Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 11, 2011

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $231.2000 (0.14%) ($230.0800 - $232.1600) on Fri. Feb. 11, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $231.2000(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(59%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $230.57(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $229.98(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $223.62(3.39%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   23.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.13% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110311

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_11_2011	197.89	223.62	229.98	230.57			231.2(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	42	-10000	2	161	0.56	63%	0.36	59.1	1.11%	0	1.1	77	0
2	Feb_10_2011	197.18	222.87	228.84	230.34			230.88(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	-10000	2	175	1	65%	0.36	63.2	1.11%	0	1.2	78	0
3	Feb_9_2011	196.48	222.16	227.62	230.11			228.08(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	43	-10000	-4	183	0.89	64%	0.34	68.3	1.12%	0	0.9	76	0
4	Feb_8_2011	195.82	221.5	226.77	230.58			231.64(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10000	4	206	1	67%	0.35	73.6	1.1%	0	1.5	72	0
5	Feb_7_2011	195.14	220.54	224.95	230.1			231.04(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	-10000	6	188	1.18	67%	0.36	74.2	1.1%	0	1.6	64	0

6	Feb_4_2011	194.44	219.56	223.35	229.3			230.04(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	-10000	18	178	1.01	69%	0.36	75.1	1.1%	0	1.7	66	0
7	Feb_3_2011	193.75	218.58	221.68	227.06			229.76(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	-10000	18	139	0.65	69%	0.34	68.6	1.14%	0	1.9	68	0
8	Feb_2_2011	193.09	217.66	220.03	224.69			230.44(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	-10000	18	101	0.77	70%	0.35	64	1.14%	0	2.3	67	0
9	Feb_1_2011	192.42	216.66	218.59	222.35			229.24(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	-10000	26	79	1.35	71%	0.33	63.3	1.15%	0	2.6	68	0
10	Jan_31_2011	191.78	215.81	217.53	219.04			227(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	27	-10000	19	49	1.07	71%	0.33	62.1	1.15%	0	2.9	69	0

11	Jan_28_2011	191.14	214.96	216.54	216.63			218.84(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	10	29	1.06	68%	0.3	61.8	1.07%	0	1.3	63	0
12	Jan_27_2011	190.56	214.55	216.27	215.5			217.92(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	8	26	0.67	68%	0.3	54.4	1.07%	0	1.2	64	0
13	Jan_26_2011	189.99	214.19	216.16	214.61			218.76(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8	-10000	3	23	0.72	68%	0.31	51.1	1.07%	0	1.6	62	0
14	Jan_25_2011	189.4	213.68	215.76	214.28			212.69(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-10000	-14	22	1.04	65%	0.13	52.6	1.03%	0	-0.3	55	0
15	Jan_24_2011	189.16	213.46	215.83	215.78			214.92(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-6	48	0.67	68%	0.28	69.3	1.02%	0	0.5	54	0

16	Jan_21_2011	188.63	213.17	215.56	216.47			213.2(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-10000	-6	62	0.74	68%	0.29	83.7	1.01%	0	0	57	0
17	Jan_20_2011	188.09	212.96	215.42	217.11			213.48(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	14	-10000	-6	74	0.68	68%	0.29	95.7	1.03%	0	0.2	59	0
18	Jan_19_2011	187.54	212.72	215.33	217.82			217.12(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	4	96	0.71	66%	0.35	108.4	1%	0	1.2	66	0
19	Jan_18_2011	186.89	212.15	214.76	217.4			220.2(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	35	-10000	13	99	0.44	69%	0.53	108.4	1.04%	0	2.3	79	0
20	Jan_14_2011	185.91	211.26	214.01	215.89			218.36(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	-10000	12	92	0.47	69%	0.36	91	1.03%	0	1.9	79	0

21	Jan_13_2011	185.24	210.48	213.24	214.57			216.4(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	10	79	0.7	70%	0.36	82.3	1.03%	0	1.6	71	0
22	Jan_12_2011	184.58	209.73	212.64	213.49			217.04(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	9	67	0.62	70%	0.35	71.4	1.04%	0	1.8	73	0
23	Jan_11_2011	183.93	208.97	211.98	212.49			215(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	7	58	0.53	70%	0.32	64.6	1.04%	0	1.5	71	0
24	Jan_10_2011	183.34	208.4	211.33	211.75			212.63(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	-1	53	0.86	69%	0.32	62.3	1.04%	0	1.1	74	0
25	Jan_7_2011	182.76	207.89	210.84	211.86			211.76(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	18	-10000	1	69	0.68	71%		62.4	1.05%	0	1	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.