Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 31, 2008

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $118.5600 (1.51%) ($115.5600 - $120.0800) on Wed. Dec. 31, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.57% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $118.5600(1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(86%)    IWM(66%)    USO(66%)    SPY(63%)    VWO(59%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -3.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(4%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.785% (StdDev 7.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $113.62(4.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $113.55(4.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $113.3(4.64%)
To recent high   -31.7%
To recent low   28.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 4.88% (three month std-dev: 7.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090131

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_31_2008	149.17	113.3	113.55	113.62			118.56(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	-10000	4	-13	0.49	48%	-0.6	-18	7.57%	0	1	46	0
2	Dec_30_2008	150.07	113.01	113.6	111.77			116.8(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	4	-15	0.59	49%	-0.6	-28.9	7.57%	0	0.7	57	0
3	Dec_29_2008	150.97	112.65	113.36	110.16			113.48(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-6	-10000	-1	-20	0.42	47%	-0.62	-34.5	7.59%	0	0.2	57	0
4	Dec_26_2008	151.91	113.13	113.67	110.57			110.76(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-10000	-1	-9	0.12	46%	-1.03	-5.7	7.72%	0	-0.4	64	0
5	Dec_24_2008	153.49	113.88	114.44	111.15			108.52(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-5	2	0.17	46%	-0.63	7.6	7.68%	0	-0.8	62	0

6	Dec_23_2008	154.47	114.3	115.65	113.48			109.28(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	-5	15	0.32	46%	-0.6	14.2	7.68%	0	-0.8	48	0
7	Dec_22_2008	155.41	114.6	116.01	115.67			108.76(-5.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	4	-10000	-3	24	0.46	46%	-0.71	20.5	7.68%	0	-0.9	48	0
8	Dec_19_2008	156.52	114.53	116.22	116.9			115.52(1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-1	30	0.48	48%	-0.64	14.1	7.65%	0	0.2	57	0
9	Dec_18_2008	157.53	113.47	114.94	117.19			113.68(-5.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-2	17	0.59	49%	-0.73	-7.5	7.73%	0	0	44	0
10	Dec_17_2008	158.69	113.38	113.85	118.16			120.16(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	-0	6	1.07	49%	-0.58	-6.1	7.74%	0	0.8	45	0

11	Dec_16_2008	159.62	113.39	113.15	118.22			120.24(4.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	4	6	0.61	49%	-0.6	-8.6	7.74%	0	0.8	53	0
12	Dec_15_2008	160.59	113.3	112.38	116.51			114.88(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	2	-10000	3	-2	0.79	47%	-0.62	-20.7	7.72%	0	0.2	52	0
13	Dec_12_2008	161.59	113.62	111.86	115.39			117(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-10000	7	-2	0.83	48%	-0.62	-27.5	7.78%	0	0.4	60	0
14	Dec_11_2008	162.59	114.08	112.4	112.22			118.52(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	8	6	0.81	48%	-0.61	-34.4	7.8%	0	0.5	69	0
15	Dec_10_2008	163.59	113.88	113.03	108.79			120.48(7.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	3	0	0.53	49%	-0.67	-53.6	7.8%	0	0.7	56	0

16	Dec_9_2008	164.7	114.1	112.52	107.48			111.68(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3	-10000	-1	-10	0.4	46%	-0.8	-61.4	7.76%	0	-0.3	48	0
17	Dec_8_2008	166.03	115.03	112.81	107.86			109.28(8.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-0	-11	0.62	46%	-0.75	-56.1	7.83%	0	-0.6	48	0
18	Dec_5_2008	167.28	116.01	112.58	107.95			101.16(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-11	-25	0.49	45%	-0.78	-57.1	7.76%	0	-1.4	43	0
19	Dec_4_2008	168.59	117.28	112.02	112.58			101.34(-11.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-11	-30	0.69	45%	-0.84	-51.9	7.76%	0	-1.6	41	0
20	Dec_3_2008	170.01	118.92	113.2	117.71			113.96(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-1	-10	0.59	46%	-0.79	-34.9	7.65%	0	-0.5	52	0

21	Dec_2_2008	171.37	120.15	113.89	118.23			113.56(3.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-0	-11	0.65	45%	-0.86	-21.6	7.65%	0	-0.6	47	0
22	Dec_1_2008	172.85	120.96	114.47	118.44			109.72(-11.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-3	-10000	2	-16	0.34	45%	-0.86	-11.4	7.67%	0	-1	44	0
23	Nov_28_2008	174.35	122.26	115.72	117.66			124.32(-2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	-10000	15	-19	0.15	47%	-1.17	-4.6	7.55%	0	0.2	49	0
24	Nov_26_2008	176.41	122.69	115.88	111.21			127(8.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-6	-10000	7	-44	0.52	47%	-0.71	-14.6	7.5%	0	0.4	52	0
25	Nov_25_2008	177.67	122.47	114.57	108.18			116.56(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-20	-10000	-3	-71	0.59	46%		-19.3	7.42%	0	-0.5	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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