Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 13, 2009

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $132.7200 (-4.49%) ($131.6000 - $138.2400) on Wed. May. 13, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.84% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $132.7200(-4.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(85%)    USO(66%)    IWM(65%)    SPY(61%)    VWO(58%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(3%)    IGOV(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.92% (StdDev 3.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4%

5 Day Moving Average   $139.2(-4.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $136.52(-2.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $129.59(2.42%)
To recent high   -8.8%
To recent low   41.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 6.67% (three month std-dev: 3.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2009	117.54	129.59	136.52	139.2			132.72(-4.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	18	-10000	-7	91	0.41	55%	0.21	59.8	3.84%	0	0.4	63	0
2	May_12_2009	117.29	129.01	136	140.98			138.96(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	3	122	0.84	57%	0.27	69.9	3.79%	0	1.1	71	0
3	May_11_2009	116.98	128.06	134.52	140.13			140.16(-3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	-10000	2	124	0.35	57%	0.22	70.7	3.79%	0	1.4	69	0
4	May_8_2009	116.72	127.06	132.76	139.71			145.52(4.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	44	-10000	13	137	0.45	57%	0.28	73.2	3.76%	0	2.2	76	0
5	May_7_2009	116.39	125.76	130.61	136.46			138.64(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	-10000	12	116	0.57	55%	0.16	75.5	3.74%	0	1.8	61	0

6	May_6_2009	116.2	124.61	128.82	133.42			141.6(5.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	-10000	13	95	0.4	55%	0.19	71.7	3.76%	0	2.6	65	0
7	May_5_2009	115.98	123.16	126.39	130.31			134.72(-2.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	10	70	0.32	53%	0.18	73.7	3.72%	0	2	63	0
8	May_4_2009	115.77	122.28	124.82	128.03			138.08(6.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	24	-10000	14	55	0.33	53%	0.19	79.1	3.72%	0	3.1	67	0
9	May_1_2009	115.55	121.29	122.61	124.85			129.28(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	-10000	4	24	0.36	50%	0.1	97	3.59%	0	2.2	60	0
10	Apr_30_2009	115.44	120.63	122.11	123.97			123.44(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	2	23	0.61	47%	0.03	98.1	3.57%	0	0.9	54	0

11	Apr_29_2009	115.41	120.01	121.99	123.45			126.04(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	8	29	0.5	47%	0.13	71.6	3.57%	0	1.6	64	0
12	Apr_28_2009	115.26	119.07	121.42	121.8			123.32(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	4	24	0.32	47%	0.13	40.4	3.57%	0	0.9	65	0
13	Apr_27_2009	115.11	118.34	121.11	121.03			122.16(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	5	22	0.3	47%	0.19	22.5	3.61%	0	0.8	56	0
14	Apr_24_2009	114.89	117.89	120.97	119.97			124.88(3.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	3	-10000	-1	13	0.44	47%	0.21	19	3.6%	0	1.4	56	0
15	Apr_23_2009	114.65	117.54	120.54	120.08			120.84(2.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-2	20	0.44	47%	0.06	23.8	3.6%	0	0.7	57	0

16	Apr_22_2009	114.58	117.32	120.13	120.4			117.8(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-3	30	0.77	47%	0.04	32.3	3.64%	0	0.1	62	0
17	Apr_21_2009	114.53	117.24	119.8	120.98			119.48(2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-1	45	0.55	51%	0.09	43.1	3.66%	0	0.5	68	0
18	Apr_20_2009	114.43	117.23	119.67	121.15			116.84(-6.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-10000	-3	58	0.44	51%	-0.07	60.3	3.78%	0	-0.1	63	0
19	Apr_17_2009	114.51	116.94	120.01	121.95			125.44(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	4	78	0.26	55%	0.1	70.5	3.76%	0	1.7	64	0
20	Apr_16_2009	114.39	116.42	119.08	121.09			122.44(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	5	70	0.59	55%	-0.04	84.5	3.78%	0	1.3	53	0

21	Apr_15_2009	114.44	115.83	117.91	119.86			120.68(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	6	54	0.32	55%	0.03	89.8	3.77%	0	1.1	54	0
22	Apr_14_2009	114.4	115.26	116.56	118.43			120.36(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	2	30	0.39	55%	0.05	90.2	3.77%	0	1.1	55	0
23	Apr_13_2009	114.34	114.47	115.38	117.96			120.84(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	1	12	0.19	55%	0.34	89	3.83%	0	1.3	50	0
24	Apr_9_2009	113.95	113.59	114.56	117.78			121.12(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	4	15	0.31	55%	0.09	85.8	3.87%	0	1.4	60	0
25	Apr_8_2009	113.85	112.74	114.19	116.86			116.28(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	5	12	0.42	53%		83.2	3.86%	0	0.6	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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