Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 3, 2010

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $167.6400 (0.34%) ($165.4400 - $169.1200) on Tue. Aug. 3, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.39% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $167.6400(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(60%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.195% (StdDev 2.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $164.3(2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $163.67(2.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $162.25(3.32%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.05% (three month std-dev: 2.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2010	167.91	162.25	163.67	164.3			167.64(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	5	35	1.42	50%	-0.03	72.2	2.39%	0	1.6	57	0
2	Aug_2_2010	167.96	161.53	162.99	163.42			167.08(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	1	23	0.83	50%	-0.05	53.9	2.4%	0	1.8	55	0
3	Jul_30_2010	168.04	160.83	161.99	163.22			162.32(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-1	16	1.17	49%	-0.08	31	2.39%	0	0.4	53	0
4	Jul_29_2010	168.17	160.44	161.51	163.42			162.96(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	1	12	1.62	49%	-0.07	18.1	2.39%	0	0.7	52	0
5	Jul_28_2010	168.28	160.1	161.45	163.3			161.48(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	5	-10000	2	13	1.22	49%	-0.06	3.5	2.39%	0	0.4	50	0

6	Jul_27_2010	168.38	159.88	161.56	162.85			163.24(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	2	14	1.55	47%	-0.04	-12.8	2.39%	0	0.9	58	0
7	Jul_26_2010	168.45	159.86	161.53	162.42			166.12(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	10	28	1.16	47%	-0.03	-28.1	2.41%	0	1.7	72	0
8	Jul_23_2010	168.5	159.79	160.96	160.58			163.32(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	7	23	1.98	48%	-0.03	-53.2	2.4%	0	0.9	70	0
9	Jul_22_2010	168.55	159.78	160.77	159.34			162.36(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-10000	-0	21	1.49	48%	-0.04	-75.2	2.43%	0	0.7	66	0
10	Jul_21_2010	168.62	159.97	160.68	159.41			159.2(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-4	29	1.26	48%	-0.05	-80.9	2.42%	0	-0.2	57	0

11	Jul_20_2010	168.71	160.35	160.71	160.1			161.08(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-2	40	1.13	50%	-0.04	-80.4	2.42%	0	0.2	58	0
12	Jul_19_2010	168.77	160.93	159.96	160.55			156.96(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-4	29	0.63	48%	-0.04	-63.1	2.41%	0	-0.7	39	0
13	Jul_16_2010	168.84	161.82	159.65	161.34			157.12(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-5	17	1.01	47%	-0.04	-49.3	2.41%	0	-0.8	36	0
14	Jul_15_2010	168.9	162.7	159.42	162.3			162.68(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	1	14	1.01	49%	-0.01	-38.7	2.39%	0	-0	46	0
15	Jul_14_2010	168.91	163.34	158.74	162.1			162.68(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10000	4	-2	0.8	49%	0.01	-27.8	2.39%	0	-0.1	41	0

16	Jul_13_2010	168.89	163.97	158.14	161.38			163.32(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	11	-21	0.56	49%	-0.02	-21.5	2.39%	0	-0.1	41	0
17	Jul_12_2010	168.92	164.36	158.05	159.29			160.92(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	9	-55	0.68	49%	-0.05	-23	2.38%	0	-0.4	30	0
18	Jul_9_2010	169	164.9	158.46	157.66			161.88(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	-10000	8	-84	0.55	50%	-0.04	-23.8	2.38%	0	-0.4	29	0
19	Jul_8_2010	169.07	165.33	158.57	156.1			161.72(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-24	-10000	6	-114	1.01	50%	-0.03	-29.4	2.39%	0	-0.4	30	0
20	Jul_7_2010	169.12	165.41	159	154.95			159.08(4.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-34	-10000	2	-140	1.02	50%	-0.06	-35.8	2.38%	0	-0.8	24	0

21	Jul_6_2010	169.22	165.68	159.77	154.53			152.84(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-10000	-12	-167	1.61	47%	-0.06	-35	2.32%	0	-1.6	10	0
22	Jul_2_2010	169.32	166.23	161.84	156.7			152.8(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-48	-10000	-14	-149	1.3	49%	-0.06	-31.7	2.32%	0	-1.8	24	0
23	Jul_1_2010	169.42	166.86	164.14	159.37			154.08(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-10	-121	1.77	50%	-0.04	-24.8	2.34%	0	-1.9	25	0
24	Jun_30_2010	169.48	167.76	166.3	161.34			155.96(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34	-10000	-12	-100	1.02	50%	-0.02	-8	2.35%	0	-1.9	30	0
25	Jun_29_2010	169.52	168.37	168.42	163.58			156.96(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-10000	-11	-64	1.43	52%		11.4	2.35%	0	-1.9	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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