Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 9, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $199.3200 (5.75%) ($182.8000 - $199.6000) on Tue. Aug. 9, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.72% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $199.3200(5.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -9.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(59%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.36% (StdDev 2.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

Resistance Level   $239.78
5 Day Moving Average   $211.64(-5.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $228.44(-12.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $239.78(-16.87%)
To recent high   -23.6%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 8.16% (three month std-dev: 2.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110909

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2011	238.86	239.78	228.44	211.64			199.32(5.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-76	-10000	-27	-224	3.3	41%	-0.2	-39.6	2.72%	0	-2.1	20	0
2	Aug_8_2011	239.34	241.8	234.36	219.74			188.48(-11.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-79	-10000	-40	-195	3.19	37%	-0.22	-34.4	2.65%	0	-3.1	10	0
3	Aug_5_2011	239.87	244.43	241.78	231.98			212.44(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-56	-10000	-27	-141	4.44	41%	-0.12	-23.4	2.27%	0	-2.5	27	0
4	Aug_4_2011	240.16	246.14	246.81	239.25			219.04(-8.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-39	-10000	-22	-89	3.78	41%	-0.07	-6.1	2.25%	0	-2.6	29	0
5	Aug_3_2011	240.32	247.61	251.05	245.33			238.92(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-10	-28	2.46	44%	0.01	18.4	2.04%	0	-1	60	0

6	Aug_2_2011	240.29	247.79	252.86	247.8			239.84(-3.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-9	-10000	-14	5	1.95	43%	0.01	34.4	2.08%	0	-0.9	56	0
7	Aug_1_2011	240.27	247.94	254.49	251.36			249.64(0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-8	54	1.26	45%	0.06	58.1	2.03%	0	0.2	67	0
8	Jul_29_2011	240.12	247.42	254.3	253.31			248.8(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-9	81	1.24	47%	0.09	73.7	2.05%	0	0.2	67	0
9	Jul_28_2011	239.91	246.79	254.41	255.72			249.44(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	21	-10000	-7	106	1.21	47%	0.05	84.8	2.06%	0	0.3	57	0
10	Jul_27_2011	239.78	246.03	253.1	257.66			251.28(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	26	-10000	-3	112	2	47%	0.06	91.5	2.06%	0	0.6	56	0

11	Jul_26_2011	239.63	244.89	251.93	258.6			257.64(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	2	121	1.21	49%	0.07	89.7	2.04%	0	1.3	64	0
12	Jul_25_2011	239.47	243.08	249.7	257.99			259.4(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	10	116	1.72	49%	0.07	83.4	2.04%	0	1.5	65	0
13	Jul_22_2011	239.31	241.15	247.17	255.39			260.84(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	10	96	1.04	49%	0.07	75.5	2.03%	0	1.8	68	0
14	Jul_21_2011	239.15	239.3	245.23	252.94			259.16(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	20	93	1.72	49%	0.08	75.2	2.05%	0	1.9	69	0
15	Jul_20_2011	238.96	237.61	243.65	247.85			255.96(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	14	71	1.74	50%	0.07	69.5	2.04%	0	1.8	69	0

16	Jul_19_2011	238.79	236.09	242.01	244.26			254.6(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	-10000	16	63	2.07	50%	0.03	65.1	2.07%	0	2	72	0
17	Jul_18_2011	238.71	234.28	240.53	240.21			246.4(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	10	58	1.56	46%	0	55.1	2.03%	0	1.4	73	0
18	Jul_15_2011	238.71	232.94	239.7	237.71			248.6(6.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	-10000	5	60	2.62	46%	0.05	44.1	2.05%	0	1.8	75	0
19	Jul_14_2011	238.6	231.5	238.29	236.54			233.68(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-10	65	1.61	41%	-0.03	37.6	1.88%	0	0.3	62	0
20	Jul_13_2011	238.67	230.89	238.34	238.82			238(1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-10000	-3	97	1.34	41%	0.01	41.7	1.87%	0	0.8	64	0

21	Jul_12_2011	238.64	230.24	237.39	239.39			234.36(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	22	-10000	-6	104	1	39%	-0.02	44.1	1.87%	0	0.5	60	0
22	Jul_11_2011	238.69	229.52	236.19	240.78			233.92(-3.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	27	-10000	-4	118	1.37	37%	-0.01	44.9	1.92%	0	0.5	68	0
23	Jul_8_2011	238.72	229.12	235.02	241.72			242.72(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	7	136	1.05	39%	0.01	44.5	1.9%	0	1.6	77	0
24	Jul_7_2011	238.69	228.39	233.21	240.2			245.12(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	11	135	1.28	39%	0.03	40.1	1.9%	0	2.1	78	0
25	Jul_6_2011	238.61	227.34	231.24	237.81			240.84(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	12	128	0.86	39%		30.5	1.88%	0	1.9	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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