Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 23, 2012

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $221.7200 (3.05%) ($216.3600 - $222.3600) on Mon. Jan. 23, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.88% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $221.7200(3.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(61%)    XAR(57%)    SPY(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(0%)    TIP(1%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.44% (StdDev 2.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $216.9(2.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $216.35(2.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $215.51(2.88%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 2.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2012	207.13	215.51	216.35	216.9			221.72(3.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10000	7	-1	1.47	51%	0.09	96.2	2.88%	0	1.6	63	0
2	Jan_20_2012	206.95	214.82	215.92	214.7			215.16(-0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	1	-9	1.08	49%	0.02	98.3	2.88%	0	0.1	58	0
3	Jan_19_2012	206.91	214.35	216.45	214.52			216.48(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	0	0	1.1	49%	0	94.5	2.88%	0	0.5	63	0
4	Jan_18_2012	206.9	213.34	216.87	214.47			218.12(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	1	-10000	-1	6	0.98	52%	0.02	70.2	2.89%	0	1.1	56	0
5	Jan_17_2012	206.86	212.49	216.89	214.9			213.04(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-3	14	1.16	52%	0.03	48	2.92%	0	0.1	54	0

6	Jan_13_2012	206.79	211.75	216.77	215.74			210.68(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-5	18	1.08	55%	0.08	26.8	2.98%	0	-0.2	51	0
7	Jan_12_2012	206.63	211.13	216.91	217.28			214.28(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-4	29	1.59	55%	0.07	15.1	2.97%	0	0.4	61	0
8	Jan_11_2012	206.49	210.71	216.4	218.58			216.24(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-3	40	1.22	55%	0.09	7.8	2.97%	0	0.7	67	0
9	Jan_10_2012	206.31	210.42	216.16	219.56			220.24(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	17	-10000	1	65	1.27	59%	0.16	4.3	2.96%	0	1.2	81	0
10	Jan_9_2012	205.98	210.26	215.26	219.23			217.28(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	4	73	0.94	59%	0.11	2.1	3.08%	0	0.9	69	0

11	Jan_6_2012	205.75	209.92	214.69	217.93			218.36(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	5	81	0.78	59%	0.1	-7	3.1%	0	1.1	72	0
12	Jan_5_2012	205.55	209.97	213.66	216.39			220.76(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	8	86	0.89	61%	0.04	-12.1	3.1%	0	1.4	75	0
13	Jan_4_2012	205.47	210.06	212.06	213.85			221.16(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	5	72	0.88	63%	0.04	-11.5	3.14%	0	1.4	62	0
14	Jan_3_2012	205.38	210.07	209.45	212.33			218.6(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	4	50	1.31	59%	-0.03	-5.9	3.2%	0	1	54	0
15	Dec_30_2011	205.45	210.1	207.6	210.88			210.76(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	-0	25	0.56	55%	0	4.5	3.3%	0	0.1	42	0

16	Dec_29_2011	205.44	210.48	206.26	211.01			210.68(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	5	-10000	2	15	0.48	55%	0.07	16.6	3.34%	0	0	49	0
17	Dec_28_2011	205.29	210.93	204.9	210.46			208.04(-2.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-10000	2	-7	0.78	53%	0.04	22.3	3.34%	0	-0.3	41	0
18	Dec_27_2011	205.2	210.97	204.6	209.82			213.56(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	11	-22	0.61	53%	0.09	21.2	3.41%	0	0.3	41	0
19	Dec_23_2011	205.02	210.56	204.2	205.99			211.36(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	6	-51	0.45	54%	-0.04	6.4	3.42%	0	0.1	40	0
20	Dec_22_2011	205.1	209.71	204.74	203.79			211.4(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	8	-63	0.95	51%	-0.14	-8.1	3.44%	0	0.2	43	0

21	Dec_21_2011	205.38	209	204.61	200.85			207.96(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	6	-81	1.33	49%	-0.16	-25.6	3.56%	0	-0.1	42	0
22	Dec_20_2011	205.7	208.88	205.78	198.61			204.8(5.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-24	-10000	-1	-92	1.31	49%	-0.22	-38.7	3.6%	0	-0.4	39	0
23	Dec_19_2011	206.15	209.03	207.67	198.78			194.44(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-9	-86	1.6	47%	-0.27	-44.1	3.54%	0	-1.4	44	0
24	Dec_16_2011	206.7	209.93	210.65	202.16			200.36(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-10	-60	1.97	47%	-0.24	-43.5	3.53%	0	-1	50	0
25	Dec_15_2011	207.2	210.53	212.78	205.92			196.68(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-8	-24	2.1	47%		-38.8	3.52%	0	-1.4	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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