Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $195.8400 (-4.17%) ($195.3600 - $208.4400) on Wed. Sep. 21, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.26% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $195.8400(-4.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(63%)    SPY(58%)    VWO(54%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(0%)    IGOV(3%)    LQD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.63% (StdDev 3.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.4%

Resistance Level   $206.53
5 Day Moving Average   $206.4(-5.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $205.88(-4.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $206.53(-5.18%)
To recent high   -24.9%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.77% (three month std-dev: 3.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2011	225.25	206.53	205.88	206.4			195.84(-4.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-9	-10000	-7	-16	2.48	47%	-0.21	30.7	3.26%	0	-1.9	36	0
2	Sep_20_2011	225.72	206.78	207.73	208.7			204.36(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-1	-10000	-0	-2	1.34	48%	-0.21	33.2	3.25%	0	-0.4	41	0
3	Sep_19_2011	226.19	206.09	207.68	208.74			207(-2.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	-10000	2	-8	1.82	48%	-0.22	6.4	3.25%	0	0.1	46	0
4	Sep_16_2011	226.68	205.53	207.44	207.9			212(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	6	-9	1.49	48%	-0.17	-7.4	3.24%	0	0.9	60	0
5	Sep_15_2011	227.07	204.85	207.3	206.04			212.8(2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	-10000	2	-7	1.61	48%	-0.16	-22.1	3.24%	0	1.1	65	0

6	Sep_14_2011	227.44	204.8	207.35	205.52			207.32(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	-10000	-4	-1	1.52	49%	-0.19	-13.1	3.23%	0	0.4	57	0
7	Sep_13_2011	227.88	204.97	207.97	206.83			204.6(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	1	20	1.39	48%	-0.2	-0.6	3.24%	0	-0.1	57	0
8	Sep_12_2011	228.33	205.67	208.67	206.5			202.76(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-1	37	1.68	48%	-0.12	16.1	3.26%	0	-0.4	64	0
9	Sep_9_2011	228.6	206.07	208.71	206.79			202.72(-3.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-5	43	1.89	48%	-0.21	16.2	3.27%	0	-0.4	58	0
10	Sep_8_2011	229.08	206.44	208.22	208.55			210.2(-1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-10000	-3	53	1.4	49%	-0.17	17.8	3.25%	0	0.5	59	0

11	Sep_7_2011	229.48	205.75	207.3	209.45			213.88(5.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	-0	49	1.78	49%	-0.13	-2.9	3.24%	0	1	49	0
12	Sep_6_2011	229.77	205.01	205.78	209.51			202.92(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-5	39	2.32	45%	-0.24	-24.5	3.17%	0	-0.3	44	0
13	Sep_2_2011	230.32	204.38	204.55	211.22			204.24(-3.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	7	-10000	1	24	1.27	45%	-0.17	-47.2	3.17%	0	-0	40	0
14	Sep_1_2011	230.72	204.75	203.69	210.73			211.52(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	10	12	1.29	45%	-0.14	-63.1	3.14%	0	0.7	50	0
15	Aug_31_2011	231.04	205.01	202.33	207.58			214.68(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	9	-15	1.44	45%	-0.11	-68.7	3.16%	0	0.8	52	0

16	Aug_30_2011	231.29	205.99	201.95	204.75			214.2(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	10	-15	1.21	45%	-0.15	-68.9	3.17%	0	0.6	61	0
17	Aug_29_2011	231.64	207.05	201.47	201.65			211.48(4.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	-10000	15	-19	1.32	45%	-0.2	-67.8	3.19%	0	0.3	57	0
18	Aug_26_2011	232.1	208.71	202.03	197.06			201.76(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	5	-21	1.56	43%	-0.24	-69.4	3.13%	0	-0.4	59	0
19	Aug_25_2011	232.65	210.9	202.87	195.66			195.8(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10000	-2	-33	1.19	44%	-0.27	-68.8	3.1%	0	-0.8	44	0
20	Aug_24_2011	233.27	213.48	204.34	196.2			200.52(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10000	-8	-40	1.34	44%	-0.26	-67	3.11%	0	-0.6	43	0

21	Aug_23_2011	233.88	215.91	204	198.8			198.68(5.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	-10000	-8	-63	2.61	43%	-0.26	-61.4	3.11%	0	-0.8	36	0
22	Aug_22_2011	234.5	218.75	204.18	201.45			188.56(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-20	-90	2.66	40%	-0.31	-56	3.04%	0	-1.3	31	0
23	Aug_19_2011	235.22	222.26	204.52	207.75			194.72(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-10	-106	2.17	41%	-0.27	-47.4	3.02%	0	-1.2	30	0
24	Aug_18_2011	235.86	225.54	206.33	211.01			198.52(-7.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-7	-118	2.37	43%	-0.25	-42.4	3.02%	0	-1.1	32	0
25	Aug_17_2011	236.46	228.57	208.34	213.36			213.52(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-23	-10000	12	-129	1.66	46%		-36.3	2.92%	0	-0.6	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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