Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 21, 2012

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $243.7200 (0.68%) ($242.0400 - $245.1600) on Tue. Feb. 21, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.27% (three month average)
RSI   95
Latest Price   $243.7200(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(61%)    XAR(57%)    SPY(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-0%)    TIP(1%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.135% (StdDev 2.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $239.82(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $235.82(3.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $229.15(6.36%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   26.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.51% (three month std-dev: 2.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120321

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2012	214.16	229.15	235.82	239.82			243.72(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	33	-10000	8	109	1.13	58%	0.61	74.9	2.27%	0	1.8	95	0
2	Feb_17_2012	212.86	227.99	234.26	237.73			242.08(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	34	-10000	9	107	0.79	54%	0.31	78	2.27%	0	1.8	89	0
3	Feb_16_2012	212.2	226.63	232.42	235.25			241.4(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	28	-10000	7	92	1.29	54%	0.3	74.8	2.33%	0	2	79	0
4	Feb_15_2012	211.56	225.35	230.25	233.22			236.88(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	23	-10000	4	79	1.69	54%	0.23	75.3	2.33%	0	1.8	78	0
5	Feb_14_2012	211.08	224.38	228.43	232.07			235.04(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	3	65	0.92	54%	0.25	70.9	2.33%	0	1.7	59	0

6	Feb_13_2012	210.56	223.27	226.77	231.24			233.24(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	4	58	0.53	54%	0.27	69.1	2.34%	0	1.7	65	0
7	Feb_10_2012	209.99	222.15	225.4	230.26			229.68(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	5	51	0.86	54%	0.24	58.5	2.35%	0	1.3	61	0
8	Feb_9_2012	209.49	221.37	224.66	229.05			231.24(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	9	54	0.75	48%	0.18	48.9	2.36%	0	1.7	70	0
9	Feb_8_2012	209.12	220.59	223.5	226.72			231.16(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	9	41	0.88	48%	0.13	36.8	2.51%	0	1.9	67	0
10	Feb_7_2012	208.85	219.98	222.95	224.15			230.88(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-10000	9	35	1.3	48%	0.12	28.6	2.51%	0	2.2	64	0

11	Feb_6_2012	208.6	219.25	221.87	221.64			228.32(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	11	-10000	6	27	0.97	48%	0.08	23.8	2.51%	0	2.1	67	0
12	Feb_3_2012	208.43	218.7	221.13	219.91			223.64(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	7	-10000	1	26	0.69	48%	0.05	23.8	2.5%	0	1.3	66	0
13	Feb_2_2012	208.32	218.51	220.31	219.7			219.6(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	-0	25	0.9	52%	0.06	39.5	2.52%	0	0.3	57	0
14	Feb_1_2012	208.19	218.57	220.05	219.79			218.32(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-6	24	0.93	52%	0.07	50.3	2.59%	0	-0.1	53	0
15	Jan_31_2012	208.05	218.59	220.07	221.53			218.32(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10000	-2	34	0.87	48%	0.08	73.6	2.63%	0	-0.1	48	0

16	Jan_30_2012	207.89	218.25	219.63	222.04			219.68(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-1	33	0.62	48%	0.08	75.6	2.71%	0	0.4	53	0
17	Jan_27_2012	207.72	217.83	218.81	222.45			222.6(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	5	32	0.81	52%	0.06	75.7	2.71%	0	1.2	54	0
18	Jan_26_2012	207.59	217.13	217.98	220.96			220.04(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	2	16	1	52%	0.03	66.5	2.84%	0	0.7	49	0
19	Jan_25_2012	207.52	216.8	217.58	220.25			227(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	7	-10000	6	9	1.11	51%	0.12	75.7	2.83%	0	2.2	55	0
20	Jan_24_2012	207.28	215.99	216.76	218.47			220.88(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	5	1	0.77	51%	0.07	88.2	2.87%	0	1.2	52	0

21	Jan_23_2012	207.13	215.51	216.35	216.9			221.72(3.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10000	7	-1	1.47	51%	0.09	96.2	2.88%	0	1.6	63	0
22	Jan_20_2012	206.95	214.82	215.92	214.7			215.16(-0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	1	-9	1.08	49%	0.02	98.3	2.88%	0	0.1	58	0
23	Jan_19_2012	206.91	214.35	216.45	214.52			216.48(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	0	0	1.1	49%	0	94.5	2.88%	0	0.5	63	0
24	Jan_18_2012	206.9	213.34	216.87	214.47			218.12(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	1	-10000	-1	6	0.98	52%	0.02	70.2	2.89%	0	1.1	56	0
25	Jan_17_2012	206.86	212.49	216.89	214.9			213.04(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-3	14	1.16	52%		48	2.92%	0	0.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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