Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $234.4800 (0.76%) ($233.2400 - $237.0800) on Mon. Jul. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $234.4800(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(60%)    XAR(58%)    SPY(54%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $231.63(-1.22%)
Resistance Level   $238.29
5 Day Moving Average   $233.53(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $235.04(-0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $238.29(-1.6%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.16% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2013	236.99	238.29	235.04	233.53			234.48(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	6	-51	0.59	50%	-0.02	-57.9	1.64%	0	-0.7	43	0
2	Jun_28_2013	237.04	238.74	235.86	232.42			232.72(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	0	-67	0.75	50%	-0.02	-65.7	1.64%	0	-1.2	36	0
3	Jun_27_2013	237.08	239.21	236.49	232.38			233.44(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-0	-77	0.82	50%	-0.02	-69.2	1.64%	0	-1.1	36	0
4	Jun_26_2013	237.13	239.87	237.35	232.43			233.72(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-11	-82	0.66	50%	-0.01	-67.6	1.64%	0	-1.2	43	0
5	Jun_25_2013	237.16	240.57	237.8	234.47			233.28(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-12	-69	1.08	50%	0.01	-58.8	1.65%	0	-1.4	45	0

6	Jun_24_2013	237.14	241.3	238.53	236.92			228.92(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-25	-10000	-15	-56	1.82	48%	-0.03	-50.7	1.63%	0	-2.5	37	0
7	Jun_21_2013	237.2	242.13	240.23	239.82			232.56(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-12	-10000	-7	-27	1.65	47%	0	-43.8	1.62%	0	-2.3	39	0
8	Jun_20_2013	237.2	242.81	241.58	241.09			233.68(-4.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-10	-10000	-9	-11	1.75	47%	0	-34	1.63%	0	-2.6	43	0
9	Jun_19_2013	237.2	243.43	242.48	242.78			243.92(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	7	2	1.08	50%	0.05	-20	1.55%	0	0.2	46	0
10	Jun_18_2013	237.09	243.65	242.05	241.56			245.52(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-1	-10000	6	-20	0.67	50%	0.07	-20	1.56%	0	0.6	46	0

11	Jun_17_2013	236.93	243.85	241.79	240.5			243.4(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-12	-10000	-2	-40	0.57	50%	0.05	-9.4	1.56%	0	-0.1	43	0
12	Jun_14_2013	236.81	243.93	241.78	240.9			238.92(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-7	-40	0.79	50%	0.04	2.9	1.54%	0	-1.5	44	0
13	Jun_13_2013	236.72	244.01	242.09	242.25			242.16(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-7	-10000	1	-31	0.71	50%	0.05	16.2	1.56%	0	-0.6	46	0
14	Jun_12_2013	236.59	243.99	242.5	242.16			237.8(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-10	-10000	-2	-32	0.73	49%	0.02	18.2	1.55%	0	-1.8	40	0
15	Jun_11_2013	236.54	244.25	243.5	242.5			240.2(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-4	-32	0.84	49%	0.02	27	1.54%	0	-1.3	37	0

16	Jun_10_2013	236.5	244.16	244.27	243.15			245.4(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	2	-28	0.48	51%	0.07	31.6	1.52%	0	0.4	40	0
17	Jun_7_2013	236.33	243.82	244.13	242.82			245.68(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	4	-32	0.73	53%	0.08	31.5	1.53%	0	0.5	52	0
18	Jun_6_2013	236.14	243.46	244.08	241.99			241.72(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-5	-35	0.98	51%	0.06	35.9	1.54%	0	-0.5	56	0
19	Jun_5_2013	235.99	243.37	244.45	243			239.48(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-9	-23	0.87	51%	0.06	60.5	1.54%	0	-1	50	0
20	Jun_4_2013	235.85	243.42	245.42	244.65			243.48(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-10000	-5	3	1.07	53%	0.08	86	1.53%	0	0	54	0

21	Jun_3_2013	235.65	243.12	246.09	245.53			243.72(0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-1	32	1.64	53%	0.08	93.5	1.53%	0	0.1	61	0
22	May_31_2013	235.45	242.71	246.25	245.62			241.56(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-4	42	1.36	53%	0.08	95.1	1.54%	0	-0.3	57	0
23	May_30_2013	235.27	242.14	246.16	246.39			246.76(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	2	55	1.21	56%	0.12	82.9	1.52%	0	0.9	65	0
24	May_29_2013	234.99	241.08	245.66	246.1			247.72(-0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10000	-1	55	1.05	56%	0.11	64.9	1.53%	0	1	64	0
25	May_28_2013	234.74	240.19	245.1	246.35			247.88(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	-3	62	0.97	56%		68.5	1.53%	0	1.1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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