Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 28, 2010

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $163.8800 (-0.36%) ($162.6400 - $166.8000) on Fri. May. 28, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.96% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $163.8800(-0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(60%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(3%)    IGOV(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.98% (StdDev 1.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $151.05(-7.83%)
Resistance Level   $165.82
5 Day Moving Average   $158.74(3.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $160.13(2.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $165.82(-1.17%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 4.89% (three month std-dev: 1.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2010	169.29	165.82	160.13	158.74			163.88(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-22	-10000	8	-111	2.1	50%	-0.06	-60.1	1.96%	0	-0.2	42	0
2	May_27_2010	169.4	166.51	160.6	157.55			164.48(5.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-18	-10000	13	-109	1.57	50%	-0.07	-64	1.98%	0	-0.2	53	0
3	May_26_2010	169.52	167.19	161.35	155.62			156.16(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-10	-137	1.66	45%	-0.11	-68.4	1.87%	0	-1.3	40	0
4	May_25_2010	169.7	168.29	163.13	157.07			154.92(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-14	-124	1.74	45%	-0.11	-66.2	1.87%	0	-1.6	34	0
5	May_24_2010	169.88	169.41	164.62	159.22			154.28(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-10000	-16	-118	0.87	45%	-0.09	-61.8	1.87%	0	-1.8	31	0

6	May_21_2010	170.04	170.85	166.32	161.67			157.92(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-16	-114	1.75	44%	-0.05	-52.6	1.87%	0	-1.6	30	0
7	May_20_2010	170.12	172.13	166.89	164.09			154.8(-5.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-49	-10000	-24	-122	1.64	42%	-0.07	-43.2	1.86%	0	-2.4	31	0
8	May_19_2010	170.24	173.37	168.33	167.87			163.44(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-10000	-15	-105	1.83	46%	-0.02	-35.8	1.76%	0	-1.6	36	0
9	May_18_2010	170.28	174.08	169.37	170.1			165.68(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-5	-86	1.44	46%	-0.01	-30.1	1.75%	0	-1.5	39	0
10	May_17_2010	170.3	174.69	170.54	170.83			166.52(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-5	-78	1.6	46%	-0.02	-28.3	1.75%	0	-1.5	41	0

11	May_14_2010	170.34	175.11	172.07	171.63			170(-2.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	-10000	11	-63	1.74	50%	0.01	-29.8	1.76%	0	-1	38	0
12	May_13_2010	170.33	175.38	172.91	170.05			173.72(-0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	8	-91	2.11	52%	0.04	-42	1.75%	0	-0.3	40	0
13	May_12_2010	170.27	175.63	173.36	168.86			174.56(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-26	-10000	1	-106	1.45	52%	0.06	-45.6	1.76%	0	-0.2	47	0
14	May_11_2010	170.17	175.83	173.64	168.71			169.36(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-10000	-11	-115	2.45	51%	0.03	-43.6	1.72%	0	-1.3	44	0
15	May_10_2010	170.12	176.25	174.39	170.38			170.52(5.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-10000	-16	-102	2.41	51%	0.05	-36.3	1.73%	0	-1.2	44	0

16	May_7_2010	170.04	176.64	175.57	172.78			162.08(-3.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-36	-10000	-24	-70	3.44	48%	0.01	-23.2	1.6%	0	-3.1	40	0
17	May_6_2010	170.02	177.52	177.78	176.11			167.76(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-15	-10000	-16	-13	3.09	51%	0.04	1.1	1.55%	0	-2.9	44	0
18	May_5_2010	169.96	177.96	178.95	178.34			173.84(-2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	0	-10000	-6	18	1.92	55%	0.09	37.2	1.49%	0	-1.6	45	0
19	May_4_2010	169.81	178.06	179.32	179.15			177.72(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	9	-10000	2	28	1.96	53%	0.12	64.7	1.46%	0	-0.1	49	0
20	May_3_2010	169.61	178.02	179.31	178.92			182.52(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	6	-10000	-0	24	0.84	54%	0.18	80.3	1.54%	0	1.8	58	0

21	Apr_30_2010	169.3	177.73	178.45	178.94			178.72(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-6	14	1.6	57%	0.16	118.1	1.61%	0	0.4	52	0
22	Apr_29_2010	169.03	177.48	178.09	179.86			178.92(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	-10000	1	21	1.53	55%	0.18	139.4	1.63%	0	0.6	52	0
23	Apr_28_2010	168.73	176.99	178.05	179.7			177.88(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	8	-10000	2	26	1.89	55%	0.17	109.8	1.66%	0	0.3	56	0
24	Apr_27_2010	168.44	176.51	178.14	179.46			176.56(-3.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-10000	-1	30	2.22	55%	0.15	87.2	1.66%	0	0	54	0
25	Apr_26_2010	168.19	176.08	178.22	179.62			182.6(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	13	39	0.86	58%		78.8	1.61%	0	1.5	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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