	-2.3	45	0

6	Aug_16_2013	240.3	250.76	251.15	249.17			246.96(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-7	-27	0.83	55%	0.02	18.3	1.23%	0	-1.3	53	0
7	Aug_15_2013	240.25	251	252	250.26			248.04(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5	-10000	-6	-2	1.04	55%	0.02	39.3	1.24%	0	-1	52	0
8	Aug_14_2013	240.2	251.08	252.85	251.18			249.08(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-2	21	0.94	58%	0.02	51.2	1.24%	0	-0.6	51	0
9	Aug_13_2013	240.14	250.92	252.97	251.55			250.52(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-5	29	1.2	58%	0.04	51.4	1.26%	0	-0.1	60	0
10	Aug_12_2013	240.04	250.57	252.73	252.35			251.24(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-7	31	0.67	58%	0.04	52.9	1.26%	0	0.2	50	0

11	Aug_9_2013	239.95	250.2	252.39	253.46			252.44(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-4	39	0.41	58%	0.05	63.1	1.26%	0	0.6	53	0
12	Aug_8_2013	239.83	249.84	252.01	254.05			252.6(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-5	40	1.12	58%	0.03	72.4	1.26%	0	0.7	52	0
13	Aug_7_2013	239.75	249.49	251.72	254.82			250.96(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	15	-10000	2	53	1.05	58%	0.04	85.9	1.26%	0	0.3	54	0
14	Aug_6_2013	239.66	249.1	251.31	254.51			254.52(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	9	56	1.05	60%	0.03	89.8	1.25%	0	1.2	65	0
15	Aug_5_2013	239.58	248.53	250.95	253.06			256.8(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	12	58	0.41	60%	0.04	88.4	1.25%	0	1.8	72	0

16	Aug_2_2013	239.49	247.7	250.27	251.12			255.36(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	9	49	0.93	66%	0.03	88.1	1.29%	0	1.8	69	0
17	Aug_1_2013	239.42	246.92	249.81	249.7			256.48(2.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	18	-10000	9	46	0.83	62%	0.06	92.1	1.3%	0	2.3	67	0
18	Jul_31_2013	239.27	245.9	248.99	248.31			249.4(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	4	37	0.78	58%	0.03	86.7	1.27%	0	0.9	58	0
19	Jul_30_2013	239.2	245.2	248.58	247.7			247.28(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-5	31	0.78	58%	0.02	75.4	1.3%	0	0.5	61	0
20	Jul_29_2013	239.16	244.61	248.19	248.5			247.08(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-4	39	0.81	60%	0.02	78.4	1.31%	0	0.5	59	0

21	Jul_26_2013	239.11	243.93	247.87	249.23			248.28(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-4	52	0.78	60%	0.04	75.3	1.32%	0	0.8	66	0
22	Jul_25_2013	239.02	243.22	247.56	249.87			249.52(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	1	71	1.29	60%	0.07	75	1.32%	0	1.1	69	0
23	Jul_24_2013	238.86	242.44	247.14	249.77			246.32(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	24	-10000	2	89	1.06	63%	0.06	66	1.31%	0	0.6	71	0
24	Jul_23_2013	238.72	241.81	246.83	249.5			251.32(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	11	104	0.55	66%	0.09	54.4	1.32%	0	1.5	84	0
25	Jul_22_2013	238.51	240.69	245.99	247.76			250.72(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	9	103	0.67	66%		35.8	1.32%	0	1.6	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.