Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 10, 2009

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $149.6400 (3.17%) ($144.3600 - $149.7600) on Thu. Sep. 10, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $149.6400(3.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    IWM(65%)    USO(65%)    SPY(61%)    VWO(57%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(4%)    IGOV(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $143.19(4.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $142.07(5.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $141.9(5.45%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   31.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20091010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2009	135.68	141.9	142.07	143.19			149.64(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	13	-10000	17	1	0.64	58%	0.24	13.8	2.15%	0	2.1	63	0
2	Sep_9_2009	135.35	141.42	141.36	140.58			145.04(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	-10000	10	-24	0.33	55%	0.19	-11	2.12%	0	1.1	60	0
3	Sep_8_2009	135.09	141.16	141.17	139.18			144.36(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-4	-10000	5	-31	0.36	55%	0.27	-31.1	2.12%	0	1	63	0
4	Sep_4_2009	134.72	141.08	141.31	138.47			139.8(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-7	-24	0.52	51%	0.13	-41.6	2.06%	0	-0.4	62	0
5	Sep_3_2009	134.54	141.19	141.86	139.44			137.12(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-9	-5	0.36	43%	0.12	-30	2.08%	0	-1.4	46	0

6	Sep_2_2009	134.38	141.4	142.34	140.78			136.6(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-5	-10000	-9	6	0.55	43%	0.13	-15	2.21%	0	-1.6	41	0
7	Sep_1_2009	134.21	141.78	142.76	142.18			138(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-0	-10000	-7	21	0.44	50%	0.13	12.7	2.22%	0	-1.4	47	0
8	Aug_31_2009	134.04	142.15	142.83	143.35			140.84(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-7	28	0.38	50%	0.05	37	2.32%	0	-0.5	53	0
9	Aug_28_2009	133.97	142.35	142.36	144.52			144.64(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-10000	-1	30	0.57	57%	0.18	55.9	2.31%	0	0.8	51	0
10	Aug_27_2009	133.73	142.1	141.94	144.68			143.84(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-10000	3	31	0.65	57%	0.21	55.8	2.36%	0	0.6	53	0

11	Aug_26_2009	133.45	141.83	141.82	144.16			143.56(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10000	4	30	0.41	57%	0.23	45.5	2.36%	0	0.5	55	0
12	Aug_25_2009	133.14	141.42	141.54	143.42			143.88(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	8	20	0.53	57%	0.2	41.2	2.37%	0	0.8	49	0
13	Aug_24_2009	132.88	141.14	141.14	142.15			146.68(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	14	1	0.6	57%	0.2	37.5	2.37%	0	1.8	50	0
14	Aug_21_2009	132.61	140.81	140.71	139.85			145.44(2.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.9	-3	-10000	6	-28	0.18	57%	0.23	31.6	2.37%	0	1.6	49	0
15	Aug_20_2009	132.31	140.54	140.3	138.89			141.24(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-11	-10000	-2	-37	0.23	54%	0.24	41.8	2.39%	0	0.3	53	0

16	Aug_19_2009	131.99	140.41	140.24	139.24			139.88(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	-1	-30	0.6	54%	0.26	54	2.39%	0	-0.2	54	0
17	Aug_18_2009	131.65	140.1	140.6	139.43			137.52(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-3	-15	0.62	59%	0.23	62	2.38%	0	-0.8	57	0
18	Aug_17_2009	131.35	139.97	141.38	139.94			135.16(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-7	-10000	-9	-1	0.25	59%	0.17	77.4	2.45%	0	-1.3	48	0
19	Aug_14_2009	131.13	139.9	142.4	141.58			140.64(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-2	24	1	64%	0.17	96.7	2.43%	0	0.2	51	0
20	Aug_13_2009	130.91	139.4	142.36	141.86			143(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	3	28	0.89	58%	0.21	101.2	2.43%	0	0.8	54	0

21	Aug_12_2009	130.64	138.71	141.92	141.4			140.84(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-3	21	0.63	58%	0.19	97.4	2.49%	0	0.4	55	0
22	Aug_11_2009	130.39	138	141.39	141.99			140.08(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-6	29	0.39	58%	0.16	95	2.49%	0	0.3	63	0
23	Aug_10_2009	130.18	137.14	141.25	143.05			143.32(0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-10000	-2	49	0.4	58%	0.26	91.1	2.51%	0	0.8	66	0
24	Aug_7_2009	129.84	135.97	140.98	143.38			142.04(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	3	67	0.45	62%	0.2	84.1	2.59%	0	0.7	66	0
25	Aug_6_2009	129.58	134.75	140.82	142.91			140.72(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	3	80	0.72	65%		74.8	2.6%	0	0.7	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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