Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 14, 2009

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $121.4000 (2.26%) ($119.0000 - $121.4800) on Tue. Jul. 14, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.94% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $121.4000(2.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    IWM(65%)    USO(65%)    SPY(61%)    VWO(57%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(3%)    IGOV(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.47% (StdDev 2.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $110.51(-8.97%)
Resistance Level   $123.67
5 Day Moving Average   $117.6(3.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $119.56(1.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $123.67(-1.84%)
To recent high   -20.7%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 5.22% (three month std-dev: 2.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2009	123.47	123.67	119.56	117.6			121.4(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	7	-56	0.48	59%	0.18	-95.8	2.94%	0	-0.4	48	0
2	Jul_13_2009	123.25	124.62	119.96	116.35			118.72(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	0	-66	0.35	59%	0.11	-87.9	2.93%	0	-0.8	44	0
3	Jul_10_2009	123.12	125.88	120.54	116.28			116.4(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-10000	-6	-79	0.65	59%	0.05	-77.2	2.92%	0	-1.1	29	0
4	Jul_9_2009	123.06	127.37	121.53	117.38			117.44(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10000	-11	-82	0.59	61%	0.06	-67.6	2.94%	0	-1.1	27	0
5	Jul_8_2009	122.99	128.7	122.15	119.26			114.04(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-31	-10000	-14	-83	0.7	59%	-0.01	-59.5	2.96%	0	-1.5	19	0

6	Jul_7_2009	123	130.18	123.1	121.83			115.16(-2.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-30	-10000	-12	-83	0.63	59%	-0.06	-57.3	2.98%	0	-1.6	18	0
7	Jul_6_2009	123.08	131.6	123.94	124.05			118.36(-2.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-28	-10000	-7	-89	0.57	59%	-0.04	-58.6	3%	0	-1.4	17	0
8	Jul_2_2009	123.13	132.87	125.2	125.32			121.92(-3.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-28	-10000	-5	-98	0.42	62%	0	-56.9	2.98%	0	-1.2	17	0
9	Jul_1_2009	123.13	134.03	126.31	126.22			126.84(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10000	4	-105	0.87	66%	0.02	-55.6	3.01%	0	-0.8	18	0
10	Jun_30_2009	123.11	134.74	127.03	125.48			126.88(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-10000	4	-124	0.77	62%	-0.02	-53.9	3.03%	0	-0.9	24	0

11	Jun_29_2009	123.14	135.88	128.04	124.63			126.24(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-31	-10000	4	-137	0.69	62%	-0.01	-48.4	3.08%	0	-1	26	0
12	Jun_26_2009	123.15	137.19	129.5	123.89			124.72(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-41	-10000	-6	-146	0.52	58%	0	-43.4	3.14%	0	-1.3	24	0
13	Jun_25_2009	123.15	138.22	131.48	125.13			126.4(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-10000	-7	-136	0.67	58%	0.04	-37.3	3.14%	0	-1.3	25	0
14	Jun_24_2009	123.1	139.06	133.47	126.54			123.16(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-10000	-12	-127	0.33	58%	0.03	-33.5	3.12%	0	-1.9	16	0
15	Jun_23_2009	123.06	139.85	135.64	128.89			122.64(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-15	-107	0.62	62%	0.04	-29.8	3.15%	0	-2.2	26	0

16	Jun_22_2009	123.01	140.67	137.81	131.97			122.52(-6.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-35	-10000	-17	-90	0.77	62%	0.02	-21.9	3.32%	0	-2.7	20	0
17	Jun_19_2009	122.98	141.37	140	135.86			130.92(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-29	-10000	-13	-75	0.45	66%	0.08	-5	3.27%	0	-1.9	22	0
18	Jun_18_2009	122.88	141.62	141.33	138.75			133.44(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-12	-56	0.33	66%	0.07	9.4	3.31%	0	-1.5	40	0
19	Jun_17_2009	122.8	141.95	142.54	141.49			134.92(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-10000	-8	-33	1.03	67%	0.13	30.9	3.31%	0	-1.4	45	0
20	Jun_16_2009	122.64	142.18	143.26	143.42			138.04(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7	-10000	-4	-14	0.68	67%	0.12	43.1	3.34%	0	-0.8	55	0

21	Jun_15_2009	122.49	142.17	144.47	144.5			141.96(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-1	10	0.35	67%	0.2	46.3	3.31%	0	-0	59	0
22	Jun_12_2009	122.25	141.65	145.52	144.7			145.4(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	2	35	0.3	69%	0.26	30.1	3.3%	0	0.7	66	0
23	Jun_11_2009	121.93	141.11	145.44	144.3			147.12(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	2	45	0.67	69%	0.25	24.4	3.32%	0	1.1	68	0
24	Jun_10_2009	121.62	140.39	144.96	143.86			144.6(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	3	47	0.87	70%	0.3	15	3.32%	0	0.7	57	0
25	Jun_9_2009	121.26	140.09	144.27	143.14			143.44(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-6	38	0.36	70%		15.2	3.36%	0	0.6	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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