Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $209.5200 (3.48%) ($204.0800 - $209.5200) on Tue. Jul. 3, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.33% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $209.5200(3.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(61%)    XAR(57%)    SPY(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-1%)    TIP(2%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.165% (StdDev 2.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $199.76(4.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $192.68(8.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $190.67(9.89%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.72% (three month std-dev: 2.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120803

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_3_2012	214.26	190.67	192.68	199.76			209.52(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	40	-10000	22	95	1.23	50%	-0.11	51.6	2.33%	0	2.7	69	0
2	Jul_2_2012	214.5	189.38	190.79	194.67			202.48(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	-10000	20	64	0.86	49%	-0.13	25.6	2.28%	0	2.2	60	0
3	Jun_29_2012	214.78	188.26	189.21	190.41			201.6(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	20	-10000	15	34	1.47	49%	-0.14	-6.1	2.28%	0	2.6	62	0
4	Jun_28_2012	215.08	187.23	188.11	187.22			193.76(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	12	-10000	12	11	1.68	45%	-0.18	-40.5	2.22%	0	1.5	52	0
5	Jun_27_2012	215.47	187.06	187.37	184.68			191.44(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.6	-5	-10000	0	-18	1.52	45%	-0.19	-63.8	2.22%	0	1	50	0

6	Jun_26_2012	215.87	187.08	186.46	184.62			184.08(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-9	-37	1.48	43%	-0.21	-56.8	2.16%	0	-0.6	44	0
7	Jun_25_2012	216.32	187.87	186.85	186.37			181.16(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-7	-19	1.15	43%	-0.2	-45.5	2.15%	0	-1.3	49	0
8	Jun_22_2012	216.75	188.57	187.24	187.72			185.68(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-7	-4	1.29	44%	-0.16	-33.7	2.15%	0	-0.6	56	0
9	Jun_21_2012	217.1	189	187.65	189.07			181.04(-5.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	0	-10000	-6	19	1.67	42%	-0.17	-22.7	2.16%	0	-1.5	52	0
10	Jun_20_2012	217.48	189.83	188.65	190.23			191.16(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	9	34	1.29	44%	-0.13	-13.8	2.07%	0	0.3	49	0

11	Jun_19_2012	217.76	190.02	188.72	188.46			192.8(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	5	17	0.88	44%	-0.12	-22.7	2.08%	0	0.5	49	0
12	Jun_18_2012	218.03	190.24	187.95	187.48			187.92(-2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	-10000	4	-13	1.2	42%	-0.16	-29.2	2.06%	0	-0.4	39	0
13	Jun_15_2012	218.38	190.31	187.31	186.7			192.44(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	-10000	3	-40	2.78	45%	-0.13	-47.3	2.06%	0	0.4	47	0
14	Jun_14_2012	218.67	190.21	186.24	186.2			186.84(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	-4	-67	1.64	43%	-0.19	-64.3	2.02%	0	-0.6	44	0
15	Jun_13_2012	219.08	190.55	186.67	186.94			182.32(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-11	-74	1.87	41%	-0.18	-74	1.99%	0	-1.5	38	0

16	Jun_12_2012	219.47	191.24	187.72	188.98			187.88(2.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	-10000	3	-56	1.57	42%	-0.16	-79.5	1.98%	0	-0.6	43	0
17	Jun_11_2012	219.82	191.9	188.89	188.45			184.04(-3.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-12	-10000	4	-58	1.48	41%	-0.14	-84.1	1.97%	0	-1.4	38	0
18	Jun_8_2012	220.13	192.99	190	187.8			189.92(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	9	-55	1.06	42%	-0.12	-83.8	1.94%	0	-0.5	52	0
19	Jun_7_2012	220.4	193.87	190.42	186.19			190.52(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-18	-10000	-1	-67	1.37	42%	-0.13	-85	1.96%	0	-0.5	51	0
20	Jun_6_2012	220.69	194.76	191.07	186.43			192.52(3.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-15	-10000	-0	-60	1.83	42%	-0.09	-84	1.97%	0	-0.3	50	0

21	Jun_5_2012	220.89	195.57	191.33	186.5			185.24(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-17	-70	0.97	39%	-0.17	-87.5	1.91%	0	-1.2	42	0
22	Jun_4_2012	221.26	196.8	192.64	189.64			180.8(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-16	-48	1.85	37%	-0.14	-84.8	1.88%	0	-1.9	33	0
23	Jun_1_2012	221.57	198.3	193.65	192.52			181.88(-5.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-14	-46	1.74	36%	-0.15	-87.9	1.9%	0	-2	30	0
24	May_31_2012	221.9	200	194.69	195.05			191.72(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-7	-50	1.73	39%	-0.12	-86	1.81%	0	-1.1	34	0
25	May_30_2012	222.16	201.43	194.93	196.24			192.88(-4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-3	-61	1.02	39%		-72.4	1.83%	0	-1	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.