Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 29, 2008

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $220.1200 (-0.76%) ($218.6400 - $223.6000) on Fri. Aug. 29, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.96% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $220.1200(-0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(68%)    SPY(67%)    USO(66%)    VWO(64%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(10%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.48% (StdDev 2.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $220.14(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $217.23(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $212.75(3.46%)
To recent high   -22.9%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.22% (three month std-dev: 2.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080929

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_29_2008	244.38	212.75	217.23	220.14			220.12(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	3	54	0.22	48%	-0.04	12.4	2.96%	0	1.1	62	0
2	Aug_28_2008	244.47	212.59	216	219.32			221.8(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	0	51	0.63	48%	-0.03	12.4	2.98%	0	1.4	63	0
3	Aug_27_2008	244.54	212.24	214.98	219.22			226.2(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	5	58	0.44	48%	-0.01	11.5	2.98%	0	1.9	64	0
4	Aug_26_2008	244.57	212.16	213.72	217.58			219.68(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	6	53	0.15	48%	-0.02	12.9	2.96%	0	1.1	56	0
5	Aug_25_2008	244.63	211.74	212.42	215.66			212.92(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	6	46	0.18	46%	-0.05	-7.6	2.95%	0	0.2	58	0

6	Aug_22_2008	244.75	211.9	211.71	213.72			216(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	6	39	0.77	46%	-0.02	-34.2	2.95%	0	0.6	62	0
7	Aug_21_2008	244.8	211.77	210.66	211.97			221.32(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	-10000	6	19	0.51	46%	-0	-54.8	2.94%	0	1.5	50	0
8	Aug_20_2008	244.81	211.41	209.2	210.1			217.96(3.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	2	-0	1.03	46%	0	-75.9	2.94%	0	1.1	50	0
9	Aug_19_2008	244.81	211.32	208.46	209.52			210.12(3.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	2	-18	0.98	45%	-0.02	-83	2.91%	0	-0.2	38	0
10	Aug_18_2008	244.86	212.23	207.94	208.86			203.2(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-1	-30	0.17	43%	-0.04	-72.3	2.88%	0	-0.9	46	0

11	Aug_15_2008	244.96	214.12	207.97	209.26			207.24(-2.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-9	-10000	1	-40	0.6	44%	-0.02	-75.3	2.89%	0	-0.7	45	0
12	Aug_14_2008	245.02	215.35	209	208.89			212(-1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	3	-38	1.36	44%	-0.01	-84.5	2.88%	0	-0.3	50	0
13	Aug_13_2008	245.05	216.24	209.33	208.06			215.04(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	2	-43	1.03	44%	0.02	-87.2	2.88%	0	-0.1	50	0
14	Aug_12_2008	245	217.5	210.36	207.42			206.8(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	-10000	1	-40	0.4	42%	0	-80	2.85%	0	-0.8	44	0
15	Aug_11_2008	245	219.49	210.92	207.02			205.2(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	2	-58	0.36	42%	-0.17	-71.4	2.84%	0	-0.9	36	0

16	Aug_8_2008	245.41	222.1	212.11	206.46			205.4(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-9	-88	0.23	42%	0.02	-67.3	2.84%	0	-1	31	0
17	Aug_7_2008	245.36	224.66	213.05	209.08			207.84(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-6	-90	0.7	42%	0.03	-63.2	2.85%	0	-0.9	39	0
18	Aug_6_2008	245.28	227.1	213.87	210.78			211.84(3.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10000	-11	-97	0.52	44%	-0.01	-65.8	2.85%	0	-0.9	42	0
19	Aug_5_2008	245.3	228.86	214.42	213.98			204.8(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-5	-101	0.52	44%	-0	-69.6	2.85%	0	-1.3	33	0
20	Aug_4_2008	245.31	231.26	216.92	215.45			202.4(-7.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-10000	-9	-110	0.82	44%	-0.05	-75.1	2.87%	0	-1.6	30	0

21	Aug_1_2008	245.44	234.1	220.92	218.34			218.52(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	-10000	3	-110	0.44	47%	0	-80	2.73%	0	-0.9	31	0
22	Jul_31_2008	245.44	236.48	222.28	217.46			216.32(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	0	-136	0.79	47%	0.01	-78.4	2.75%	0	-1.1	31	0
23	Jul_30_2008	245.41	239.39	223.74	217.32			227.84(7.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-35	-10000	7	-161	0.72	49%	0.04	-74	2.68%	0	-0.6	34	0
24	Jul_29_2008	245.3	242.05	224.99	215.25			212.16(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-59	-10000	-13	-196	0.84	43%	0.02	-68.7	2.52%	0	-1.4	32	0
25	Jul_28_2008	245.26	245.49	228.56	218.83			216.88(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-60	-10000	-19	-184	0.58	43%		-65.2	2.54%	0	-1.3	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.