Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 29, 2008

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $170.8000 (-12.1%) ($163.2800 - $190.5200) on Mon. Sep. 29, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.86% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $170.8000(-12.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -3.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(68%)    SPY(67%)    USO(66%)    VWO(64%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(10%)    GLD(10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.93% (StdDev 3.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -10.4%

Resistance Level   $194.81
5 Day Moving Average   $192.96(-11.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $193.7(-11.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $194.81(-12.32%)
To recent high   -39.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 4.94% (three month std-dev: 3.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2008	235.19	194.81	193.7	192.96			170.8(-12.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-12	-10000	-17	4	0.27	40%	-0.34	-64.2	3.86%	0	-2.5	49	0
2	Sep_26_2008	236	197.28	195.3	199.46			194.32(-4.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-8	27	0.2	44%	-0.25	-46.2	3.59%	0	-0.3	48	0
3	Sep_25_2008	236.59	198.55	195.83	202.22			202.6(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	6	44	0.15	45%	-0.2	-33.9	3.56%	0	0.4	50	0
4	Sep_24_2008	237.06	199.56	194.85	200.06			198.2(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	9	30	0.15	44%	-0.23	-31.9	3.55%	0	-0.1	49	0
5	Sep_23_2008	237.6	200.54	194.03	196.94			198.88(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	7	3	0.4	45%	-0.18	-33.7	3.56%	0	-0.1	48	0

6	Sep_22_2008	238.03	201.19	192.33	194.53			203.32(-2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	12	-25	0.19	45%	-0.14	-35.2	3.59%	0	0.2	49	0
7	Sep_19_2008	238.36	201.75	191.81	190.46			208.08(8.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-12	-10000	5	-62	0.43	45%	-0.1	-39.9	3.59%	0	0.5	44	0
8	Sep_18_2008	238.6	202.28	191.08	188.86			191.84(5.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	-10000	-1	-91	0.31	41%	-0.19	-38.9	3.42%	0	-0.7	35	0
9	Sep_17_2008	239.05	203.57	191.9	189.18			182.6(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-5	-113	0.51	40%	-0.22	-37.6	3.34%	0	-1.5	28	0
10	Sep_16_2008	239.57	205.04	194.05	190.65			186.8(2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-27	-10000	3	-115	0.4	40%	-0.23	-36.5	3.38%	0	-1.4	34	0

11	Sep_15_2008	240.13	205.98	195.85	189.54			183(-8.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-10000	-11	-133	0.28	40%	-0.26	-41.7	3.37%	0	-1.8	37	0
12	Sep_12_2008	240.75	207.33	199.49	193			200.08(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-31	-10000	-2	-117	0.37	42%	-0.15	-37.9	3.22%	0	-0.6	41	0
13	Sep_11_2008	241.1	207.95	201.44	193.77			193.4(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-10000	-5	-116	0.75	41%	-0.2	-35.3	3.19%	0	-1.3	34	0
14	Sep_10_2008	241.58	209.08	204.59	195.31			189.96(4.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-10000	-9	-106	0.4	40%	-0.23	-32	3.19%	0	-1.7	35	0
15	Sep_9_2008	242.14	210.05	207.61	198.14			181.28(-9.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-34	-10000	-15	-90	0.63	39%	-0.27	-26.8	3.13%	0	-2.9	36	0

16	Sep_8_2008	242.79	211.44	211.05	202.88			200.28(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-13	-63	0.46	42%	-0.18	-16.8	2.95%	0	-1.5	51	0
17	Sep_5_2008	243.23	211.79	212.72	206.85			203.92(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-12	-36	0.74	45%	-0.15	-10.6	2.95%	0	-1.1	50	0
18	Sep_4_2008	243.6	212.06	214.49	210.42			201.12(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-10000	-15	-11	0.49	44%	-0.17	-2.6	3.02%	0	-1.5	45	0
19	Sep_3_2008	244.01	212.66	216.3	215.44			204.08(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-2	-10000	-9	20	0.72	44%	-0.12	7.2	3.03%	0	-1.3	44	0
20	Sep_2_2008	244.31	212.78	217.12	218.56			205(-6.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2	7	-10000	-5	42	0.54	45%	-0.03	15.5	3.03%	0	-1.2	52	0

21	Aug_29_2008	244.38	212.75	217.23	220.14			220.12(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	3	54	0.22	48%	-0.04	12.4	2.96%	0	1.1	62	0
22	Aug_28_2008	244.47	212.59	216	219.32			221.8(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	0	51	0.63	48%	-0.03	12.4	2.98%	0	1.4	63	0
23	Aug_27_2008	244.54	212.24	214.98	219.22			226.2(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	5	58	0.44	48%	-0.01	11.5	2.98%	0	1.9	64	0
24	Aug_26_2008	244.57	212.16	213.72	217.58			219.68(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	6	53	0.15	48%	-0.02	12.9	2.96%	0	1.1	56	0
25	Aug_25_2008	244.63	211.74	212.42	215.66			212.92(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	6	46	0.18	46%		-7.6	2.95%	0	0.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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