Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $258.9600 (0.5%) ($258.2800 - $261.0800) on Fri. Apr. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $258.9600(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(59%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $255.48(1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $252.14(2.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $244.79(5.79%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.44% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_1_2011	221.07	244.79	252.14	255.48			258.96(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	-10000	7	148	0.72	66%	0.29	41.3	1.49%	0	1.7	76	0
2	Mar_31_2011	220.42	243.97	250.23	254.19			257.68(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	-10000	11	148	0.59	66%	0.3	39.3	1.5%	0	1.8	77	0
3	Mar_30_2011	219.76	243.24	248.59	252.18			257.76(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	47	-10000	12	153	1.14	66%	0.31	40.1	1.5%	0	2	81	0
4	Mar_29_2011	219.07	242.32	246.26	249.94			253.04(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	6	130	0.79	66%	0.3	35.4	1.49%	0	1.7	64	0
5	Mar_28_2011	218.41	241.6	244.58	248.82			249.96(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	3	122	0.72	66%	0.3	36.5	1.48%	0	1.4	63	0

6	Mar_25_2011	217.76	241.36	243.38	248.25			252.52(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	-10000	14	119	0.86	66%	0.32	42.4	1.47%	0	2	59	0
7	Mar_24_2011	217.07	240.95	241.56	245.65			247.64(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	7	80	0.87	64%	0.32	38.6	1.46%	0	1.3	52	0
8	Mar_23_2011	216.38	240.42	239.69	244.39			246.52(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	14	46	0.91	64%	0.32	33.5	1.48%	0	1.2	50	0
9	Mar_22_2011	215.7	240.12	238.7	241.94			247.44(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	13	17	0.98	64%	0.33	27.5	1.47%	0	1.5	55	0
10	Mar_21_2011	214.98	239.48	237.53	239.67			247.12(3.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	5	-10000	10	-11	1.77	65%	0.35	14.3	1.47%	0	1.6	56	0

11	Mar_18_2011	214.24	238.97	236.77	237.86			239.52(-0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	6	-40	1.48	64%	0.31	10.4	1.43%	0	0.1	42	0
12	Mar_17_2011	213.57	238.96	237.12	236.88			241.36(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	15	-49	1.21	64%	0.32	13.1	1.44%	0	0.5	44	0
13	Mar_16_2011	212.88	238.76	237.36	234.3			234.24(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	-10000	-4	-74	2.24	62%	0.29	6.6	1.39%	0	-1	49	0
14	Mar_15_2011	212.26	238.79	238.02	234.9			236.12(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-1	-69	1.38	62%	0.29	12.5	1.39%	0	-0.6	46	0
15	Mar_14_2011	211.64	238.82	238.39	235.02			238.08(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-19	-10000	-4	-63	1.34	62%	0.31	18.5	1.38%	0	-0.2	54	0

16	Mar_11_2011	210.99	238.52	239.18	235.61			234.6(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-12	-47	0.98	61%	0.29	22.3	1.37%	0	-0.8	49	0
17	Mar_10_2011	210.37	238.4	240.33	237.5			228.48(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-20	-10000	-20	-21	2.13	58%	0.25	33.5	1.35%	0	-2	42	0
18	Mar_9_2011	209.84	238.49	241.4	240.81			237.2(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-5	21	0.95	64%	0.31	50.5	1.25%	0	-0.3	51	0
19	Mar_8_2011	209.2	238.25	241.86	241.52			236.72(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-4	43	0.63	62%	0.28	54.8	1.25%	0	-0.3	55	0
20	Mar_7_2011	208.62	238.01	241.81	242.12			241.04(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-8	48	0.69	65%	0.31	60.2	1.23%	0	0.6	56	0

21	Mar_4_2011	207.98	237.48	241.51	243.26			244.08(-0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-10000	-3	78	0.7	67%	0.32	73.9	1.21%	0	1.2	64	0
22	Mar_3_2011	207.31	236.76	241.04	243.68			245(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	10	106	1.21	67%	0.33	87.2	1.22%	0	1.5	65	0
23	Mar_2_2011	206.63	236.02	240.27	242.16			240.76(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-10000	-1	106	0.92	67%	0.32	93.4	1.2%	0	0.9	65	0
24	Mar_1_2011	205.97	235.45	239.62	242.26			239.72(-2.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	34	-10000	7	114	1.05	69%	0.32	108.8	1.23%	0	0.8	59	0
25	Feb_28_2011	205.32	234.83	239.29	241.3			246.76(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	-10000	13	123	1.21	74%		111.9	1.17%	0	2.1	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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