Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 22, 2012

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $195.6400 (-1.33%) ($193.8000 - $202.6000) on Tue. May. 22, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $195.6400(-1.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(61%)    XAR(57%)    SPY(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-0%)    TIP(1%)    LQD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

Resistance Level   $208.02
5 Day Moving Average   $193.42(1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $198.57(-1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $208.02(-5.95%)
To recent high   -20.3%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 5.59% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2012	223.31	208.02	198.57	193.42			195.64(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.2	-41	-10000	-0	-165	1.33	38%	-0.13	-41.1	1.74%	0	-1.1	20	0
2	May_21_2012	223.6	208.89	199.93	193.43			198.28(4.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-52	-10000	-4	-195	1.36	38%	-0.05	-43.5	1.73%	0	-0.9	18	0
3	May_18_2012	223.72	209.54	201.03	194.1			189(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-76	-10000	-22	-237	1.85	32%	-0.1	-43.4	1.61%	0	-1.9	6	0
4	May_17_2012	223.95	210.74	203.22	197.59			190.52(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-73	-10000	-22	-226	1.64	32%	-0.08	-40.3	1.62%	0	-2	11	0
5	May_16_2012	224.13	211.94	205.78	201.25			193.68(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-65	-10000	-19	-204	1.23	33%	-0.09	-37.6	1.61%	0	-2.1	15	0

6	May_15_2012	224.33	212.91	208.57	204.42			195.68(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-55	-10000	-17	-170	1.2	33%	-0.13	-32.1	1.63%	0	-2.2	25	0
7	May_14_2012	224.63	213.9	211.77	207.26			201.6(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-10	-121	1.02	35%	-0.04	-25.3	1.6%	0	-1.8	42	0
8	May_11_2012	224.73	214.4	214.16	208.94			206.48(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-5	-82	1.29	37%	-0.03	-27.1	1.59%	0	-1.3	49	0
9	May_10_2012	224.79	214.8	215.87	209.71			208.8(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-8	-57	1.44	37%	0	-31.1	1.6%	0	-1	51	0
10	May_9_2012	224.78	215.29	217.26	211.09			209.56(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-14	-31	1.76	37%	0.02	-30.2	1.6%	0	-1	49	0

11	May_8_2012	224.73	215.42	218.24	213.5			209.88(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-16	-10000	-21	1	1.45	37%	0.07	-33.5	1.6%	0	-1	52	0
12	May_7_2012	224.57	215.61	218.6	217.11			210(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-5	-10000	-18	35	1.15	37%	0.04	-31.3	1.6%	0	-1	48	0
13	May_4_2012	224.47	216.06	218.79	220.21			210.32(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	6	-10000	-15	67	1.43	37%	0.07	-23.6	1.62%	0	-1	54	0
14	May_3_2012	224.32	216.65	219.01	222.85			215.68(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	18	-10000	-8	95	1.43	39%	0.08	-14.3	1.6%	0	-0.2	54	0
15	May_2_2012	224.13	217.04	218.77	224.19			221.6(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	30	-10000	4	107	1.44	42%	0.08	-10.8	1.58%	0	0.8	53	0

16	May_1_2012	223.96	217.33	217.71	223.56			227.96(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	-10000	19	111	1.27	46%	0.08	-15.8	1.54%	0	1.7	67	0
17	Apr_30_2012	223.79	217.37	216.17	220.34			225.48(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10000	19	82	1.22	46%	0.03	-31.6	1.53%	0	1.2	63	0
18	Apr_27_2012	223.72	217.38	214.55	217.23			223.52(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	16	35	0.81	46%	0.05	-48.7	1.53%	0	0.9	53	0
19	Apr_26_2012	223.6	217.44	213.44	214.67			222.4(1.81%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	7	-10000	12	-7	1.09	42%	0	-60.1	1.54%	0	0.7	48	0
20	Apr_25_2012	223.59	217.66	212.86	212.64			218.44(3.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	9	-38	1.44	39%	-0.03	-71.3	1.57%	0	0.1	42	0

21	Apr_24_2012	223.66	218.33	212.07	211.08			211.84(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-2	-88	1.03	33%	-0.06	-73.9	1.56%	0	-0.8	30	0
22	Apr_23_2012	223.79	219.51	212.16	211.41			209.96(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-10000	0	-115	1.65	39%	-0.05	-72	1.55%	0	-1.1	26	0
23	Apr_20_2012	223.91	220.74	213	211.38			210.72(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-10000	-3	-129	1.4	39%	-0.04	-74.4	1.6%	0	-1.1	33	0
24	Apr_19_2012	224	221.73	214.08	211.92			212.24(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	-10000	-7	-134	1.56	39%	-0.04	-78.4	1.6%	0	-1.1	36	0
25	Apr_18_2012	224.09	223	215.2	213.1			210.64(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-1	-129	1.37	39%		-72.3	1.6%	0	-1.3	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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