Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 12, 2010

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $176.5600 (-0.14%) ($173.7600 - $177.0400) on Tue. Oct. 12, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $176.5600(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(59%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-1%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $175.4(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $172.93(2.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $168.46(4.81%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2010	163.95	168.46	172.93	175.4			176.56(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	6	147	1.18	64%	0.13	60.7	1.47%	0	1.6	79	0
2	Oct_11_2010	163.73	167.88	171.82	174.67			176.8(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	13	146	0.61	64%	0.12	66.1	1.48%	0	1.9	73	0
3	Oct_8_2010	163.53	167.29	170.57	173.05			176.12(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	8	124	0.81	64%	0.13	65.1	1.48%	0	2.1	70	0
4	Oct_7_2010	163.32	166.65	169.41	172			173.32(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	7	118	0.74	67%	0.06	68.4	1.48%	0	1.7	71	0
5	Oct_6_2010	163.22	166.08	168.21	171.14			174.2(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	-10000	8	100	1.08	67%	0.06	71.3	1.55%	0	2.3	70	0

6	Oct_5_2010	163.13	165.46	167	170.1			172.92(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	-10000	12	86	0.84	67%	0.04	83.4	1.55%	0	2.3	65	0
7	Oct_4_2010	163.06	164.83	166.06	168.56			168.68(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	7	62	0.69	64%	-0.01	91	1.54%	0	1.4	55	0
8	Oct_1_2010	163.08	164.57	165.65	167.66			170.88(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	10	50	0.7	64%	-0.02	100.6	1.53%	0	2.4	59	0
9	Sep_30_2010	163.11	164.05	164.74	166.4			169.04(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	13	31	1.03	64%	-0.03	119.7	1.54%	0	2.2	60	0
10	Sep_29_2010	163.16	163.56	164.12	164.79			169(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	11	-10000	11	11	0.99	57%	-0.01	120.6	1.54%	0	2.5	64	0

11	Sep_28_2010	163.17	162.83	164.12	163.46			165.2(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	2	-6	0.74	54%	-0.03	85.8	1.6%	0	0.9	57	0
12	Sep_27_2010	163.22	162.36	163.58	163.22			164.16(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.9	54%	0.01	71.1	1.61%	0	0.6	60	0
13	Sep_24_2010	163.2	161.99	163.73	163.34			164.6(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	4	8	1.18	54%	-0.02	68.5	1.62%	0	0.8	51	0
14	Sep_23_2010	163.23	161.41	163.66	162.84			161(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-3	5	1.05	51%	-0.08	47.2	1.61%	0	-0.1	52	0
15	Sep_22_2010	163.36	161.01	163.83	163.3			162.32(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-3	17	1.27	45%	-0.1	35.7	1.61%	0	0.3	59	0

16	Sep_21_2010	163.52	160.6	163.87	163.66			164.04(-0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-2	39	1.09	45%	-0.12	27.1	1.67%	0	0.8	72	0
17	Sep_20_2010	163.71	160.23	163.57	163.98			164.76(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-2	55	1.1	45%	-0.09	26.1	1.67%	0	1	69	0
18	Sep_17_2010	163.85	159.81	163.45	164.22			162.08(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-3	74	0.96	45%	-0.1	23.9	1.66%	0	0.5	63	0
19	Sep_16_2010	164.02	159.63	163.39	164.61			163.28(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	2	102	1.02	45%	-0.09	24.8	1.66%	0	0.8	72	0
20	Sep_15_2010	164.17	159.5	163.03	164.39			164.16(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	3	117	1.1	49%	-0.08	22.7	1.66%	0	1.1	74	0

21	Sep_14_2010	164.3	159.37	162.09	164.04			165.6(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	7	117	0.91	49%	-0.1	13.8	1.69%	0	1.5	73	0
22	Sep_13_2010	164.47	159.05	161.08	163.07			166(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	3	102	0.58	49%	-0.11	-4.3	1.69%	0	1.7	64	0
23	Sep_10_2010	164.65	158.74	160.11	162.63			164(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	4	100	0.53	55%	-0.08	-17.9	1.69%	0	1.4	62	0
24	Sep_9_2010	164.79	158.54	158.96	162.03			162.2(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	4	76	0.44	55%	-0.09	-36.9	1.8%	0	1	54	0
25	Sep_8_2010	164.94	158.52	157.97	161.45			162.4(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	12	56	0.48	55%		-51.8	1.8%	0	1.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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