Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $223.6400 (1.84%) ($221.3900 - $224.0400) on Fri. Feb. 3, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.5% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $223.6400(1.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(61%)    XAR(57%)    SPY(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(0%)    TIP(1%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.25% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $219.91(1.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $221.13(1.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $218.7(2.26%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.68% (three month std-dev: 2.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2012	208.43	218.7	221.13	219.91			223.64(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	7	-10000	1	26	0.69	48%	0.05	23.8	2.5%	0	1.3	66	0
2	Feb_2_2012	208.32	218.51	220.31	219.7			219.6(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	-0	25	0.9	52%	0.06	39.5	2.52%	0	0.3	57	0
3	Feb_1_2012	208.19	218.57	220.05	219.79			218.32(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-6	24	0.93	52%	0.07	50.3	2.59%	0	-0.1	53	0
4	Jan_31_2012	208.05	218.59	220.07	221.53			218.32(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10000	-2	34	0.87	48%	0.08	73.6	2.63%	0	-0.1	48	0
5	Jan_30_2012	207.89	218.25	219.63	222.04			219.68(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-1	33	0.62	48%	0.08	75.6	2.71%	0	0.4	53	0

6	Jan_27_2012	207.72	217.83	218.81	222.45			222.6(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	5	32	0.81	52%	0.06	75.7	2.71%	0	1.2	54	0
7	Jan_26_2012	207.59	217.13	217.98	220.96			220.04(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	2	16	1	52%	0.03	66.5	2.84%	0	0.7	49	0
8	Jan_25_2012	207.52	216.8	217.58	220.25			227(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	7	-10000	6	9	1.11	51%	0.12	75.7	2.83%	0	2.2	55	0
9	Jan_24_2012	207.28	215.99	216.76	218.47			220.88(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	5	1	0.77	51%	0.07	88.2	2.87%	0	1.2	52	0
10	Jan_23_2012	207.13	215.51	216.35	216.9			221.72(3.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10000	7	-1	1.47	51%	0.09	96.2	2.88%	0	1.6	63	0

11	Jan_20_2012	206.95	214.82	215.92	214.7			215.16(-0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	1	-9	1.08	49%	0.02	98.3	2.88%	0	0.1	58	0
12	Jan_19_2012	206.91	214.35	216.45	214.52			216.48(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	0	0	1.1	49%	0	94.5	2.88%	0	0.5	63	0
13	Jan_18_2012	206.9	213.34	216.87	214.47			218.12(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	1	-10000	-1	6	0.98	52%	0.02	70.2	2.89%	0	1.1	56	0
14	Jan_17_2012	206.86	212.49	216.89	214.9			213.04(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-3	14	1.16	52%	0.03	48	2.92%	0	0.1	54	0
15	Jan_13_2012	206.79	211.75	216.77	215.74			210.68(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-5	18	1.08	55%	0.08	26.8	2.98%	0	-0.2	51	0

16	Jan_12_2012	206.63	211.13	216.91	217.28			214.28(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-4	29	1.59	55%	0.07	15.1	2.97%	0	0.4	61	0
17	Jan_11_2012	206.49	210.71	216.4	218.58			216.24(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-3	40	1.22	55%	0.09	7.8	2.97%	0	0.7	67	0
18	Jan_10_2012	206.31	210.42	216.16	219.56			220.24(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	17	-10000	1	65	1.27	59%	0.16	4.3	2.96%	0	1.2	81	0
19	Jan_9_2012	205.98	210.26	215.26	219.23			217.28(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	4	73	0.94	59%	0.11	2.1	3.08%	0	0.9	69	0
20	Jan_6_2012	205.75	209.92	214.69	217.93			218.36(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	5	81	0.78	59%	0.1	-7	3.1%	0	1.1	72	0

21	Jan_5_2012	205.55	209.97	213.66	216.39			220.76(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	8	86	0.89	61%	0.04	-12.1	3.1%	0	1.4	75	0
22	Jan_4_2012	205.47	210.06	212.06	213.85			221.16(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	5	72	0.88	63%	0.04	-11.5	3.14%	0	1.4	62	0
23	Jan_3_2012	205.38	210.07	209.45	212.33			218.6(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	4	50	1.31	59%	-0.03	-5.9	3.2%	0	1	54	0
24	Dec_30_2011	205.45	210.1	207.6	210.88			210.76(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	-0	25	0.56	55%	0	4.5	3.3%	0	0.1	42	0
25	Dec_29_2011	205.44	210.48	206.26	211.01			210.68(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	5	-10000	2	15	0.48	55%		16.6	3.34%	0	0	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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