Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 12, 2009

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $140.8400 (0.54%) ($139.6400 - $141.8400) on Wed. Aug. 12, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.49% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $140.8400(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    IWM(65%)    USO(65%)    SPY(61%)    VWO(57%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(3%)    IGOV(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.245% (StdDev 2.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $141.4(-0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $141.92(-0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $138.71(1.54%)
To recent high   -7.9%
To recent low   23.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.9% (three month std-dev: 2.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20090912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2009	130.64	138.71	141.92	141.4			140.84(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-3	21	0.63	58%	0.19	97.4	2.49%	0	0.4	55	0
2	Aug_11_2009	130.39	138	141.39	141.99			140.08(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-6	29	0.39	58%	0.16	95	2.49%	0	0.3	63	0
3	Aug_10_2009	130.18	137.14	141.25	143.05			143.32(0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-10000	-2	49	0.4	58%	0.26	91.1	2.51%	0	0.8	66	0
4	Aug_7_2009	129.84	135.97	140.98	143.38			142.04(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	3	67	0.45	62%	0.2	84.1	2.59%	0	0.7	66	0
5	Aug_6_2009	129.58	134.75	140.82	142.91			140.72(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	3	80	0.72	65%	0.24	74.8	2.6%	0	0.7	69	0

6	Aug_5_2009	129.27	133.64	140.6	142.43			143.8(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	10	94	0.61	65%	0.27	63.5	2.66%	0	1.1	75	0
7	Aug_4_2009	128.92	132.19	139.56	140.61			145.36(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	-10000	8	89	0.35	69%	0.33	50.7	2.67%	0	1.3	81	0
8	Aug_3_2009	128.5	130.68	138.39	139.19			145(3.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	26	-10000	4	92	0.6	69%	0.34	42.5	2.8%	0	1.5	83	0
9	Jul_31_2009	128.07	129.33	137.12	138.35			139.68(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	-10000	-1	107	0.29	69%	0.29	39	2.78%	0	1.1	83	0
10	Jul_30_2009	127.7	128.41	136.16	138.35			138.32(2.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	33	-10000	0	131	0.51	69%	0.31	38.6	2.84%	0	1.1	84	0

11	Jul_29_2009	127.31	127.78	135.22	138.53			134.68(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	40	-10000	2	154	0.48	69%	0.28	42.5	2.84%	0	0.8	79	0
12	Jul_28_2009	126.96	127.35	134.41	138.19			138.28(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	-10000	5	176	0.55	69%	0.35	44.9	2.83%	0	1.3	88	0
13	Jul_27_2009	126.52	126.69	132.8	137.3			140.8(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	-10000	9	186	0.15	69%	0.36	46.6	2.82%	0	1.7	90	0
14	Jul_24_2009	126.06	125.81	130.63	135.66			140.56(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	-10000	12	177	0.33	69%	0.36	41	2.83%	0	2	79	0
15	Jul_23_2009	125.61	125.01	128.22	133.49			138.32(4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	-10000	11	150	0.66	69%	0.3	32.3	2.85%	0	2	69	0

16	Jul_22_2009	125.24	124.18	126.11	131.52			133(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	8	119	0.5	67%	0.3	18	2.83%	0	1.5	55	0
17	Jul_21_2009	124.86	123.62	124.24	130.04			133.84(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	14	88	0.57	67%	0.33	-0.9	2.84%	0	1.9	56	0
18	Jul_20_2009	124.45	123	122.34	127.55			132.56(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	16	48	0.36	61%	0.23	-32.3	2.85%	0	1.9	56	0
19	Jul_17_2009	124.16	122.82	120.83	124.78			129.72(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	15	11	1.19	61%	0.19	-62.3	2.97%	0	1.4	55	0
20	Jul_16_2009	123.92	122.91	119.92	122.12			128.48(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	-10000	12	-22	0.43	61%	0.19	-83.9	2.98%	0	1.1	51	0

21	Jul_15_2009	123.69	123.14	119.58	119.91			125.6(3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	13	-37	0.34	61%	0.18	-94.7	2.97%	0	0.4	53	0
22	Jul_14_2009	123.47	123.67	119.56	117.6			121.4(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	7	-56	0.48	59%	0.18	-95.8	2.94%	0	-0.4	48	0
23	Jul_13_2009	123.25	124.62	119.96	116.35			118.72(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	0	-66	0.35	59%	0.11	-87.9	2.93%	0	-0.8	44	0
24	Jul_10_2009	123.12	125.88	120.54	116.28			116.4(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-10000	-6	-79	0.65	59%	0.05	-77.2	2.92%	0	-1.1	29	0
25	Jul_9_2009	123.06	127.37	121.53	117.38			117.44(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10000	-11	-82	0.59	61%		-67.6	2.94%	0	-1.1	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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