Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 26, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $213.0400 (3.04%) ($203.8800 - $214.8400) on Wed. Oct. 26, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.85% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $213.0400(3.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 6.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(62%)    SPY(57%)    XAR(57%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(0%)    IGOV(2%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.925% (StdDev 3.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $210.46(1.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $206.53(3.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $193.04(10.36%)
To recent high   -17.3%
To recent low   33.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 8.35% (three month std-dev: 3.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_26_2011	214.51	193.04	206.53	210.46			213.04(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	4	102	1.94	44%	-0.06	47.9	3.85%	0	1.2	74	0
2	Oct_25_2011	214.64	191.3	204.49	208.79			206.76(-4.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	-1	108	2.37	44%	-0.09	42.3	3.83%	0	1	74	0
3	Oct_24_2011	214.83	190.37	202.86	209.14			216.28(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	-10000	8	135	1.84	45%	-0.08	40	3.79%	0	1.7	85	0
4	Oct_21_2011	215.01	188.65	200.02	206			211.2(3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	-10000	4	147	1.53	45%	-0.11	29.2	3.78%	0	1.6	87	0
5	Oct_20_2011	215.25	186.89	196.54	204.44			205.04(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	43	-10000	7	150	2.06	45%	-0.14	16	3.76%	0	1.4	71	0

6	Oct_19_2011	215.56	185.62	194.05	201.95			204.68(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	7	143	1.95	46%	-0.18	-0.5	3.76%	0	1.5	64	0
7	Oct_18_2011	215.95	185.01	191.2	199.42			208.48(3.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	-10000	10	132	2.74	46%	-0.04	-10.3	3.78%	0	1.9	65	0
8	Oct_17_2011	216.03	184.56	187.24	195.59			200.6(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	7	98	1.89	45%	-0.19	-19.3	3.75%	0	1.3	54	0
9	Oct_14_2011	216.44	184.67	183.27	193.11			203.4(5.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	16	70	1.86	47%	-0.17	-22	3.83%	0	1.4	59	0
10	Oct_13_2011	216.8	184.85	179.93	187.5			192.6(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	7	35	1.87	45%	-0.21	-29.1	3.77%	0	0.6	59	0

11	Oct_12_2011	217.26	185.67	178.38	184.9			192.04(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	9	21	1.51	45%	-0.19	-32.2	3.78%	0	0.4	56	0
12	Oct_11_2011	217.67	186.29	176.92	181.67			189.32(0.6%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	7	-10000	12	-7	1.95	44%	-0.18	-39.1	3.77%	0	0.2	46	0
13	Oct_10_2011	218.07	186.95	176.71	177.58			188.2(7.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	17	-36	2.18	44%	-0.22	-45.3	3.79%	0	0.1	42	0
14	Oct_7_2011	218.54	187.6	176.11	171.94			175.36(-2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	-10000	3	-89	2.67	41%	-0.26	-54.6	3.67%	0	-0.8	34	0
15	Oct_6_2011	219.12	188.97	176.34	171.15			179.6(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-29	-10000	1	-120	2.7	41%	-0.25	-57.6	3.67%	0	-0.6	33	0

16	Oct_5_2011	219.66	190.45	176.43	170.94			175.88(4.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-38	-10000	-2	-147	2.84	41%	-0.23	-57.9	3.66%	0	-0.9	31	0
17	Oct_4_2011	220.16	192.32	178.25	171.63			168.88(5.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-10000	-13	-160	5	39%	-0.26	-58.5	3.62%	0	-1.5	30	0
18	Oct_3_2011	220.74	194.11	181.66	175.86			159.96(-6.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-48	-10000	-15	-145	3.01	36%	-0.31	-56.8	3.57%	0	-2.2	25	0
19	Sep_30_2011	221.43	196.48	186.39	180.76			171.44(-3.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-10000	-4	-119	1.78	38%	-0.27	-56.4	3.49%	0	-1.9	31	0
20	Sep_29_2011	222.02	198.56	190.39	182			178.56(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-2	-107	2.48	41%	-0.24	-54	3.47%	0	-1.6	34	0

21	Sep_28_2011	222.56	200.4	193.75	182.55			179.32(-5.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-10000	-10	-106	1.86	43%	-0.29	-50.8	3.48%	0	-1.8	31	0
22	Sep_27_2011	223.2	202.2	196.6	185.86			190.04(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-31	-10000	-9	-97	2.49	45%	-0.22	-40.8	3.45%	0	-1.1	33	0
23	Sep_26_2011	223.7	203.3	198.08	188.72			184.44(3.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-14	-87	2.36	45%	-0.22	-25.7	3.42%	0	-1.8	40	0
24	Sep_23_2011	224.19	204.29	200.04	193.23			177.64(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-33	-10000	-20	-71	1.22	42%	-0.23	-12.6	3.39%	0	-2.7	33	0
25	Sep_22_2011	224.71	205.4	202.8	200.1			181.32(-7.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-25	-10000	-18	-46	2.91	42%		7	3.38%	0	-3.1	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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