Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $225.5600 (-1.1%) ($224.6800 - $232.7600) on Mon. May. 16, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $225.5600(-1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(59%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $240.46
5 Day Moving Average   $231.31(-2.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $233.07(-3.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $240.46(-6.2%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.74% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2011	234.76	240.46	233.07	231.31			225.56(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-10000	-13	-135	2.32	47%	-0.04	-38.2	1.83%	0	-1.7	31	0
2	May_13_2011	234.85	241.55	235.49	234.04			228.08(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-10000	-3	-111	1.85	49%	0.09	-38	1.83%	0	-1.6	33	0
3	May_12_2011	234.65	242.39	238.08	234.8			229.64(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-10000	0	-99	3.55	49%	0.09	-45.9	1.84%	0	-1.7	33	0
4	May_11_2011	234.44	243.13	240.12	234.7			231.36(-4.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-3	-99	2.82	49%	0.1	-58.9	1.85%	0	-1.7	36	0
5	May_10_2011	234.2	243.64	241.92	235.26			241.92(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-23	-10000	0	-92	1.75	53%	0.16	-74.6	1.77%	0	-0.3	51	0

6	May_9_2011	233.82	243.95	242.65	235.24			239.2(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-30	-10000	-11	-87	1.57	51%	0.16	-81.8	1.77%	0	-0.7	51	0
7	May_6_2011	233.44	244.76	243.66	237.51			231.88(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-22	-74	2.28	49%	0.13	-71.9	1.71%	0	-1.8	38	0
8	May_5_2011	233.14	245.99	245.52	242.11			229.16(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-23	-10000	-20	-30	3.91	49%	0.12	-58	1.71%	0	-2.5	39	0
9	May_4_2011	232.85	247.39	247.63	246.3			234.16(-3.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-7	-10000	-14	13	2.42	51%	0.14	-49.4	1.71%	0	-2.2	43	0
10	May_3_2011	232.52	248.69	248.66	249.3			241.8(-3.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	5	-10000	-8	45	2.36	53%	0.17	-32	1.65%	0	-1.2	56	0

11	May_2_2011	232.13	249.56	248.7	250.93			250.56(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	1	54	0.94	57%	0.22	-16.5	1.59%	0	0.2	52	0
12	Apr_29_2011	231.63	249.92	248.25	250.7			254.88(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	5	41	0.56	61%	0.24	-12.4	1.61%	0	0.8	46	0
13	Apr_28_2011	231.08	249.99	247.07	249.63			250.12(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	1	13	0.49	60%	0.22	-9.8	1.61%	0	0	41	0
14	Apr_27_2011	230.58	250.34	246.35	249.32			249.16(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	4	-10000	7	-5	1.26	60%	0.21	-3.4	1.61%	0	-0.2	40	0
15	Apr_26_2011	230.1	250.53	245.43	247.93			249.92(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	9	-43	0.3	62%	0.2	-5.3	1.61%	0	-0.1	37	0

16	Apr_25_2011	229.63	250.54	245.21	246.06			249.4(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	-10000	3	-75	0.29	61%	0.33	-11.5	1.64%	0	-0.2	37	0
17	Apr_21_2011	228.87	250.69	245.7	245.4			249.56(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	-10000	6	-85	0.66	61%	0.23	-5.8	1.64%	0	-0.2	38	0
18	Apr_20_2011	228.34	250.62	246.22	244.17			248.56(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-20	-10000	6	-98	0.85	59%	0.25	-6.5	1.64%	0	-0.3	38	0
19	Apr_19_2011	227.77	250.56	246.87	243.05			242.2(0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-26	-10000	3	-113	0.89	56%	0.22	-3.1	1.63%	0	-1.3	29	0
20	Apr_18_2011	227.28	250.89	248.57	242.54			240.56(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-8	-114	1.05	56%	0.22	2.8	1.64%	0	-1.6	36	0

21	Apr_15_2011	226.79	251.3	250.45	244.14			246.12(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-10000	-10	-93	0.71	58%	0.09	16.1	1.61%	0	-0.8	47	0
22	Apr_14_2011	226.59	251.06	251.71	246.11			243.4(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-13	-71	0.87	58%	0.22	27.7	1.62%	0	-1.2	40	0
23	Apr_13_2011	226.09	251.05	253.19	248.67			242.96(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-13	-39	1.2	58%	0.24	43.3	1.63%	0	-1.1	48	0
24	Apr_12_2011	225.55	250.75	254.76	251.34			239.68(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-17	-10000	-20	-6	1.44	58%	0.2	49.2	1.62%	0	-1.4	46	0
25	Apr_11_2011	225.09	250.71	256.3	255.38			248.56(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-11	40	0.58	63%		63.6	1.55%	0	-0.3	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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