Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 6, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $179.6000 (2.12%) ($172.4000 - $181.4800) on Thu. Oct. 6, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.67% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $179.6000(2.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(63%)    SPY(58%)    VWO(54%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(0%)    IGOV(3%)    XAR(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.835% (StdDev 3.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $160.33(-10.73%)
Resistance Level   $188.97
5 Day Moving Average   $171.15(4.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $176.34(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $188.97(-4.96%)
To recent high   -31.1%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 8.38% (three month std-dev: 3.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2011	219.12	188.97	176.34	171.15			179.6(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-29	-10000	1	-120	2.7	41%	-0.25	-57.6	3.67%	0	-0.6	33	0
2	Oct_5_2011	219.66	190.45	176.43	170.94			175.88(4.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-38	-10000	-2	-147	2.84	41%	-0.23	-57.9	3.66%	0	-0.9	31	0
3	Oct_4_2011	220.16	192.32	178.25	171.63			168.88(5.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-10000	-13	-160	5	39%	-0.26	-58.5	3.62%	0	-1.5	30	0
4	Oct_3_2011	220.74	194.11	181.66	175.86			159.96(-6.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-48	-10000	-15	-145	3.01	36%	-0.31	-56.8	3.57%	0	-2.2	25	0
5	Sep_30_2011	221.43	196.48	186.39	180.76			171.44(-3.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-10000	-4	-119	1.78	38%	-0.27	-56.4	3.49%	0	-1.9	31	0

6	Sep_29_2011	222.02	198.56	190.39	182			178.56(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-2	-107	2.48	41%	-0.24	-54	3.47%	0	-1.6	34	0
7	Sep_28_2011	222.56	200.4	193.75	182.55			179.32(-5.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-10000	-10	-106	1.86	43%	-0.29	-50.8	3.48%	0	-1.8	31	0
8	Sep_27_2011	223.2	202.2	196.6	185.86			190.04(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-31	-10000	-9	-97	2.49	45%	-0.22	-40.8	3.45%	0	-1.1	33	0
9	Sep_26_2011	223.7	203.3	198.08	188.72			184.44(3.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-14	-87	2.36	45%	-0.22	-25.7	3.42%	0	-1.8	40	0
10	Sep_23_2011	224.19	204.29	200.04	193.23			177.64(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-33	-10000	-20	-71	1.22	42%	-0.23	-12.6	3.39%	0	-2.7	33	0

11	Sep_22_2011	224.71	205.4	202.8	200.1			181.32(-7.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-25	-10000	-18	-46	2.91	42%	-0.24	7	3.38%	0	-3.1	31	0
12	Sep_21_2011	225.25	206.53	205.88	206.4			195.84(-4.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-9	-10000	-7	-16	2.48	47%	-0.21	30.7	3.26%	0	-1.9	36	0
13	Sep_20_2011	225.72	206.78	207.73	208.7			204.36(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-1	-10000	-0	-2	1.34	48%	-0.21	33.2	3.25%	0	-0.4	41	0
14	Sep_19_2011	226.19	206.09	207.68	208.74			207(-2.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	-10000	2	-8	1.82	48%	-0.22	6.4	3.25%	0	0.1	46	0
15	Sep_16_2011	226.68	205.53	207.44	207.9			212(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	6	-9	1.49	48%	-0.17	-7.4	3.24%	0	0.9	60	0

16	Sep_15_2011	227.07	204.85	207.3	206.04			212.8(2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	-10000	2	-7	1.61	48%	-0.16	-22.1	3.24%	0	1.1	65	0
17	Sep_14_2011	227.44	204.8	207.35	205.52			207.32(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	-10000	-4	-1	1.52	49%	-0.19	-13.1	3.23%	0	0.4	57	0
18	Sep_13_2011	227.88	204.97	207.97	206.83			204.6(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	1	20	1.39	48%	-0.2	-0.6	3.24%	0	-0.1	57	0
19	Sep_12_2011	228.33	205.67	208.67	206.5			202.76(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-1	37	1.68	48%	-0.12	16.1	3.26%	0	-0.4	64	0
20	Sep_9_2011	228.6	206.07	208.71	206.79			202.72(-3.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-5	43	1.89	48%	-0.21	16.2	3.27%	0	-0.4	58	0

21	Sep_8_2011	229.08	206.44	208.22	208.55			210.2(-1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-10000	-3	53	1.4	49%	-0.17	17.8	3.25%	0	0.5	59	0
22	Sep_7_2011	229.48	205.75	207.3	209.45			213.88(5.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	-0	49	1.78	49%	-0.13	-2.9	3.24%	0	1	49	0
23	Sep_6_2011	229.77	205.01	205.78	209.51			202.92(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-5	39	2.32	45%	-0.24	-24.5	3.17%	0	-0.3	44	0
24	Sep_2_2011	230.32	204.38	204.55	211.22			204.24(-3.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	7	-10000	1	24	1.27	45%	-0.17	-47.2	3.17%	0	-0	40	0
25	Sep_1_2011	230.72	204.75	203.69	210.73			211.52(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	10	12	1.29	45%		-63.1	3.14%	0	0.7	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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