Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 29, 2012

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $213.0000 (0.87%) ($211.2800 - $214.4800) on Thu. Nov. 29, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $213.0000(0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(60%)    XAR(57%)    SPY(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $211.94(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $210.27(1.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $210.28(1.29%)
To recent high   -10.3%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.15% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121229

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_29_2012	214.58	210.28	210.27	211.94			213(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	1	60	1.81	51%	0.07	-11.6	1.53%	0	0.6	61	0
2	Nov_28_2012	214.42	210.34	209.4	211.8			211.16(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	1	48	1.08	51%	0.07	-18.7	1.53%	0	0.2	49	0
3	Nov_27_2012	214.26	210.53	208.86	211.69			209.2(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-3	23	1.08	51%	0.04	-27.7	1.53%	0	-0.3	35	0
4	Nov_26_2012	214.18	210.77	208.53	212.11			210.84(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-10000	8	15	0.82	51%	0.04	-38.3	1.52%	0	0	43	0
5	Nov_23_2012	214.09	210.84	208.11	210.86			215.52(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	11	-10000	16	-6	0.32	51%	0.05	-59.7	1.5%	0	0.9	51	0

6	Nov_21_2012	213.98	210.81	207.13	208.3			212.28(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	11	-54	0.55	49%	0.01	-86.4	1.5%	0	0.3	42	0
7	Nov_20_2012	213.95	211.21	206.89	206.66			210.6(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	7	-82	1.3	49%	0.04	-94.4	1.5%	0	-0.1	43	0
8	Nov_19_2012	213.86	211.84	207.58	205.66			211.32(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-17	-10000	7	-88	1.27	49%	0.05	-89.1	1.5%	0	-0.1	43	0
9	Nov_16_2012	213.76	212.64	207.9	204.54			204.56(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10000	-3	-107	1.32	45%	0.05	-81.4	1.44%	0	-1.3	36	0
10	Nov_15_2012	213.65	213.85	208.78	204.99			202.76(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-5	-103	1.49	45%	0.05	-66.5	1.45%	0	-1.6	37	0

11	Nov_14_2012	213.54	215.03	210.23	205.74			204.04(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10000	-9	-95	1.34	45%	0.1	-60.4	1.45%	0	-1.5	34	0
12	Nov_13_2012	213.33	215.97	211.37	207.11			205.64(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-18	-97	1.78	45%	0.12	-56.2	1.45%	0	-1.4	30	0
13	Nov_12_2012	213.08	216.83	212.4	209.81			205.7(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-13	-82	0.46	45%	0.1	-48.4	1.46%	0	-1.6	28	0
14	Nov_9_2012	212.87	217.79	213.32	211.82			206.8(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-8	-85	1.13	45%	0.12	-43	1.46%	0	-1.7	25	0
15	Nov_8_2012	212.61	218.58	213.97	213.14			206.52(-2.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-36	-10000	-14	-103	1.62	45%	0.08	-39.1	1.47%	0	-2	24	0

16	Nov_7_2012	212.45	219.56	214.97	215.31			210.88(-3.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-5	-98	1.61	51%	0.09	-33.5	1.45%	0	-1.6	33	0
17	Nov_6_2012	212.26	220.14	216.03	216.15			219.16(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-19	-10000	5	-91	0.87	55%	0.15	-33.5	1.4%	0	-0.2	46	0
18	Nov_5_2012	211.94	220.26	216.44	215.45			215.72(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10000	2	-97	0.71	53%	0.11	-38.6	1.4%	0	-0.9	42	0
19	Nov_2_2012	211.7	220.65	217.65	215.14			213.44(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-23	-10000	1	-93	1.06	52%	0.13	-42	1.44%	0	-1.4	36	0
20	Nov_1_2012	211.43	221.02	219.2	214.93			217.36(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	-10000	2	-79	1.35	54%	0.18	-44.5	1.5%	0	-0.8	45	0

21	Oct_31_2012	211.06	221.4	220.06	214.62			215.08(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-8	-87	1.18	54%	0.36	-44.9	1.49%	0	-1.3	37	0
22	Oct_26_2012	210.3	221.9	220.81	215.92			215.64(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-11	-74	0.68	57%	0.12	-42.1	1.52%	0	-1.4	44	0
23	Oct_25_2012	210.05	222.29	221.53	217.7			214.16(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-10000	-17	-59	1.12	57%	0.1	-39.2	1.54%	0	-2	43	0
24	Oct_24_2012	209.83	222.81	222.62	220.66			212.4(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-23	-10000	-20	-30	0.94	54%	0.13	-26.2	1.54%	0	-2.7	38	0
25	Oct_23_2012	209.56	223.18	223.67	224.07			215.84(-2.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.7	-7	-10000	-12	8	1.5	53%		-15.2	1.56%	0	-2.4	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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