Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 27, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $249.1600 (-0.3%) ($244.2800 - $251.3600) on Wed. Apr. 27, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $249.1600(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(59%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $250.34
5 Day Moving Average   $249.32(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $246.35(1.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $250.34(-0.47%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   14.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.62% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110527

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_27_2011	230.58	250.34	246.35	249.32			249.16(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	4	-10000	7	-5	1.26	60%	0.21	-3.4	1.61%	0	-0.2	40	0
2	Apr_26_2011	230.1	250.53	245.43	247.93			249.92(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	9	-43	0.3	62%	0.2	-5.3	1.61%	0	-0.1	37	0
3	Apr_25_2011	229.63	250.54	245.21	246.06			249.4(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	-10000	3	-75	0.29	61%	0.33	-11.5	1.64%	0	-0.2	37	0
4	Apr_21_2011	228.87	250.69	245.7	245.4			249.56(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	-10000	6	-85	0.66	61%	0.23	-5.8	1.64%	0	-0.2	38	0
5	Apr_20_2011	228.34	250.62	246.22	244.17			248.56(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-20	-10000	6	-98	0.85	59%	0.25	-6.5	1.64%	0	-0.3	38	0

6	Apr_19_2011	227.77	250.56	246.87	243.05			242.2(0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-26	-10000	3	-113	0.89	56%	0.22	-3.1	1.63%	0	-1.3	29	0
7	Apr_18_2011	227.28	250.89	248.57	242.54			240.56(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-8	-114	1.05	56%	0.22	2.8	1.64%	0	-1.6	36	0
8	Apr_15_2011	226.79	251.3	250.45	244.14			246.12(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-10000	-10	-93	0.71	58%	0.09	16.1	1.61%	0	-0.8	47	0
9	Apr_14_2011	226.59	251.06	251.71	246.11			243.4(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-13	-71	0.87	58%	0.22	27.7	1.62%	0	-1.2	40	0
10	Apr_13_2011	226.09	251.05	253.19	248.67			242.96(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-13	-39	1.2	58%	0.24	43.3	1.63%	0	-1.1	48	0

11	Apr_12_2011	225.55	250.75	254.76	251.34			239.68(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-17	-10000	-20	-6	1.44	58%	0.2	49.2	1.62%	0	-1.4	46	0
12	Apr_11_2011	225.09	250.71	256.3	255.38			248.56(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-11	40	0.58	63%	0.25	63.6	1.55%	0	-0.3	56	0
13	Apr_8_2011	224.53	250.26	256.6	257.54			255.96(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-3	70	0.64	66%	0.29	65.4	1.49%	0	0.7	70	0
14	Apr_7_2011	223.88	249.23	256.3	258.14			256.2(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-2	96	0.78	66%	0.31	57	1.5%	0	0.7	79	0
15	Apr_6_2011	223.18	247.91	255.53	258.44			256.28(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10000	-2	111	0.73	66%	0.31	50.1	1.5%	0	0.9	74	0

16	Apr_5_2011	222.48	246.96	254.62	258.74			259.88(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	-10000	7	140	0.6	66%	0.32	49.7	1.49%	0	1.4	85	0
17	Apr_4_2011	221.77	245.77	253.38	257.37			259.4(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	-10000	10	149	0.74	66%	0.32	47.1	1.49%	0	1.5	80	0
18	Apr_1_2011	221.07	244.79	252.14	255.48			258.96(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	-10000	7	148	0.72	66%	0.29	41.3	1.49%	0	1.7	76	0
19	Mar_31_2011	220.42	243.97	250.23	254.19			257.68(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	-10000	11	148	0.59	66%	0.3	39.3	1.5%	0	1.8	77	0
20	Mar_30_2011	219.76	243.24	248.59	252.18			257.76(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	47	-10000	12	153	1.14	66%	0.31	40.1	1.5%	0	2	81	0

21	Mar_29_2011	219.07	242.32	246.26	249.94			253.04(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	6	130	0.79	66%	0.3	35.4	1.49%	0	1.7	64	0
22	Mar_28_2011	218.41	241.6	244.58	248.82			249.96(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	3	122	0.72	66%	0.3	36.5	1.48%	0	1.4	63	0
23	Mar_25_2011	217.76	241.36	243.38	248.25			252.52(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	-10000	14	119	0.86	66%	0.32	42.4	1.47%	0	2	59	0
24	Mar_24_2011	217.07	240.95	241.56	245.65			247.64(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	7	80	0.87	64%	0.32	38.6	1.46%	0	1.3	52	0
25	Mar_23_2011	216.38	240.42	239.69	244.39			246.52(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	14	46	0.91	64%		33.5	1.48%	0	1.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.