Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $249.5600 (0.4%) ($246.2000 - $250.4400) on Thu. Apr. 21, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $249.5600(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(59%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $250.69
5 Day Moving Average   $245.4(1.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $245.7(1.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $250.69(-0.45%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   17.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2011	228.87	250.69	245.7	245.4			249.56(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	-10000	6	-85	0.66	61%	0.23	-5.8	1.64%	0	-0.2	38	0
2	Apr_20_2011	228.34	250.62	246.22	244.17			248.56(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-20	-10000	6	-98	0.85	59%	0.25	-6.5	1.64%	0	-0.3	38	0
3	Apr_19_2011	227.77	250.56	246.87	243.05			242.2(0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-26	-10000	3	-113	0.89	56%	0.22	-3.1	1.63%	0	-1.3	29	0
4	Apr_18_2011	227.28	250.89	248.57	242.54			240.56(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-8	-114	1.05	56%	0.22	2.8	1.64%	0	-1.6	36	0
5	Apr_15_2011	226.79	251.3	250.45	244.14			246.12(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-10000	-10	-93	0.71	58%	0.09	16.1	1.61%	0	-0.8	47	0

6	Apr_14_2011	226.59	251.06	251.71	246.11			243.4(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-13	-71	0.87	58%	0.22	27.7	1.62%	0	-1.2	40	0
7	Apr_13_2011	226.09	251.05	253.19	248.67			242.96(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-13	-39	1.2	58%	0.24	43.3	1.63%	0	-1.1	48	0
8	Apr_12_2011	225.55	250.75	254.76	251.34			239.68(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-17	-10000	-20	-6	1.44	58%	0.2	49.2	1.62%	0	-1.4	46	0
9	Apr_11_2011	225.09	250.71	256.3	255.38			248.56(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-11	40	0.58	63%	0.25	63.6	1.55%	0	-0.3	56	0
10	Apr_8_2011	224.53	250.26	256.6	257.54			255.96(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-3	70	0.64	66%	0.29	65.4	1.49%	0	0.7	70	0

11	Apr_7_2011	223.88	249.23	256.3	258.14			256.2(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-2	96	0.78	66%	0.31	57	1.5%	0	0.7	79	0
12	Apr_6_2011	223.18	247.91	255.53	258.44			256.28(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10000	-2	111	0.73	66%	0.31	50.1	1.5%	0	0.9	74	0
13	Apr_5_2011	222.48	246.96	254.62	258.74			259.88(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	-10000	7	140	0.6	66%	0.32	49.7	1.49%	0	1.4	85	0
14	Apr_4_2011	221.77	245.77	253.38	257.37			259.4(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	-10000	10	149	0.74	66%	0.32	47.1	1.49%	0	1.5	80	0
15	Apr_1_2011	221.07	244.79	252.14	255.48			258.96(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	-10000	7	148	0.72	66%	0.29	41.3	1.49%	0	1.7	76	0

16	Mar_31_2011	220.42	243.97	250.23	254.19			257.68(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	-10000	11	148	0.59	66%	0.3	39.3	1.5%	0	1.8	77	0
17	Mar_30_2011	219.76	243.24	248.59	252.18			257.76(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	47	-10000	12	153	1.14	66%	0.31	40.1	1.5%	0	2	81	0
18	Mar_29_2011	219.07	242.32	246.26	249.94			253.04(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	6	130	0.79	66%	0.3	35.4	1.49%	0	1.7	64	0
19	Mar_28_2011	218.41	241.6	244.58	248.82			249.96(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	3	122	0.72	66%	0.3	36.5	1.48%	0	1.4	63	0
20	Mar_25_2011	217.76	241.36	243.38	248.25			252.52(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	-10000	14	119	0.86	66%	0.32	42.4	1.47%	0	2	59	0

21	Mar_24_2011	217.07	240.95	241.56	245.65			247.64(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	7	80	0.87	64%	0.32	38.6	1.46%	0	1.3	52	0
22	Mar_23_2011	216.38	240.42	239.69	244.39			246.52(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	14	46	0.91	64%	0.32	33.5	1.48%	0	1.2	50	0
23	Mar_22_2011	215.7	240.12	238.7	241.94			247.44(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	13	17	0.98	64%	0.33	27.5	1.47%	0	1.5	55	0
24	Mar_21_2011	214.98	239.48	237.53	239.67			247.12(3.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	5	-10000	10	-11	1.77	65%	0.35	14.3	1.47%	0	1.6	56	0
25	Mar_18_2011	214.24	238.97	236.77	237.86			239.52(-0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	6	-40	1.48	64%		10.4	1.43%	0	0.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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