Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 14, 2008

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $259.8000 (0.62%) ($255.0800 - $263.6000) on Mon. Jul. 14, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.23% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $259.8000(0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(66%)    VWO(64%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(10%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.115% (StdDev 2.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

Resistance Level   $270.3
5 Day Moving Average   $255.1(1.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $263.72(-1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $270.3(-3.88%)
To recent high   -9%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 4.13% (three month std-dev: 2.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2008	244.13	270.3	263.72	255.1			259.8(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	-10000	1	-106	0.32	57%	0.2	-42.9	2.23%	0	-0.9	33	0
2	Jul_11_2008	243.64	270.86	265.12	254.82			258.2(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-33	-10000	-7	-112	0.12	57%	0.21	-45.9	2.24%	0	-1.2	41	0
3	Jul_10_2008	243.13	271.48	266.43	256.72			258.08(4.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-10000	-12	-110	0.2	57%	0.18	-45.1	2.26%	0	-1.3	40	0
4	Jul_9_2008	242.69	272.4	268	260.32			247.12(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-46	-10000	-25	-110	0.38	54%	0.14	-31.1	2.19%	0	-2.5	29	0
5	Jul_8_2008	242.35	273.73	271.14	267.74			252.28(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-33	-10000	-19	-75	0.36	54%	0.05	-11.1	2.18%	0	-2.6	32	0

6	Jul_7_2008	242.24	275.17	274.55	273.51			258.4(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-16	-10000	-11	-31	0.3	56%	0.39	18.3	2.16%	0	-2.6	43	0
7	Jul_3_2008	241.3	275.95	276.43	276.67			267.72(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-3	-10000	-2	-6	0.33	59%	0.27	51.6	2.1%	0	-1.6	51	0
8	Jul_2_2008	240.66	276.29	277.43	277.31			276.08(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-10000	2	7	0.76	61%	0.31	63.9	2.06%	0	-0	57	0
9	Jul_1_2008	239.91	275.55	278.16	276.77			284.24(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	5	14	0.14	64%	0.35	58.7	2.02%	0	1.4	57	0
10	Jun_30_2008	239.08	274.65	277.96	275.26			281.12(2.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	1	-10000	-3	14	0.07	64%	0.36	62.5	2.01%	0	1.1	58	0

11	Jun_27_2008	238.22	273.97	277.23	276.14			274.2(1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-1	16	0.09	63%	0.36	68.2	1.99%	0	0	47	0
12	Jun_26_2008	237.37	273.29	276.9	276.34			270.92(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-4	14	0.13	64%	0.36	56.4	2%	0	-0.3	51	0
13	Jun_25_2008	236.52	272.47	276.85	277.48			273.36(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-7	16	0.13	64%	0.36	51.9	2.01%	0	0.1	51	0
14	Jun_24_2008	235.67	271.86	277.07	279.58			276.68(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-5	46	0.07	66%	0.34	50.7	2.01%	0	0.5	63	0
15	Jun_23_2008	234.87	270.86	276.54	280.95			285.52(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	8	66	0.04	69%	0.39	50.6	1.98%	0	1.6	62	0

16	Jun_20_2008	233.96	269.47	275.74	278.61			275.24(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-10000	4	63	0.12	67%	0.36	44.5	1.95%	0	0.6	56	0
17	Jun_19_2008	233.11	268.8	275.43	277.5			276.6(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	6	72	0.17	61%	0.37	45.9	1.95%	0	0.9	62	0
18	Jun_18_2008	232.24	268.16	275.11	275.96			283.88(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	6	81	0.13	65%	0.41	48.5	2.08%	0	1.8	71	0
19	Jun_17_2008	231.29	267.33	272.71	274.19			283.52(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	-10000	9	71	0.09	61%	0.43	56.1	2.12%	0	2	63	0
20	Jun_16_2008	230.31	266.28	270.92	271.62			273.8(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10000	-4	62	0.1	59%	0.4	63	2.17%	0	1.1	62	0

21	Jun_13_2008	229.4	265.56	270.31	272.66			269.68(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-10000	-1	79	0.34	61%	0.37	75.6	2.18%	0	0.6	58	0
22	Jun_12_2008	228.55	264.79	269.37	273.06			268.92(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-3	80	0.19	61%	0.4	74.7	2.2%	0	0.6	55	0
23	Jun_11_2008	227.65	263.99	267.84	273.95			275.04(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	11	82	0.29	65%	0.41	76.8	2.19%	0	1.4	56	0
24	Jun_10_2008	226.71	262.96	266.34	270.83			270.68(-2.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-10000	3	52	0.35	65%	0.2	70.8	2.24%	0	1	50	0
25	Jun_9_2008	226.25	261.96	264.87	269.96			278.96(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	-10000	8	42	0.17	68%		71.5	2.21%	0	2.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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