Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 11, 2012

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $225.3200 (2.1%) ($221.6000 - $225.4000) on Tue. Sep. 11, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $225.3200(2.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(61%)    XAR(57%)    SPY(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(2%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $219.42(2.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $215.52(4.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $214.54(5.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.01% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121011

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_11_2012	203.22	214.54	215.52	219.42			225.32(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	-10000	14	63	0.91	57%	0.08	45.3	1.98%	0	2.5	63	0
2	Sep_10_2012	203.06	213.76	214.07	216.5			220.68(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	9	33	0.66	55%	0.05	37.5	2.01%	0	1.9	57	0
3	Sep_7_2012	202.96	213.35	213.03	214.55			222.76(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	14	-10000	14	14	1.02	55%	0.05	39.1	2.01%	0	2.9	57	0
4	Sep_6_2012	202.85	212.87	211.62	211.63			216.96(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.2	-2	-10000	5	-22	1.67	56%	0.03	49.6	1.99%	0	1.7	48	0
5	Sep_5_2012	202.79	212.58	211.29	210.62			211.36(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	-2	-33	0.98	56%	-0.01	54.3	2.02%	0	-0.5	44	0

6	Sep_4_2012	202.81	212.6	211.54	211.06			210.72(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-1	-28	1.12	56%	-0.05	74.3	2.04%	0	-0.8	46	0
7	Aug_31_2012	202.91	212.43	211.95	211.25			210.96(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	0	-21	0.77	52%	-0.03	51.7	2.13%	0	-0.5	53	0
8	Aug_30_2012	202.98	212.11	212.46	211.22			208.16(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-10000	-1	-18	0.88	50%	-0.01	34.6	2.13%	0	-0.9	42	0
9	Aug_29_2012	203.01	211.68	213.35	211.5			211.88(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-2	-13	0.5	51%	-0	33	2.18%	0	0	46	0
10	Aug_28_2012	203.02	211.38	213.6	212.02			213.6(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-2	-10000	-1	-6	0.92	51%	-0.02	43.8	2.2%	0	0.5	55	0

11	Aug_27_2012	203.07	210.96	213.57	212.14			211.64(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	-3	-4	1	51%	0.04	52	2.22%	0	0.1	52	0
12	Aug_24_2012	202.98	210.79	213.51	212.82			210.84(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-5	5	0.9	51%	-0.06	61.6	2.22%	0	0	61	0
13	Aug_23_2012	203.1	210.58	213.8	213.92			209.52(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-6	24	0.8	51%	-0.07	62	2.23%	0	-0.2	64	0
14	Aug_22_2012	203.25	210.19	214.32	215.42			214.52(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	0	58	0.72	53%	-0.07	57.2	2.21%	0	0.7	81	0
15	Aug_21_2012	203.4	209.33	214.04	215.37			214.2(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	1	66	0.93	56%	-0.09	47.2	2.22%	0	0.8	62	0

16	Aug_20_2012	203.58	208.51	213.79	215.18			215(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	4	73	1.12	56%	-0.06	42.2	2.29%	0	1	64	0
17	Aug_17_2012	203.7	207.87	212.98	214.26			216.36(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	2	66	1.15	55%	-0.05	41.1	2.29%	0	1.4	60	0
18	Aug_16_2012	203.81	207.37	211.74	213.67			217(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	2	60	1.18	55%	-0.05	46.8	2.3%	0	1.6	62	0
19	Aug_15_2012	203.92	206.82	209.88	213.12			214.28(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	2	54	1.34	53%	-0.1	58.4	2.31%	0	1.4	66	0
20	Aug_14_2012	204.12	206.35	208.96	212.56			213.24(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	1	60	1.34	51%	-0.12	66	2.34%	0	1.3	69	0

21	Aug_13_2012	204.36	205.86	208.11	212.21			210.44(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	20	-10000	3	69	0.87	51%	-0.12	75.3	2.35%	0	0.9	66	0
22	Aug_10_2012	204.61	205.37	207.84	211.4			213.4(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	8	73	0.65	51%	-0.08	70.2	2.35%	0	1.6	61	0
23	Aug_9_2012	204.78	204.65	207.06	209.41			214.24(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	14	62	0.72	51%	-0.12	57.1	2.35%	0	1.9	55	0
24	Aug_8_2012	205.02	203.7	205.67	206.09			211.48(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.1	11	-10000	5	28	0.74	51%	-0.14	32.6	2.34%	0	1.7	53	0
25	Aug_7_2012	205.31	202.99	204.17	204.84			211.48(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	6	-10000	5	9	1.42	51%		14	2.34%	0	1.8	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.